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UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 10-K

 

 X    

ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF

THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the fiscal year ended         December 31, 2008            

or

 

__         

TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF

THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

 

For the transition period from                                                              to                                                                 

 

Commission File Number: 001-31458                                                                                                                  

  

 

Newcastle Investment Corp.   
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)   
                Maryland                       81-0559116                                                                      

(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation

or organization)

      (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)   
1345 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY        10105              
(Address of principal executive offices)        (Zip Code)      

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (212) 798-6100

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12 (b) of the Act:

 

Title of each class:   Name of exchange on which registered:
Common Stock, $0.01 par value per share   New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)

9.75% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Preferred

   Stock, $0.01 par value per share

  New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)

8.05% Series C Cumulative Redeemable Preferred

   Stock, $0.01 par value per share

  New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)

8.375% Series D Cumulative Redeemable Preferred

   Stock, $0.01 par value per share

  New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12 (g) of the Act: None

Indicate by check mark if the registrant is a well-known seasoned issuer, as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act.

          Yes    X      No

Indicate by check mark if the registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section 13 or Section 15(d) of the Act.

          Yes    X      No

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.

  X      Yes            No

Indicate by check mark if disclosure of delinquent filers pursuant to Item 405 of Regulation S-K is not contained herein, and will not be contained, to the best of registrant’s knowledge, in definitive proxy or information statements incorporated by reference in Part III of this Form 10-K or any amendment to this form 10-K              


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Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or smaller reporting company. See definition of “large accelerated filer”, “accelerated filer” and “smaller reporting company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act. (Check One):

Large Accelerated Filer               Accelerated Filer    X        Non-accelerated Filer              Smaller Reporting Company              

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act). (Check One):

          Yes     X    No

The aggregate market value of the voting common stock held by non-affiliates as of June 30, 2008 (computed based on the closing price on such date as reported on the NYSE) was: $328.7 million.

Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the issuer’s classes of common stock, as of the last practicable date.

Common stock, $0.01 par value per share: 52,808,531 outstanding as of March 10, 2009.

DOCUMENTS INCORPORATED BY REFERENCE:

 

  1. Portions of the Registrant’s definitive proxy statement for the Registrant’s 2009 annual meeting, to be filed within 120 days after the close of the Registrant’s fiscal year, are incorporated by reference into Part III of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.


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CAUTIONARY NOTE REGARDING FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS

This report contains certain “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such forward-looking statements relate to, among other things, the operating performance of our investments, the stability of our earnings, and our financing needs. Forward-looking statements are generally identifiable by use of forward-looking terminology such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “potential,” “intend,” “expect,” “endeavor,” “seek,” “anticipate,” “estimate,” “overestimate,” “underestimate,” “believe,” “could,” “project,” “predict,” “continue” or other similar words or expressions. Forward-looking statements are based on certain assumptions, discuss future expectations, describe future plans and strategies, contain projections of results of operations or of financial condition or state other forward-looking information. Our ability to predict results or the actual outcome of future plans or strategies is inherently uncertain. Although we believe that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, our actual results and performance could differ materially from those set forth in the forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements involve risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause our actual results in future periods to differ materially from forecasted results. Factors which could have a material adverse effect on our operations and future prospects include, but are not limited to:

 

   

our ability to take advantage of opportunities in additional asset classes at attractive risk-adjusted prices;

   

our ability to deploy capital accretively;

   

the risks that default and recovery rates on our loan portfolios exceed our underwriting estimates;

   

the relationship between yields on assets which are paid off and yields on assets in which such monies can be reinvested;

   

the relative spreads between the yield on the assets we invest in and the cost of financing;

   

changes in economic conditions generally and the real estate and bond markets specifically;

   

adverse changes in the financing markets we access affecting our ability to finance our investments, or in a manner that maintains our historic net spreads;

   

changing risk assessments by lenders that potentially lead to increased margin calls, not extending our repurchase agreements or other financings in accordance with their current terms or entering into new financings with us;

   

changes in interest rates and/or credit spreads, as well as the success of any hedging strategy we may undertake in relation to such changes;

   

the quality and size of the investment pipeline and the rate at which we can invest our cash, including cash inside our CBOs;

   

impairments in the value of the collateral underlying our investments and the relation of any such impairments to our judgments as to whether changes in the market value of our securities, loans or real estate are temporary or not and whether circumstances bearing on the value of such assets warrant changes in carrying values;

   

legislative/regulatory changes, including but not limited to, any modification of the terms of loans;

   

reductions in cash flows received from our investments, particularly our CBOs;

   

completion of pending investments;

   

the availability and cost of capital for future investments;

   

competition within the finance and real estate industries; and

   

other risks detailed from time to time below, particularly under the heading “Risk Factors,” and in our other SEC reports.

Although we believe that the expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, we cannot guarantee future results, levels of activity, performance or achievements. The factors noted above could cause our actual results to differ significantly from those contained in any forward-looking statement.

Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any of these forward-looking statements, which reflect our management’s views only as of the date of this report. We are under no duty to update any of the forward-looking statements after the date of this report to conform these statements to actual results.


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SPECIAL NOTE REGARDING EXHIBITS

In reviewing the agreements included as exhibits to this Annual Report on Form 10-K, please remember they are included to provide you with information regarding their terms and are not intended to provide any other factual or disclosure information about the Company or the other parties to the agreements. The agreements contain representations and warranties by each of the parties to the applicable agreement. These representations and warranties have been made solely for the benefit of the other parties to the applicable agreement and:

 

   

should not in all instances be treated as categorical statements of fact, but rather as a way of allocating the risk tone of the parties if those statements provide to be inaccurate;

 

   

have been qualified by disclosures that were made to the other party in connection with the negotiation of the applicable agreement, which disclosures are not necessarily reflected in the agreement;

 

   

may apply standards of materiality in a way that is different from what may be viewed as material to you or other investors; and

 

   

were made only as of the date of the applicable agreement or such other date or dates as may be specified in the agreement and are subject to more recent developments.

Accordingly, these representations and warranties may not describe the actual state of affairs as of the date they were made or at any other time. Additional information about the Company may be found elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K and the Company’s other public filings, which are available without charge through the SEC’s website at http://www.sec.gov. See “Where You Can Find More Information.”


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     NEWCASTLE INVESTMENT CORP.   
     FORM 10-K   
       
       INDEX     
        Page
     PART I   
Item 1.      Business    1
Item 1A.      Risk Factors    10
Item 1B.      Unresolved Staff Comments    28
Item 2.      Properties    28
Item 3.      Legal Proceedings    28
Item 4.      Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders    28
     PART II   
Item 5.      Market for Registrant’s Common Equity, Related Stockholder Matters and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities    28
Item 6.      Selected Financial Data    30
Item 7.      Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations    32
Item 7A.      Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk    55
Item 8.      Financial Statements and Supplementary Data    58
     Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm    59
     Report on Internal Control over Financial Reporting of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm    60
     Consolidated Balance Sheets as of December 31, 2008 and December 31, 2007    61
     Consolidated Statements of Operations for the years ended December 31, 2008, 2007 and 2006    62
     Consolidated Statements of Stockholders’ Equity for the years ended December 31, 2008, 2007 and 2006    63
     Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows for the years ended December 31, 2008, 2007 and 2006    65
     Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements    67
Item 9.      Changes in and Disagreements with Accountants on Accounting and Financial Disclosure    105
Item 9A.      Controls and Procedures    105
     Management’s Report on Internal Control over Financial Reporting    105
Item 9B.      Other Information    106
     PART III   
Item 10.      Directors, Executive Officers and Corporate Governance    106
Item 11.      Executive Compensation    106
Item 12.     

Security Ownership of Certain Beneficial Owners and Management and Related

 

Stockholder Matters

   106
Item 13.      Certain Relationships and Related Transactions, and Director Independence    106
Item 14.      Principal Accountant Fees and Services    106
     PART IV   
Item 15.      Exhibits; Financial Statement Schedules    107
     Signatures    108


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PART I

Item 1.    Business.

Overview

Newcastle Investment Corp. (“Newcastle”) manages real estate related investments and related financing vehicles. Newcastle invests in, and actively manages a portfolio of, real estate securities, loans and other real estate related assets. Our objective is to maximize the difference between the yield on our investments and the cost of financing these investments while hedging our interest rate risk. We emphasize portfolio management, asset quality, liquidity, diversification, match funded financing and credit risk management.

We conduct our business through four primary segments: (i) investments financed with non-recourse collateralized bond obligations (“CBOs”), (ii) investments financed with other non-recourse debt, (iii) investments financed with recourse debt, including FNMA / FHLMC securities, and (iv) unlevered investments. In the second quarter of 2008, Newcastle changed the structure of its internal organization such that the basis of the composition of its reportable segments changed from investment type to financing type. Accordingly, segment information for previously reported periods has been restated to reflect the new composition of reportable segments. Further details regarding the revenues, net income (loss) and total assets of each of our segments for each of the last three fiscal years are presented in Note 3 to Part II, Item 8, “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.”

In the fourth quarter of 2008, in accordance with current accounting rules, we recorded an impairment charge of $2.6 billion through our statement of operations on our securities and loans. In accordance with the applicable accounting rules, Newcastle is required to evaluate its intent and ability to hold its assets as of the end of each fiscal quarter. If we cannot express the intent and ability to hold our assets to recovery, we are required, under the applicable accounting rules, to record impairment with respect to all of our assets that were in an unrealized loss position as of quarter end. We note the following with respect to this charge:

 

 - Of the $2.6 billion impairment charge, we could only economically lose $262 million. Most of our assets are financed with non-recourse debt and our exposure to loss is limited to the aggregate amount of our investment in those assets, less any related non-recourse debt issued to third parties. In other words, the maximum amount we could economically lose in each of our non-recourse financing structures is the net amount we invested in them. However, current accounting rules require us to consolidate these structures and record impairment on the gross amount of assets within these structures regardless of whether we are economically exposed to such impairment. As a result, while we recorded an impairment charge of $2.6 billion, we could not economically lose more than $262 million of this amount, which represents the aggregate amount of our net investments prior to the charge. The $2.3 billion of impairment charges recorded in excess of this maximum possible economic loss will ultimately be reversed over time, either through amortization, sales at gains, or as gains at the deconsolidation or termination of the non-recourse financing structures.
 - This $2.6 billion impairment charge was mainly the result of our inability to express an intent and ability to hold our assets until a recovery in value. This means that since liquidity requirements or other factors could necessitate the sale of any number of our assets at a future date, and any such sales could result in realized accounting losses, we must record the aggregate potential accounting loss on all of our assets immediately even if we never expect to realize the majority of those losses.
- This $2.6 billion impairment charge was comprised of $0.5 billion recorded with respect to securities and loans upon which we expect actual credit losses, and $2.1 billion recorded with respect to securities and loans upon which we do not expect actual credit losses. An expected credit loss refers to the expectation that a borrower under one of our securities or loans will not make its required interest and principal payments on their scheduled due dates, generally resulting in us not ultimately receiving all of the amounts due to us under such security or loan.
 - Impairment charges are not necessarily indicative of current or future reductions in cash flow, which are based on actual delinquencies and defaults or sales of assets at losses. Even with respect to the charges on investments where we do expect actual credit losses, cash flows received over the life of these investments, if we hold them to maturity, may exceed their current fair value.
 - If our assets continue to decline in value, we would likely be required to record additional impairment through our statement of operations in the future, which would adversely affect our results of operations. Furthermore, we could incur significant additional economic losses on assets outside of our non-recourse financing structures.

For a further discussion of this impairment and the events that led to its being recorded, please refer to Part II, Item 7, “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations – Market Considerations” as well as Part I , Item 1A, “Risk Factors–Risks Relating to Our Business–Our investments have previously been – and in the future may be – subject to significant impairment charges, which adversely affect our results of operations.”

 

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The following table summarizes our segments at December 31, 2008.

 

    CBOs (A)   Other
Non-Recourse (A) (B)
  Recourse   Unlevered   Unallocated   Total

GAAP

           

   Assets, carrying value

    $     2,246,244       $ 751,556       $     293,772       $     127,613       $       54,438       $       3,473,623  

   Liabilities, carrying value

    4,650,561       826,129       283,854       777       105,834       5,867,155  

   Preferred stock

            152,500       152,500  
                                   

   GAAP book value

    $ (2,404,317)      $ (74,573)      $ 9,918       $ 126,836       $ (203,896)      $ (2,546,032) 
                                   

   GAAP book value per share

              $ (48.23) 

Fair Value

           

   Assets, fair value (C)

    $ 2,246,394       $ 751,556       $ 293,772       $ 127,613       $ 54,438       $ 3,473,773  

   Liabilities, fair value

    1,298,940       778,937       283,854       777       30,759       2,393,267  

   Preferred stock, at par

            152,500       152,500  
                                   

   Adjusted book value

    $ 947,454       $ (27,381)      $ 9,918       $ 126,836       $ (128,821)      $ 928,006  
                                   

   Adjusted book value per share (D)

              $ 17.58  

 

(A)   Assets held within CBOs and other non-recourse structures are not available to satisfy obligations outside of such financings, except to the extent we receive net cash flow distributions from such structures. Furthermore, our economic losses from such structures cannot exceed our invested equity in them. Therefore, economically, their book value cannot be less than zero, except for the amount described in note (B) below.

 

(B)

 

 

Includes all of the manufactured housing loan financing, of which $50.9 million (carrying value) was recourse as of December 31, 2008.

 

(C)

 

 

Only financial instruments are reflected at fair value, other assets are reflected at their carrying value.

 

(D)   Represents GAAP book value as if Newcastle had elected to measure all of its financial assets and liabilities at fair value.

Our investments cover four distinct categories:

 

1)

   Real Estate Securities:    We underwrite, acquire and manage a diversified portfolio of credit sensitive real estate securities, including commercial mortgage backed securities (CMBS), senior unsecured REIT debt issued by property REITs, real estate related asset backed securities (ABS), including subprime securities, and FNMA/FHLMC securities. As of December 31, 2008, our real estate securities represented 48.0% of our assets.

2)

   Real Estate Related Loans:    We acquire and originate loans to real estate owners, including B-notes, mezzanine loans, corporate bank loans, and whole loans. As of December 31, 2008, our real estate related loans represented 24.3% of our assets.

3)

   Residential Mortgage Loans:    We acquire residential mortgage loans, including manufactured housing loans and subprime mortgage loans. As of December 31, 2008, our residential mortgage loans represented 11.8% of our assets.

4)

   Operating Real Estate:    We acquire and manage direct and indirect interests in operating real estate. As of December 31, 2008, our operating real estate represented 0.3% of our assets.

In addition, Newcastle had restricted and unrestricted cash and other miscellaneous net assets, which represented 15.6% of our assets at December 31, 2008.

Newcastle generally utilizes a match funded financing strategy, when appropriate and available, in order to reduce refinancing and interest rate risks. This means that we seek both to match the maturities of our debt obligations with the maturities of our investments, in order to reduce the risk that we have to refinance our liabilities prior to the maturities of our assets, and to match the interest rates on our investments with like-kind debt (i.e. floating or fixed), in order to reduce the impact of changing interest rates on our earnings.

Newcastle’s stock is traded on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol “NCT.” Newcastle is a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes and is externally managed and advised by an affiliate of Fortress Investment Group LLC, or Fortress. Fortress is a global alternative investment and asset management firm with approximately $29.5 billion in assets under management as of December 31, 2008. For its services, our manager is entitled to a management fee and incentive compensation pursuant to a management agreement. Our manager, through its affiliates, and principals of Fortress collectively owned 5.0 million shares of our common stock and our manager, through its affiliates, had options to purchase an additional 1.6 million shares of our common stock, which were issued in connection with our equity offerings, representing approximately 12.0% of our common stock on a fully diluted basis, as of March 10, 2009.

 

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As a result of the ongoing global credit and liquidity crisis, Newcastle faces a number of challenges, as further described in Part II, Item 7, “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations – Market Considerations.” In particular, we must repay or refinance our short-term, recourse debt while maintaining sufficient liquidity to operate. While we believe this will be achieved, if we were unable to repay or refinance this debt, it would have immediate, material adverse consequences on our liquidity and our ability to maintain our operations.

Our Investment Strategy

Newcastle’s investment strategy focuses predominantly on debt investments secured by real estate. We do not have specific policies as to the allocation among type of real estate related assets or investment categories since our investment decisions depend on changing market conditions. Instead, we focus on relative value and in-depth risk/reward analysis. Our focus on relative value means that assets which may be unattractive under particular market conditions may, if priced appropriately to compensate for risks such as projected defaults and prepayments, become attractive relative to other available investments. We generally utilize a match funded financing strategy, when appropriate and available, and active management as part of our investment strategy. As discussed in Part II, Item 7, “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations – Market Conditions,” the ongoing credit and liquidity crisis has reduced the current values of substantially all of our investments and has resulted in impairments in certain investments.

The following table summarizes our investment portfolio at December 31, 2008 (dollars in table in millions).

 

    Outstanding Face
Amount
  Amortized Cost
Basis (1)
  Percentage of
Amortized Cost
Basis
  Number of
Investments
  Credit (2)   Weighted
Average Life

(years) (3)

 Investment (5)

           

 Commercial

           

   CMBS

    $ 2,282       $ 822     28.3%    262     BBB-   5.2  

   Mezzanine Loans

    761       395     13.6%    23     66%   3.1  

   B-Notes

    345       154     5.3%    12     61%   2.3  

   Whole Loans

    98       75     2.6%    3     60%   2.2  

   ICH Loans

    3       3     0.1%    2     –     6.1  
                       

   Total Commercial Assets

    3,489       1,449     49.9%        4.4  
                       

 Residential

           

   Manufactured Housing and Residential Mortgage Loans

    549       399     13.7%    14,081     695   6.3  

   Subprime Securities

    578       187     6.4%    123     BB   5.2  

   Subprime Retained Securities and Residuals

    81       7     0.3%    8     CCC-/650   2.6  

   Real Estate ABS

    100       52     1.8%    26     BBB   5.3  
                       
    1,308       645     22.2%        5.5  
                       

   FNMA/FHLMC securities

    180       180     6.2%    6     AAA   2.8  
                       

   Total Residential Assets

    1,488       825     28.4%        5.1  
                       

 Corporate

           

   REIT Debt

    650       413     14.2%    65     BB+   4.7  

   Corporate Bank Loans

    509       216     7.5%    15     CCC+   3.1  
                       

   Total Corporate Assets

    1,159       629     21.7%        4.0  
                       

TOTAL / WA

    $ 6,136       $ 2,903     100.0%        4.5  
                       

Reconciliation to GAAP total assets:

           

  Net unrealized losses recorded in accumulated
other comprehensive income

      7          

  Other assets

           

    Subprime mortgage loans subject to call option (4)

      398          

    Real estate held for sale

      12          

    Cash and restricted cash

      94          

    Other

      60          
               

GAAP total assets

      $ 3,474          
               

WA – Weighted average, in all tables.

 

(1)

Net of impairments.

(2)

Credit represents weighted average of minimum rating for rated assets, LTV (based on the appraised value at the time of purchase) for non-rated commercial assets, FICO score for non-rated residential assets and an implied AAA rating for FNMA/FHLMC securities. Ratings provided above were determined by third party rating agencies as of a particular date, may not be current and are subject to change (including the assignment of a “negative outlook” or “credit watch”) at any time.

(3)

The weighted average lives of our Mezzanine Loans, B-Notes and Whole Loans are based on the fully extended maturity dates.

(4)

Our subprime mortgage loans subject to call option are excluded from the statistics because they result from an option, not an obligation, to repurchase such loans, are noneconomic until such option is exercised, and are offset by an equal liability on the consolidated balance sheet.

 

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(5)

The following tables summarize certain supplemental data relating to our investments (dollars in tables in thousands):

CMBS

 

Deal Vintage

(A)

  Average
Minimum
Rating (B)
  Number   Outstanding
Face Amount
  Amortized Cost
Basis
  Percentage of
Amortized Cost
Basis
  Delinquency
60+/FC/REO (C)
  Principal
Subordination (D)
  Weighted
Average Life
(years)

Pre 2004

  BBB+   77   $ 401,057   $ 179,662   21.9%   1.5%   11.0%   4.0

2004

  BB+   59     435,274     176,648   21.5%   0.5%   5.2%   5.1

2005

  BB+   50     583,088     149,045   18.1%   0.4%   4.8%   6.0

2006

  BBB-   39     453,560     217,416   26.5%   0.4%   5.5%   4.2

2007

  BBB   37     409,054     98,789   12.0%   1.0%   9.4%   6.4
                                   

Total / WA

  BBB-   262   $ 2,282,033   $ 821,560   100.0%   0.7%   6.9%   5.2
                                   

 

  (A) The year in which the securities were issued.
  (B) Ratings provided above were determined by third party rating agencies as of a particular date, may not be current and are subject to change (including the assignment of a “negative outlook” or “credit watch”) at any time.
  (C) The percentage of underlying loans that are 60+ days delinquent, or in foreclosure or considered real estate owned (REO).
  (D) The percentage of the outstanding face amount of securities that is subordinate to our investments.

Mezzanine Loans, B-Notes and Whole Loans

 

      Mezzanine    B-Note    Whole Loan    Total /WA

Outstanding Face Amount

   $ 760,510    $ 344,799    $ 98,398    $ 1,203,707

 

Amortized Cost Basis

   $ 395,443    $ 154,159    $ 74,663    $ 624,265

 

Number

     23      12      3      38

 

Weighted Average First $ Loan to Value (A)

     55.6%      48.7%      0.0%      49.1%

 

Weighted Average Last $ Loan to Value (A)

     66.4%      61.5%      59.5%      64.4%

 

Delinquency (B)

     5.3%      14.5%      0%      7.5%

 

  (A) Loan to value is based on the appraised value at the time of purchase.
  (B) The percentage of underlying loans that are non-performing, in foreclosure, under bankruptcy filing or considered real estate owned.

Manufactured Housing Loans

 

Deal

   Outstanding
Face Amount
   Amortized
Cost Basis
   Pertcentage
of Amortized
Cost Basis
   Weightetd
Average
Loan Age
(months)
   Original
Balance
   Delinquency
90+/FC/REO
(A)
   Actual
Cumulative
Loss to Date

Portfolio I

   $ 190,448    $ 129,086    37.6%    88    $ 327,855    1.2%    4.1%

Portfolio II

     280,395      214,334    62.4%    118      434,743    0.8%    2.3%
                                        

Total /WA

   $ 470,843    $ 343,420    100.0%    106    $ 762,598    1.0%    3.0%
                                        

 

  (A) The percentage of loans that are 90+ days delinquent, or in foreclosure or considered real estate owned (REO).

Subprime Securities (A)

 

Vintage (B)

  Security Characteristics
  Average
Minimum
Rating (C)
  Number of
Securities
  Outstanding
Face Amount
  Amortized Cost
Basis
  Percentage of
Amortized Cost
Basis
  Principal
Subordination (D)
  Excess
Spread (E)

2003

  A-   15   $ 28,261   $ 15,732   8.4%   19.8%   4.4%

2004

  BBB   30     118,292     53,766   28.8%   12.7%   4.8%

2005

  B   47     215,803     55,260   29.6%   17.1%   5.7%

2006

  BB-   21     156,163     34,725   18.6%   15.2%   4.5%

2007

  A   10     59,507     27,260   14.6%   26.0%   4.5%
                               

 

Total /WA

  BB   123   $ 578,026   $ 186,743   100.0%   16.7%   5.0%
                               

 

Vintage (B)

   Collateral Characteristics
   Average
Loan Age
(months)
   Collateral
Factor (F)
   3 month
CPR (G)
   Delinquency
90+/FC/REO (H)
   Cumulative Losses
to Date

2003

   69    0.12    10.0%    12.6%    2.2%

2004

   56    0.16    12.5%    15.2%    2.2%

2005

   43    0.32    22.9%    28.1%    5.0%

2006

   30    0.63    19.2%    27.2%    4.4%

2007

   25    0.79    14.4%    28.1%    2.5%
                        

 

Total /WA

   41    0.41    18.3%    24.5%    3.9%
                        

 

  (A) Excludes subprime retained securities and residual interests.
  (B) The year in which the securities were issued.
  (C) Ratings provided above were determined by third party rating agencies as of a particular date, may not be current and are subject to change (including the assignment of a “negative outlook” or “credit watch”) at any time.
  (D) The percentage of the outstanding face amount of securities and residual interests that is subordinate to our investments.
  (E) The annualized amount of interest received on the underlying loans in excess of the interest paid on the securities, as a percentage of the outstanding collateral balance.

 

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  (F) The ratio of original unpaid principal balance of loans still outstanding.
  (G) Three month average constant prepayment rate.
  (H) The percentage of underlying loans that are 90+ days delinquent, in foreclosure, or considered real estate owned.

Subprime Retained Securities and Residual Interests

Represents $6.6 million and $1.2 million of amortized cost basis of retained bonds and residual interests, respectively, in the securitizations of Subprime Portfolios I and II. For further information on these securitizations, see Note 5 to Part II, Item 7, “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.”

REIT Debt

 

   

Industry

  Average
Minimum
Rating (A)
    Number     Outstanding
Face
Amount
  Amortized
Cost Basis
    Percentage of  
Amortized

Cost Basis
 

 

 Retail

  B+   17      $ 210,035       $ 118,284     28.7% 
 

 Diversified

  BB+   14      151,463       80,013     19.4% 
 

 Office

  BBB   13      130,569       96,313     23.3% 
 

 Multifamily

  BBB+       40,508       32,098     7.8% 
 

 Hotel

  BBB       37,220       23,206     5.6% 
 

 Healthcare

  BBB-       36,600       25,230     6.1% 
 

 Storage

  A-       23,406       20,282     4.9% 
 

 Industrial

  BBB-       20,865       17,158     4.2% 
                         
 

 Total / WA

    BB+             65      $   650,666       $   412,584     100.0% 
                         

Corporate Bank Loans

   

Industry

  Average
Minimum
Rating (A)
    Number     Outstanding
Face
Amount
  Amortized
Cost Basis
    Percentage of  
Amortized

Cost Basis
 

 

 Real Estate

  CCC+       $ 124,097       $ 60,214     27.8% 
 

 Resorts

  BB-       76,505       45,903     21.2% 
 

 Media

  CCC+       112,000       17,920     8.3% 
 

 Retail

  B-       100,000       48,500     22.4% 
 

 Restaurant

  CCC       38,176       13,598     6.3% 
 

 Transportation

  NR       27,000       22,005     10.2% 
 

 Gaming

  CC       29,557       7,130     3.3% 
 

 Theatres

  B       1,472       1,086     0.5% 
                         
 

 Total / WA

    CCC+           15      $   508,807       $   216,356     100.0% 
                         

 

  (A) Ratings provided above were determined by third party rating agencies as of a particular date, may not be current and are subject to change (including the assignment of a “negative outlook” or “credit watch”) at any time.

Credit Risk Management

Credit risk refers to the ability of each individual borrower under our loans and securities to make required interest and principal payments on the scheduled due dates. We strive to reduce credit risk by actively monitoring our asset portfolio and the underlying credit quality of our holdings and, where appropriate, repositioning our investments to upgrade their credit quality and yield. A significant portion of our investments are financed with collateralized bond obligations, known as CBOs. Our CBO financings offer us the structural flexibility to buy and sell certain investments to manage risk and, subject to certain limitations, to optimize returns.

Further, while the expected yield on our real estate securities, which comprise a meaningful portion of our assets, is sensitive to the performance of the underlying loans, the first risk of default and loss - referred to as a “first loss position”- is borne by the more subordinated securities or other features of the securitization transaction, in the case of commercial mortgage and asset backed securities, and the issuer’s underlying equity and subordinated debt, in the case of senior unsecured REIT debt securities. As a result of the ongoing economic crisis and illiquidity in the markets, the value of the subordinated securities has generally been reduced or, in some cases, eliminated, which could leave our securities economically in a first loss position. We also invest in loans and securities which represent “first loss” pieces; in other words, they do not benefit from credit support although we believe at acquisition they predominantly benefit from underlying collateral value in excess of their carrying amounts.

 

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Our Financing and Hedging Activities

We employ leverage as part of our investment stratgey. We do not have a predetermined target debt to equity ratio as we believe the appropriate leverage for the particular assets we are financing depends on the credit quality of those assets. As a result of our negative GAAP equity, our GAAP debt to equity ratio is not a meaningful measure as of December 31, 2008. Our general investment guidelines adopted by our board of directors limit total leverage (as defined under the governing documents) to a maximum 9.0 to 1 debt to equity ratio. As of December 31, 2008, our debt to equity ratio as computed under this methodology was approximately 4.7 to 1. We utilize leverage for the sole purpose of financing our portfolio and not for the purpose of speculating on changes in interest rates.

We strive to maintain access to a broad array of capital resources in an effort to insulate our business from potential fluctuations in the availability of capital. We utilize multiple forms of financing, including collateralized bond obligations (CBOs), other securitizations, term loans, and trust preferred securities, as well as short term financing in the form of loans and repurchase agreements. Further details regarding the forms of financing that we are currently able to utilize are presented in Part II, Item 7, “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” under “– Market Considerations” and “– Liquidity and Capital Resources.” As discussed therein, the ongoing credit and liquidity crisis has limited the amount of capital resources available to us and made the terms of capital resources we are able to obtain generally less favorable to us. For example, we are currently contractually restricted from entering into new debt financings subject to margin calls other than to finance FNMA/FHLMC securities.

Our manager may elect for us to bear a level of refinancing risk on a short term or longer term basis, such as is the case with investments financed with repurchase agreements, when, based on all of the relevant factors, the manager determines that bearing such risk is advisable or unavoidable.

We attempt to reduce refinancing and interest rate risks through the use of match funded financing structures, when appropriate and available, whereby we seek (i) to match the maturities of our debt obligations with the maturities of our assets and (ii) to match the interest rates on our investments with like-kind debt (i.e., floating rate assets are financed with floating rate debt and fixed rate assets are financed with fixed rate debt), directly or through the use of interest rate swaps, caps or other financial instruments, or through a combination of these strategies. We believe this allows us to reduce the risk that we have to refinance our liabilities prior to the maturities of our assets and to reduce the impact of changing interest rates on our earnings.

We enter into hedging transactions to protect our positions from interest rate fluctuations and other changes in market conditions. These transactions predominantly include interest rate swaps, and may include the purchase or sale of interest rate collars, caps or floors, options, mortgage derivatives and other hedging instruments, and may be subject to margin calls. These instruments may be used to hedge as much of the interest rate risk as our manager determines is in the best interest of our stockholders, given the cost of such hedges and the need to maintain our status as a REIT. Our manager elects to have us bear a level of interest rate risk that could otherwise be hedged when our manager believes, based on its analysis, that bearing such risks is advisable or unavoidable. We engage in hedging for the purpose of protecting against interest rate risk and not for the purpose of speculating on changes in interest rates.

Further details regarding our hedging activities are presented in Part II, Item 7A, “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk-Fair Value.”

Debt Obligations

The following table presents certain summary information regarding our debt obligations and related hedges as of December 31, 2008 (unaudited) (dollars in thousands):

 

Debt Obligation

    Current  
Face
Amount
    Carrying  
Value
   Weighted 
Average
Funding
Cost (1)
   Weighted 
Average
Maturity
(Years)
  Face
Amount
of
Floating
Rate Debt
  Collateral
Amortized
Cost Basis (2)
  Collateral
Carrying Value

(2)
  Collateral
Weighted
Average
Maturity
(Years)
  Face
Amount
of Floating
Rate Collateral

(2)
  Aggregate
Notional
Amount of
Current Hedges

CBO Bonds Payable

    $ 4,371,276       $ 4,359,981     3.32%   5.3       $     4,309,869       $ 2,192,414       $ 2,196,473     4.7       $ 2,190,688     $ 2,154,693  

Other Bonds Payable

    381,760       380,620     5.70%   1.3       381,760       353,530       353,530     6.4       50,565     176,097  

Repurchase Agreements

                   

FNMA/FHLMC

    173,495       173,495     4.02%   -         173,495       181,524       184,209     2.8       -           45,630  

Non-FNMA/FHLMC

    102,977       102,977     1.62%   1.3       102,977       100,528       100,528     1.5       231,411     -      

Junior Subordinated

                   

Notes Payable

    100,100       100,100     7.71%   27.3       -           -                -              -           -           -      
                                                     

Subtotal debt obligations

    5,129,608       5,117,173     3.57%   5.1       $ 4,968,101       $     2,827,996       $     2,834,740     4.6       $     2,472,664       $     2,376,420  
                                             

Financing on Subprime
Mortgage Loans Subject
to Call Option

    406,217       398,026                  
                           

Total debt obligations

    $     5,535,825       $     5,515,199                  
                           

 

(1) Including the effect of applicable hedges.
(2) Including restricted cash held in CBOs.

 

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Further details regarding our debt obligations are presented in “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations – Liquidity and Capital Resources.”

Formation

We were formed in June 2002 as a subsidiary of Newcastle Investment Holdings Corp. Prior to our initial public offering, Newcastle Investment Holdings contributed to us certain assets and related liabilities in exchange for approximately 16.5 million shares of our common stock. Our operations commenced in July 2002. In May 2003, Newcastle Investment Holdings distributed to its stockholders all of the shares of our common stock that it owned, and it no longer owns any of our equity.

The following table presents information on shares of our common stock issued since our formation:

 

            Year            

           Shares Issued            Range of Issue
Prices (1)
   Net Proceeds
(millions)

  Formation

   16,488,517     N/A    N/A

  2002

   7,000,000     $13.00    $80.0

  2003

   7,886,316     $20.35-$22.85    $163.4

  2004

   8,484,648     $26.30-$31.40    $224.3

  2005

   4,053,928     $29.60    $108.2

  2006

   1,800,408     $29.42    $51.2

  2007

   7,065,362     $27.75-$31.30    $201.3

  2008

   9,871     N/A    $0.1
          

  December 31, 2008

   52,789,050       
          
(1)   Excludes prices of shares issued pursuant to the exercise of options and of shares issued to our independent directors.

Investment Guidelines

Our general investment guidelines, adopted by our board of directors, include:

 

   

no investment is to be made which would cause us to fail to qualify as a REIT;

 

   

no investment is to be made which would cause us to be regulated as an investment company;

 

   

no more than 20% of our total equity, determined as of the date of such investment, is to be invested in any single asset;

 

   

our leverage is not to exceed 90% of the sum of our total debt and our total equity; and

 

   

we are not to co-invest with the manager or any of its affiliates unless (i) our co-investment is otherwise in accordance with these guidelines and (ii) the terms of such co-investment are at least as favorable to us as to the manager or such affiliate (as applicable) making such co-investment.

In addition, our manager is required to seek the approval of the independent members of our board of directors before we engage in a material transaction with another entity managed by our manager or any of its affiliates. These investment guidelines may be changed by our board of directors without the approval of our stockholders.

The Management Agreement

We are party to a management agreement with FIG LLC, an affiliate of Fortress Investment Group LLC, dated June 23, 2003, pursuant to which FIG LLC, our manager, provides for the day-to-day management of our operations.

The management agreement requires our manager to manage our business affairs in conformity with the policies and the investment guidelines that are approved and monitored by our board of directors. Our manager’s management is under the direction of our board of directors. The manager is responsible for (i) the purchase and sale of real estate securities and loans and other real estate related assets, (ii) the financing of our real estate securities and loans and other real estate related assets, (iii) management of our real estate, including arranging for purchases, sales, leases, maintenance and insurance, (iv) the purchase, sale and servicing of loans for us, and (v) investment advisory services. Our manager is responsible for our day-to-day operations and performs (or causes to be performed) such services and activities relating to our assets and operations as may be appropriate.

We pay our manager an annual management fee equal to 1.5% of our gross equity, as defined in the management agreement. The management agreement provides that we will reimburse our manager for various expenses incurred by our manager or its officers, employees and agents on our behalf, including costs of legal, accounting, tax, auditing, administrative and other similar services rendered for us by providers retained by our manager or, if provided by our manager’s employees, in amounts which are no greater than those which would be payable to outside professionals or consultants engaged to perform such services pursuant to agreements negotiated on an arm’s-length basis.

 

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To provide an incentive for our manager to enhance the value of our common stock, our manager is entitled to receive an incentive return (the “Incentive Compensation”) on a cumulative, but not compounding, basis in an amount equal to the product of (A) 25% of the dollar amount by which (1) (a) our funds from operations, as defined in the management agreement (before the Incentive Compensation) per share of common stock (based on the weighted average number of shares of common stock outstanding) plus (b) gains (or losses) from debt restructuring and from sales of property and other assets per share of common stock (based on the weighted average number of shares of common stock outstanding), exceed (2) an amount equal to (a) the weighted average of the price per share of common stock in our initial public offering and the value attributed to the net assets transferred to us by Newcastle Investment Holdings, and in any of our subsequent offerings (adjusted for prior capital dividends or capital distributions) multiplied by (b) a simple interest rate of 10% per annum (divided by four to adjust for quarterly calculations) multiplied by (B) the weighted average number of shares of common stock outstanding. Our manager earned no incentive compensation during 2008 or the second half of 2007. We expect that there will be no incentive compensation payable to our manager for an indeterminate period of time.

The management agreement provides for automatic one year extensions. Our independent directors review our manager’s performance annually and the management agreement may be terminated annually upon the affirmative vote of at least two-thirds of our independent directors, or by a vote of the holders of a majority of the outstanding shares of our common stock, based upon unsatisfactory performance that is materially detrimental to us or a determination by our independent directors that the management fee earned by our manager is not fair, subject to our manager’s right to prevent such a management fee compensation termination by accepting a mutually acceptable reduction of fees. Our manager must be be provided with 60 days’ prior notice of any such termination and would be paid a termination fee equal to the amount of the management fee earned by our manager during the twelve month period preceding such termination, which may make it more difficult for us to terminate the management agreement. Following any termination of the management agreement, we shall be entitled to purchase our manager’s right to receive the Incentive Compensation at a price determined as if our assets were sold for cash at their then current fair market value (as determined by an appraisal, taking into account, among other things, the expected future value of the underlying investments) or otherwise we may continue to pay the Incentive Compensation to our manager. In addition, if we do not purchase our manager’s Incentive Compensation, our manager may require us to purchase the same at the price discussed above. In addition, the management agreement may be terminated by us at any time for cause.

Policies With Respect to Certain Other Activities

We have authority to offer our common stock or other equity or debt securities in exchange for property and to repurchase or otherwise reacquire our shares or any other securities and may engage in such activities in the future.

We also may make loans to, or provide guarantees of certain obligations of, our subsidiaries.

Subject to the percentage ownership and gross income and asset tests necessary for REIT qualification, we may invest in securities of other REITs, other entities engaged in real estate activities or securities of other issuers, including for the purpose of exercising control over such entities.

We may engage in the purchase and sale of investments.

Our officers and directors may change any of these policies and our investment guidelines without a vote of our stockholders.

In the event that we determine to raise additional equity capital, our board of directors has the authority, without stockholder approval (subject to certain NYSE requirements), to issue additional common stock or preferred stock in any manner and on such terms and for such consideration it deems appropriate, including in exchange for property.

Decisions regarding the form and other characteristics of the financing for our investments are made by our manager subject to the general investment guidelines adopted by our board of directors.

Competition

We are subject to significant competition in seeking investments. We compete with several other companies for investments, including other REITs, insurance companies and other investors. Some of our competitors have greater resources than we possess, or have greater access to capital or various types of financing than are available to us, and we may not be able to compete successfully for investments.

Compliance with Applicable Environmental Laws

Properties we own (directly or indirectly) or may acquire are or would be subject to various foreign, federal, state and local environmental laws, ordinances and regulations. Under these laws, ordinances and regulations, a current or previous owner of real estate (including, in certain circumstances, a secured lender that succeeds to ownership or control of a property) may become liable for the costs of removal or remediation of certain hazardous or toxic

 

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substances or petroleum product releases at, on, under or in its property. These laws typically impose cleanup responsibility and liability without regard to whether the owner or control party knew of or was responsible for the release or presence of the hazardous or toxic substances. The costs of investigation, remediation or removal of these substances may be substantial and could exceed the value of the property. An owner or control party of a site may be subject to common law claims by third parties based on damages and costs resulting from environmental contamination emanating from a site. Certain environmental laws also impose liability in connection with the handling of or exposure to asbestos-containing materials, pursuant to which third parties may seek recovery from owners of real properties for personal injuries associated with asbestos-containing materials. Our operating costs and values of these assets may be adversely affected by the obligation to pay for the cost of complying with existing environmental laws, ordinances and regulations, as well as the cost of complying with future legislation, and our income and ability to make distributions to our stockholders could be affected adversely by the existence of an environmental liability with respect to our properties. We endeavor to ensure that properties we own or acquire will be in compliance in all material respects with all foreign, federal, state and local laws, ordinances and regulations regarding hazardous or toxic substances or petroleum products.

Employees

We are party to a management agreement with FIG LLC, an affiliate of Fortress Investment Group LLC, pursuant to which they advise us regarding investments, risk management, and other aspects of our business, and manage our day-to-day operations. As a result, we have no employees. From time to time, certain of our officers may enter into written agreements with us that memorialize the provision of certain services; these agreements do not provide for the payment of any cash compensation to such officers from us. The employees of FIG LLC are not a party to any collective bargaining agreement.

Corporate Governance and Internet Address; Where Readers Can Find Additional Information

We emphasize the importance of professional business conduct and ethics through our corporate governance initiatives. Our board of directors consists of a majority of independent directors; the Audit, Nominating and Corporate Governance, and Compensation committees of our board of directors are composed exclusively of independent directors. We have adopted corporate governance guidelines, and our manager has adopted a code of business conduct and ethics, which delineate our standards for our officers and directors, and employees of our manager.

Newcastle files annual, quarterly and current reports, proxy statements and other information required by the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the ‘‘Exchange Act’’), with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). Readers may read and copy any document that Newcastle files at the SEC’s Public Reference Room located at 100 F Street, N.E., Washington, D.C. 20549, U.S.A. Please call the SEC at 1-800-SEC-0330 for further information on the Public Reference Room. Our SEC filings are also available to the public from the SEC’s internet site at http://www.sec.gov. Copies of these reports, proxy statements and other information can also be inspected at the offices of the New York Stock Exchange, Inc., 20 Broad Street, New York, New York 10005, U.S.A. Our internet site is http://www.newcastleinv.com. We make available free of charge through our internet site our annual reports on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, current reports on Form 8-K, proxy statements and Forms 3, 4 and 5 filed on behalf of directors and executive officers and any amendments to those reports filed or furnished pursuant to the Exchange Act as soon as reasonably practicable after we electronically file such material with, or furnish it to, the SEC. Also posted on our website in the ‘‘Investor Relations—Corporate Governance” section are charters for the company’s Audit Committee, Compensation Committee and Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee as well as our Corporate Governance Guidelines and our Code of Business Conduct and Ethics governing our directors, officers and employees. Information on, or accessible through, our website is not a part of, and is not incorporated into, this report.

 

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Item 1A.     Risk Factors

Risks relating to our management, business and company include, specifically:

Risks Related to the Financial Services Industry and Financial Markets

We do not know what impact the U.S. government’s plans to purchase large amounts of illiquid, mortgage-backed and other securities, or its plans to modify the terms of outstanding loans, will have on the financial markets or our business.

In response to the financial crises affecting the banking system and financial markets and going concern threats to investment banks and other financial institutions, the U.S. government enacted the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008, or EESA, on October 3, 2008. Pursuant to the EESA, the U.S. Treasury has the authority to, among other things, purchase up to $700 billion of mortgage-backed and other securities from financial institutions for the purpose of stabilizing the financial markets. As part of this plan, the U.S. government also recently made preferred equity investments in a number of the largest financial institutions. More recently, the U.S. government has approved an additional financial stimulus package, and President Obama and members of Congress have proposed modifying the terms of certain loans, including real estate mortgages and asset-backed securities. It is not clear what impact these initiatives will have on the financial markets, including the illiquidity in the global credit markets and the downward trends and extreme levels of volatility in the global equity markets. Moreover, while the details of some of these initiatives are not yet finalized, it appears that these initiatives will not directly benefit us, and it is possible that any modifications to the terms of loans for which we are the lender could have a significantly negative impact on our business, results of operations and financial condition. Moreover, if any of our competitors are able to benefit from one or more of these initiatives, they may gain a significant competitive advantage over us.

We are subject to counterparty default and concentration risks.

In the ordinary course of our business, we enter into various types of financing arrangements with counterparties. Currently, the majority of our financing arrangements take the form of repurchase agreements, securitization vehicles, loans, hedge contracts, swaps and other derivative and non-derivative contracts. The terms of these contracts are often customized and complex, and many of these arrangements occur in markets or relate to products that are not subject to regulatory oversight.

We are subject to the risk that the counterparty to one or more of these contracts defaults, either voluntarily or involuntarily, on its performance under the contract. Any such default may occur rapidly and without notice to us. Moreover, if a counterparty defaults, we may be unable to take action to cover our exposure, either because we lack the contractual ability or because market conditions make it difficult to take effective action. This inability could occur in times of market stress consistent with the conditions we are currently experiencing, which are precisely the times when defaults may be most likely to occur.

In addition, our risk-management processes may not accurately anticipate the impact of market stress or counterparty financial condition, and as a result, we may not take sufficient action to reduce our risks effectively. Although we monitor our credit exposures, default risk may arise from events or circumstances that are difficult to detect, foresee or evaluate. In addition, concerns about, or a default by, one large participant could lead to significant liquidity problems for other participants, which may in turn expose us to significant losses.

In the event of a counterparty default, particularly a default by a major investment bank, we could incur material losses rapidly, and the resulting market impact of a major counterparty default could seriously harm our business, results of operations and financial condition. In the event that one of our counterparties becomes insolvent or files for bankruptcy, our ability to eventually recover any losses suffered as a result of that counterparty’s default may be limited by the liquidity of the counterparty or the applicable legal regime governing the bankruptcy proceeding.

The counterparty risks that we face have increased in complexity and magnitude as a result of the continued deterioration of conditions in the financial markets and weakening or insolvency of a number of major financial institutions (such as Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers, Merrill Lynch, Citigroup and AIG). For example, the consolidation and elimination of counterparties has increased our concentration of counterparty risk and decreased the universe of potential counterparties. We currently finance all of our FNMA/FHLMC securities under a repurchase agreement with one counterparty. If this counterparty elected not to roll this repurchase agreement, it is likely that we would not be able to find a replacement counterparty, which could negatively impact us in a number of ways, including forcing us to sell these securities at distressed prices and use cash on hand to make up for any additional amounts needed to repay the counterparty. Moreover, because we currently hold our FNMA/FHLMC securities mainly to maintain our exemption under the Investment Company Act, the sale of these securities may, if we are unable to return to compliance, require us to register as an investment company or cause us to lose our REIT status, either of which would negatively impact us in a number of ways described below. In addition, counterparties have generally reacted to the ongoing market volatility by tightening their underwriting standards and increasing their margin requirements for all categories of financing, which has negatively impacted us in several ways, including, decreasing the number of counterparties willing to provide financing to us, decreasing the overall amount of leverage available to us, and increasing the costs of borrowing. As a result, we currently finance all of our assets not held in

 

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CBOs with a very concentrated number of counterparties. If one or more of these counterparties elected not to continue to provide financing to us, we would likely not be able to find substitute financing in a timely manner or on economical terms, which could, in turn, significantly harm our ability to conduct our business, our financial condition and results of operations.

We are not restricted from dealing with any particular counterparty or from concentrating any or all of our transactions with one counterparty. Any loss suffered by us as a result of a counterparty defaulting, refusing to conduct business with us or imposing more onerous terms on us would also negatively affect our business, results of operations and financial condition.

Risks Relating to Our Management

We are dependent on our manager and may not find a suitable replacement if our manager terminates the management agreement.

We have no employees. Our officers and other individuals who perform services for us are employees of our manager. We are completely reliant on our manager, which has significant discretion as to the implementation of our operating policies and strategies, to conduct our business. We are subject to the risk that our manager will terminate the management agreement and that we will not be able to find a suitable replacement for our manager in a timely manner, at a reasonable cost or at all. Furthermore, we are dependent on the services of certain key employees of our manager whose compensation is partially or entirely dependent upon the amount of incentive or management compensation earned by our manager and whose continued service is not guaranteed and the loss of such services could adversely affect our operations.

There are conflicts of interest in our relationship with our manager.

Our chairman serves as an officer of our manager. Our management agreement with our manager was not negotiated at arm's-length and its terms, including fees payable, may not be as favorable to us as if it had been negotiated with an unaffiliated third party.

There are conflicts of interest inherent in our relationship with our manager insofar as our manager and its affiliates — including investment funds, private investment funds, or businesses managed by our manager — invest in real estate securities, real estate related loans and operating real estate and whose investment objectives overlap with our investment objectives. Certain investments appropriate for Newcastle may also be appropriate for one or more of these other investment vehicles. Members of our board of directors and employees of our manager who are our officers may serve as officers and/or directors of these other entities. In addition, our manager or its affiliates may have investments in and/or earn fees from such other investment vehicles which are larger than their economic interests in Newcastle and which may therefore create an incentive to allocate investments to such other investment vehicles. Our manager or its affiliates may determine, in their discretion, to make a particular investment through another investment vehicle rather than through Newcastle and have no obligation to offer to Newcastle the opportunity to participate in any particular investment opportunity. Accordingly, it is possible that we may not be given the opportunity to participate at all in certain investments made by our affiliates that meet our investment objectives.

Our management agreement with our manager generally does not limit or restrict our manager or its affiliates from engaging in any business or managing other pooled investment vehicles that invest in investments that meet our investment objectives, except that under our management agreement neither our manager nor any entity controlled by or under common control with our manager is permitted to raise or sponsor any new pooled investment vehicle whose investment policies, guidelines or plan targets as its primary investment category investment in United States dollar-denominated credit sensitive real estate related securities reflecting primarily United States loans or assets. Our manager intends to engage in additional real estate related management and investment opportunities in the future which may compete with us for investments.

The ability of our manager and its officers and employees to engage in other business activities, subject to the terms of our management agreement with our manager, may reduce the time our manager spends managing Newcastle. In addition, we may engage in material transactions with our manager or another entity managed by our manager or one of its affiliates, including certain financing arrangements and co-investments which present an actual, potential or perceived conflict of interest, subject to our investment guidelines. It is possible that actual, potential or perceived conflicts could give rise to investor dissatisfaction, litigation or regulatory enforcement actions. Appropriately dealing with conflicts of interest is complex and difficult, and our reputation could be damaged if we fail, or appear to fail, to deal appropriately with one or more potential, actual or perceived conflicts of interest. Regulatory scrutiny of, or litigation in connection with, conflicts of interest could have a material adverse effect on our reputation which could materially adversely affect our business in a number of ways, including causing an inability to raise additional funds, a reluctance of counterparties to do business with us, a decrease in the prices of our common and preferred securities and a resulting increased risk of litigation and regulatory enforcement actions.

The management compensation structure that we have agreed to with our manager may incentivize our manager to invest in high risk investments. In addition to its management fee, our manager is entitled to receive incentive compensation based in part upon our achievement of targeted levels of funds from operations. In evaluating investments and other management strategies, the opportunity to earn incentive compensation based on funds from

 

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operations may lead our manager to place undue emphasis on the maximization of funds from operations at the expense of other criteria, such as preservation of capital, in order to achieve higher incentive compensation, particularly in light of the fact that our manager has not received any incentive compensation and likely will not receive any incentive compensation in the future unless it meaningfully increases Newcastle’s investment returns. Investments with higher yield potential are generally riskier or more speculative than lower-yielding investments. Moreover, because our manager receives compensation in the form of options in connection with the completion of our common equity offerings, our manager may be incentivized to cause us to issue additional common stock, which could be dilutive to existing shareholders.

It would be difficult and costly to terminate our management agreement with our manager.

Termination of the management agreement with our manager would be difficult and costly. The management agreement may only be terminated annually upon the affirmative vote of at least two-thirds of our independent directors, or by a vote of the holders of a majority of the outstanding shares of our common stock, based upon (1) unsatisfactory performance by our manager that is materially detrimental to us or (2) a determination that the management fee payable to our manager is not fair, subject to our manager's right to prevent such a compensation termination by accepting a mutually acceptable reduction of fees. Our manager will be provided 60 days' prior notice of any termination and will be paid a termination fee equal to the amount of the management fee earned by the manager during the twelve-month period preceding such termination. In addition, following any termination of the management agreement, the manager may require us to purchase its right to receive incentive compensation at a price determined as if our assets were sold for their fair market value (as determined by an appraisal, taking into account, among other things, the expected future value of the underlying investments) or otherwise we may continue to pay the incentive compensation to our manager. These provisions may increase the effective cost to us of terminating the management agreement, thereby adversely affecting our ability to terminate our manager without cause.

Our directors have approved very broad investment guidelines for our manager and do not approve each investment decision made by our manager.

Our manager is authorized to follow very broad investment guidelines. Consequently, our manager has great latitude in determining the types of assets it may decide are proper investments for us. Our directors periodically review our investment guidelines and our investment portfolio. However, our board does not review or pre-approve each proposed investment or our related financing arrangements. In addition, in conducting periodic reviews, the directors rely primarily on information provided to them by our manager. Furthermore, transactions entered into by our manager may be difficult or impossible to unwind by the time they are reviewed by the directors even if the transactions contravene the terms of the management agreement.

We may change our investment strategy without stockholder consent, which may result in our making investments that entail more risk than our current investments.

Our investment strategy may evolve, in light of existing market conditions and investment opportunities, and this evolution may involve additional risks depending upon the nature of such assets and our ability to finance such assets on a short or long term basis. Investment opportunities that present unattractive risk-return profiles relative to other available investment opportunities under particular market conditions may become relatively attractive under changed market conditions and changes in market conditions may therefore result in changes in the investments we target. Decisions to make investments in new asset categories present risks that may be difficult for us to adequately assess and could therefore reduce the stability of our dividends or have adverse effects on our financial condition. A change in our investment strategy may also increase our exposure to interest rate, foreign currency, real estate market or credit market fluctuations. Our failure to accurately assess the risks inherent in new asset categories or the financing risks associated with such assets could adversely affect our results of operations and our financial condition.

Risks Relating to Our Business

Deterioration of market conditions will likely continue to negatively impact our business, results of operations and financial condition, including liquidity.

The market in which we operate is affected by a number of factors that are largely beyond our control but can nonetheless have a potentially significant, negative impact on us. These factors include, among other things:

 

   

Interest rates and credit spreads;

 

   

The availability of credit, including the price, terms and conditions under which it can be obtained;

 

   

The quality, pricing and availability of suitable investments and credit losses with respect to our investments;

 

   

The ability to obtain accurate market-based valuations;

 

   

Loan values relative to the value of the underlying real estate assets;

 

   

Default rates on both commercial and residential mortgages and the amount of the related losses;

 

   

The actual and perceived state of the real estate markets, market for dividend-paying stocks and public capital markets generally;

 

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Unemployment rates; and

 

   

The attractiveness of other types of investments relative to investments in real estate or REITs generally.

Changes in these factors are difficult to predict, and a change in one factor can affect other factors. For example, during 2007, increased default rates in the subprime mortgage market played a role in causing credit spreads to widen, reducing availability of credit on favorable terms, reducing liquidity and price transparency of real estate related assets, resulting in difficulty in obtaining accurate mark-to-market valuations, and causing a negative perception of the state of the real estate markets and of REITs generally. These conditions worsened during 2008 as a result of the ongoing global credit and liquidity crisis and continue to have a significantly negative impact on our results of operations and financial condition. We do not currently know the full extent to which this market disruption will affect us or the markets in which we operate, and we are unable to predict its length or ultimate severity. If the challenging conditions continue, we may experience further tightening of liquidity, additional impairment charges as well as additional challenges in raising capital and obtaining investment or other financing on attractive terms or at all. In addition, if current market conditions continue or deteriorate, we could experience a rapid, significant deterioration of our liquidity, business, results of operations and financial condition and possibly be obliged to file for protection under the United States Bankruptcy Code.

A prolonged economic slowdown, a lengthy or severe recession, or declining real estate values could harm our operations.

We believe the risks associated with our business are more severe during periods similar to those we are currently experiencing in which an economic slowdown or recession is accompanied by declining real estate values. Declining real estate values generally reduce the level of new mortgage loan originations, since borrowers often use increases in the value of their existing properties to support the purchase of, or investment in, additional properties. Borrowers may also be less able to pay principal and interest on our loans, and the loans underlying our securities, if the real estate economy weakens. Further, declining real estate values significantly increase the likelihood that we will incur losses on our loans and securities in the event of default because the value of our collateral may be insufficient to cover our basis. Any sustained period of increased payment delinquencies, foreclosures or losses could adversely affect both our net interest income from loans and securities in our portfolio as well as our ability to originate, sell and securitize loans, which would significantly harm our revenues, results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, business prospects and our ability to make distributions to our shareholders. For more information on the impact of the ongoing global credit and liquidity crisis on our business and results of operations see Part II, Item 7, “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations – Market Considerations.”

We have limited liquidity. We are party to agreements that require cash payments at periodic intervals, including during the next twelve months. Failure to make such required payments have a material adverse affect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.

We are currently party to non-FNMA/FHLMC recourse financing agreements that require us to make cash payments at periodic intervals. During the period from March 17, 2009 through December 31, 2009, we are required to make principal payments under these financing agreements of approximately $56.2 million. Events could occur or circumstances could arise, which we may not be able to foresee, that may cause us to be unable to make these cash payments when they become due. Failure to make the payments required under our financing documents would give the lenders the right to require us to repay all amounts owed to them under the applicable financing immediately. If the lender exercises this right, we likely would not have sufficient cash on hand to repay such amounts, which would cause a rapid deterioration in our financial condition and could necessitate a filing for protection under the United States Bankruptcy Code.

In addition, we are currently party to a construction loan that also requires us to provide cash to the borrower periodically. During the period from March 17, 2009 through December 31, 2009, we currently expect to be required to fund approximately $21.3 million of this loan, outside of our CBOs, although the timing and amount of any funding is subject to change. Under certain circumstances, if another lender in the syndicate defaults on its funding obligation under the loan, we are required to fund a portion of the defaulting lender’s commitment (but in no event are we required to fund more than our aggregate funding commitment under the loan agreement). Recently, one lender under the syndicate did default on its funding obligation, which resulted in our having to fund a greater amount than we expected. Additional defaults by lenders in the future would accelerate the amount of cash that we would be required to loan to the borrower, which would negatively impact our liquidity and could result in the failure of the construction project, which would greatly devalue the collateral available to us to reduce our losses. Moreover, we estimate the timing and amount of future funding requirements under the loan based upon estimates provided to us by the borrower, which are subject to change. If the borrower requests more funds – or requires funding earlier – than previously estimated, these changes could negatively impact our ability to satisfy our other near-term cash requirements.

 

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The use of CBO financings with coverage tests may have a negative impact on our operating results and cash flows.

We have retained, and may in the future retain, subordinate classes of bonds issued by certain of our subsidiaries in our CBO financings. Each of our CBO financings contains tests that measure the amount of over collateralization and excess interest in the transaction. Failure to satisfy these tests would result in principal and/or interest cash flow that would otherwise be distributed to more junior classes of securities (including those held by Newcastle) to be redirected to pay down the most senior class of securities outstanding until the tests are satisfied. As a result, failure to satisfy the coverage tests could adversely affect our operating results and cash flows by temporarily or permanently directing funds that would otherwise come to us to holders of the senior classes of bonds. In addition, the redirected funds would be used to pay down financing which currently bears an attractive rate, thereby reducing our future earnings from the affected CBO. As of March 13, 2009, three of our CBOs, Portfolios VII, VIII and IX, were not in compliance with their applicable over collateralization tests and, consequently, we were not receiving cash flows from these CBOs currently (other than management fees). Based upon our current calculations, two of our CBOs, Portfolios VII and VIII, will not be in compliance with their applicable over collateralization tests as of their next measurement date in March 2009, and we expect these portfolios to remain out of compliance for the foreseeable future. Moreover, given current market conditions, it is possible that all of our CBOs could be out of compliance with their over collateralization tests as of one or more measurement dates within the next twelve months. Our ability to rebalance will depend upon the availability of suitable securities, market prices, whether the reinvestment period of the applicable CBO has ended, and other factors that are beyond our control, such rebalancing efforts may be extremely difficult given current market conditions and we cannot assure you that we will be successful in our rebalancing efforts. If the liabilities of our CBOs are downgraded by Moody’s to certain predetermined levels, our discretion to rebalance the applicable CBO portfolios may be negatively impacted. Moreover, if we bring these coverage tests into compliance, we cannot assure you that they will not fall out of compliance in the future or that we will be able to correct any noncompliance. For more information regarding noncompliance with the terms of certain of our CBO financings in the near future, please see “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations–Liquidity and Capital Resources” and “–Debt Obligations.”

In addition, our CBOs may also contain specific over collateralization tests that, if failed, can result in the occurrence of an event of default or our being removed as collateral manager of the CBO. Failure of the over collateralization tests can also cause a “phantom income” issue if cash that constitutes income is diverted to pay down debt instead of distributed to us.

We may experience an event of default or the removal of us as collateral manager under one or more of our CBOs, which would negatively affect us in a number of ways.

The documentation governing our CBOs specify certain events of default, which, if they occur, would negatively affect us. Events of default include, among other things, failure to pay interest on senior classes of securities within the CBO, breaches of covenants, representations or warranties, bankruptcy, and failure to satisfy specific over collateralization tests. If an event of default occurs under any of our CBOs, it would negatively affect our cash flows, business, results of operations and financial condition.

In addition, we can be removed as manager of a CBO if certain events occur, including the failure to satisfy specific over collateralization tests, failure to satisfy certain “key man” requirements or an event of default occurring for the failure to pay interest on the related senior classes of securities of the CBO. If we are removed as collateral manager, we would no longer receive management fees from — and no longer be able to manage the assets of — the applicable CBO, which would negatively affect our cash flows, business, results of operations and financial condition.

Our investments have previously been — and in the future may be — subject to significant impairment charges, which adversely affect our results of operations.

We are required to periodically evaluate our investments for impairment indicators. The value of an investment is impaired when our analysis indicates that, with respect to a loan, it is probable that we will not be able to collect the full amount we intended to collect from the loan or, with respect to a security, it is probable that the value of security is other than temporarily impaired. The judgment regarding the existence of impairment indicators is based on a variety of factors depending upon the nature of the investment and the manner in which the income related to such investment calculated for purposes of our financial statements. If we determine that an impairment has occurred, we are required to make an adjustment to the net carrying value of the investment, which could adversely affect our results of operations and funds from operations in the applicable period and thereby adversely affect our ability to pay dividends to our stockholders.

 

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As has been widely publicized, the recent and ongoing credit and liquidity crisis has resulted in a number of financial institutions recording an unprecedented amount of impairment charges, and we have also been affected by these conditions. The liquidity crisis has reduced the market trading activity for many real estate securities, resulting in less liquid markets for those securities. These lower valuations have affected us by, among other things, decreasing our net book value and contributing to our decision to record impairment charges during 2007 of approximately $202.6 million.

In the fourth quarter of 2008, in accordance with current accounting rules, we recorded an impairment charge of $2.6 billion through our statement of operations on our securities and loans. For more information regarding this impairment and the events that lead to its being recorded, please refer to Part II, Item 7, “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations – Market Considerations.”

The lenders under our repurchase agreements may elect not to extend financing to us, which could quickly and seriously impair our liquidity.

We have historically financed a meaningful portion of our investments not held in CBOs with repurchase agreements, which are short-term financing arrangements. Under the terms of these agreements, and we may enter into additional repurchase agreements in the future, we sell a security to a counterparty for a specified price and concurrently agree to repurchase the same security from our counterparty at a later date for a higher specified price. During the term of the repurchase agreement – generally 30 days – the counterparty makes funds available to us and holds the security as collateral. Our counterparties can also require us to post additional margin as collateral at any time during the term of the agreement. When the term of a repurchase agreement ends, we are required to repurchase the security for the specified repurchase price, with the difference between the sale and repurchase prices serving as the equivalent of paying interest to the counterparty in return for extending financing to us. If we want to continue to finance the security with a repurchase agreement, we ask the counterparty to extend – or “roll” – the repurchase agreement for another term.

Our counterparties are not required to roll our repurchase agreements upon the expiration of the stated terms, which subjects us to a number of risks. As we have experienced recently and may experience in the future, counterparties electing to roll our repurchase agreements may charge higher spread and impose more onerous terms upon us, including the requirement that we post additional margin as collateral. More significantly, if a repurchase agreement counterparty elects not to extend our financing, we would be required to pay the counterparty the full repurchase price on the maturity date and find an alternate source of financing. Alternate sources of financing may be more expensive, contain more onerous terms or simply may not be available. If we were unable to pay the repurchase price for any security financed with a repurchase agreement, the counterparty has the right to sell the underlying security being held as collateral and require us to compensate them for any shortfall between the value of our obligation to the counterparty and the amount for which the collateral was sold (which may be sold at a significantly discounted price). As of March 13, 2009, we had $49.0 million in repurchase agreement obligations relating to FNMA/FHLMC securities. Moreover, all of our FNMA/FHLMC securities are financed under a repurchase agreement with one counterparty. If this counterparty elected not to roll this repurchase agreement, it is likely that we would not be able to find a replacement counterparty in a timely manner. If one or more of our repurchase agreement counterparties elected not to roll our existing repurchase agreements, such nonrenewal could increase our cost of financing, significantly reduce our liquidity and force us to sell assets at a loss, each of which would cause a rapid deterioration in our financial condition and possibly necessitate a filing for protection under the United States Bankruptcy Code.

Our determination of how much leverage to apply to our investments may adversely affect our return on our investments and may reduce cash available for distribution.

We leverage our portfolio through borrowings, generally through the use of credit facilities, warehouse facilities, repurchase agreements, mortgage loans on real estate, securitizations, including the issuance of CBOs, private or public offerings of debt by subsidiaries, loans to entities in which we hold, directly or indirectly, interests in pools of properties or loans, and other borrowings. Our investment policies do not limit the amount of leverage we may incur with respect to any specific asset or pool of assets, subject to an overall limit on our use of leverage to 90% (as defined in our governing documents) of the value of our assets on an aggregate basis. As a result of the ongoing global credit and liquidity crisis, the return we are able to earn on our investments and cash available for distribution to our stockholders has been significantly reduced due to changes in market conditions causing the cost of our financing to increase relative to the income that can be derived from our assets.

Although we seek to match fund our investments to limit refinance risk and lock in net spreads, we do not currently match fund our investments not held in our CBOs, which increases the risks related to refinancing these investments.

A key to our investment strategy is to finance our investments using match funded financing structures, which match assets and liabilities with respect to maturities and interest rates. This strategy limits our refinance risk, including the risk of being able to refinance an investment on favorable terms or at all. We generally use match funded financing structures, such as CBOs, to finance our investments in real estate securities and loans. However, our manager may elect for us to bear a level of refinancing risk on a short term or longer term basis, such as is the case with investments financed with repurchase agreements, when, based on its analysis, our manager determines that bearing such risk is

 

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deemed advisable or unavoidable (this is generally the case with respect to the residential mortgage loans and FNMA/FHLMC in which we invest). In addition, we may be unable, as a result of conditions in the credit markets, to match fund investments. For example, non-recourse term financing not subject to margin requirements has generally not been available or economical for the past year, and may not be available for an indeterminate period of time, which impairs our ability to match fund our investments. The decision not, or the inability, to match fund certain investments exposes us to additional refinancing risks that may not apply to our other investments.

Furthermore, we anticipate that, in most cases, for any period during which our floating rate assets are not match funded with respect to maturity, the income from such assets may respond more slowly to interest rate fluctuations than the cost of our borrowings. Because of this dynamic, interest income from such investments may rise more slowly than the related interest expense, with a consequent decrease in our net income. Interest rate fluctuations resulting in our interest expense exceeding interest income would result in operating losses for us from these investments.

Accordingly, if we do not or are unable to match fund our investments with respect to maturities and interest rates, we will be exposed to the risk that we may not be able to finance or refinance our investments on economically favorable terms or may have to liquidate assets at a loss.

We may not be able to finance our investments on a long term basis on attractive terms, including by means of securitization, which may require us to seek more costly financing for our investments or to liquidate assets.

When we acquire securities and loans that we finance on a short term basis with a view to securitization or other long term financing, we bear the risk of being unable to securitize the assets or otherwise finance them on a long term basis at attractive prices or in a timely matter, or at all. If it is not possible or economical for us to securitize or otherwise finance such assets on a long term basis, we may be unable to pay down our short term credit facilities, or be required to liquidate the assets at a loss in order to do so. For example, as a result of the continued deterioration in the credit markets beginning in 2007, financing investments with securitizations or other long-term non-recourse financing not subject to margin requirements has not been available or economical for the past year, and we do not expect it to be possible or economical for the foreseeable future. These conditions make it highly likely that we will have to use less efficient forms of financing for any new investments, which will likely require a larger portion of our cash flows to be put toward making the initial investment and thereby reduce the amount of cash available for distribution to our stockholders and funds available for operations and investments, and which will also likely require us to assume higher levels of risk when financing our investments.

The loans we invest in, and the loans underlying the securities and total rate of return swaps we invest in, are subject to delinquency, foreclosure and loss, which could result in losses to us.

Commercial mortgage loans are secured by multifamily or commercial property and are subject to risks of delinquency and foreclosure, and risks of loss. The ability of a borrower to repay a loan secured by an income-producing property typically is dependent primarily upon the successful operation of such property rather than upon the existence of independent income or assets of the borrower. If the net operating income of the property is reduced, the borrower's ability to repay the loan may be impaired. Net operating income of an income-producing property can be affected by, among other things: tenant mix, success of tenant businesses, property management decisions, property location and condition, competition from comparable types of properties, changes in laws that increase operating expense or limit rents that may be charged, any need to address environmental contamination at the property, the occurrence of any uninsured casualty at the property, changes in national, regional or local economic conditions and/or specific industry segments, declines in regional or local real estate values, declines in regional or local rental or occupancy rates, increases in interest rates, changes in the availability of credit on favorable terms, real estate tax rates and other operating expenses, changes in governmental rules, regulations and fiscal policies, including environmental legislation, acts of God, terrorism, social unrest and civil disturbances.

Residential mortgage loans, manufactured housing loans and subprime mortgage loans are secured by single-family residential property and are also subject to risks of delinquency and foreclosure, and risks of loss. The ability of a borrower to repay a loan secured by a residential property is dependent upon the income or assets of the borrower. A number of factors may impair borrowers' abilities to repay their loans, including, among other things, changes in the borrower’s employment status, changes in national, regional or local economic conditions, changes in interest rates or the availability of credit on favorable terms, changes in regional or local real estate values, changes in regional or local rental rates and changes in real estate taxes.

In the event of any default under a loan held directly by us, we will bear a risk of loss of principal to the extent of any deficiency between the value of the collateral and the outstanding principal and accrued but unpaid interest of the loan, which could adversely affect our cash flow from operations. Foreclosure of a loan, particularly a commercial loan, can be an expensive and lengthy process, which would negatively affect our anticipated return on the foreclosed loan.

Mortgage and asset backed securities are bonds or notes backed by loans and/or other financial assets and include commercial mortgage back securities (CMBS), FNMA/FHLMC securities, and real estate related asset backed securities (ABS). The ability of a borrower to repay these loans or other financial assets is dependent upon the income or assets of these borrowers. If a borrower has insufficient income or assets to repay these loans, it will default on its

 

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loan. While we intend to focus on real estate related asset backed securities, there can be no assurance that we will not invest in other types of asset backed securities.

Our investments in mortgage and asset backed securities will be adversely affected by defaults under the loans underlying such securities. To the extent losses are realized on the loans underlying the securities in which we invest, the Company may not recover the amount invested in, or, in extreme cases, any of our investment in, such securities.

We have recently experienced increased default rates on our commercial and residential mortgage loans. For more information, see Item 1, “Business – Our Investment Strategy.”

We face a heightened risk of delinquency and loss from our investment in subprime mortgage loans.

We face a heightened risk of delinquency and loss from our investment in subprime mortgage loans. Subprime mortgage loans are generally loans to credit impaired borrowers and borrowers that are ineligible to qualify for loans from conventional mortgage sources due to loan size, lower credit characteristics or documentation standards. As of December 31, 2008, our subprime mortgage holdings totaled $194.5 million, or 5.6% of our assets. Loans to lower credit grade borrowers generally experience higher-than-average default and loss rates than do loans to borrowers with better credit characteristics. Material differences in the defaults, loss severities and/or prepayments on the subprime mortgage loans we acquire (or on the manufactured housing loans we acquire) from what we estimate in connection with our underwriting of the acquisition of such loans would cause reductions in our income and adversely affect our operating results, both with respect to unsecuritized loans and loans that we have securitized or otherwise financed on a long term match funded basis. We cannot assure you that our underwriting criteria will afford adequate protection against the higher risks associated with loans made to lower credit grade borrowers. If we underestimate the extent of losses that our loans will incur, then our business, financial condition, liquidity and results of operations will be adversely impacted. We have recently experienced increased default rates on our subprime mortgage loans. For more information, see Item 1, “Business – Our Investment Strategy – Subprime Securities” and “– Subprime Retained Securities and Residual Interests.”

Our investments in debt securities are subject to specific risks relating to the particular issuer of the securities and to the general risks of investing in subordinated real estate securities.

Our investments in debt securities involve special risks. REITs generally are required to invest substantially in real estate or real estate-related assets and are subject to the inherent risks associated with real estate-related investments discussed in this report. Our investments in debt are subject to the risks described above with respect to mortgage loans and MBS and similar risks, including:

 

   

risks of delinquency and foreclosure, and risks of loss in the event thereof;

 

   

the dependence upon the successful operation of and net income from real property;

 

   

risks generally incident to interests in real property; and

 

   

risks that may be presented by the type and use of a particular property.

Debt securities may be unsecured and may also be subordinated to other obligations of the issuer. We may also invest in debt securities that are rated below investment grade. As a result, investments in debt securities are also subject to risks of:

 

   

limited liquidity in the secondary trading market;

 

   

substantial market price volatility resulting from changes in prevailing interest rates or credit spreads;

 

   

subordination to the prior claims of senior lenders to the issuer;

 

   

the possibility that earnings of the debt security issuer may be insufficient to meet its debt service; and

 

   

the declining creditworthiness and potential for insolvency of the issuer of such debt securities during periods of rising interest rates and economic downturn.

These risks may adversely affect the value of outstanding debt securities and the ability of the issuers thereof to repay principal and interest.

We may be required to post significant amounts of cash collateral at any time to satisfy our margin requirements under some of our financing arrangements, which could adversely affect our liquidity, results of operations and financial condition.

We finance certain of our investments with debt, such as repurchase agreements and derivatives, that is subject to margin calls. Under the terms of these agreements, the value of assets underlying the debt is marked-to-market by the lender at the lender’s discretion, including on a daily basis. If the value of the underlying asset declines, the lender has the ability to require us to post additional margin – cash or other liquid collateral – to compensate for the decline in value of the asset. (Conversely, if the value of the underlying asset increases, a portion of the margin we previously posted may be returned to us.) We are typically required to post additional margin in response to any margin call within 24 hours in order to avoid defaulting under the terms of the financing arrangement.

 

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We are subject to margin calls at any time, and being forced to post additional margin could adversely affect our business in a number of ways. Posting additional margin would decrease our cash available to make other, higher yielding investments (thereby decreasing our return on equity) or to satisfy other obligations, including future margin calls. For example, during 2007 and 2008, we were required to post approximately $135 million and $266 million, respectively, of additional margin, in large part as a result of the credit and liquidity crisis and resulting market disruption. While we significantly reduced the amount of debt subject to margin calls as of the date of this report, and are currently contractually restricted from entering into new debt financings subject to margin calls other than to finance FNMA/FHLMC securities, we may enter into new debt subject to margin calls in the future. If we do not have the funds available, or otherwise elect not, to satisfy any future margin calls, we could be forced to sell one or more investments at a loss. Moreover, we may be unable, in light of market conditions or other factors, to sell sufficient assets to satisfy the margin requirements within the timeframe required by lenders, which would entitle them to seize the underlying asset and seek payment from us for any shortfall between the value of our obligation to the lender and the value of the asset surrendered. Such a situation would likely result in a rapid deterioration of our financial condition and possibly necessitate a filing for protection under the United States Bankruptcy Code.

We are subject to significant competition and we may not compete successfully.

We are subject to significant competition in seeking investments. We compete with other companies, including other REITs, insurance companies and other investors, including funds and companies affiliated with our manager. Some of our competitors have greater resources than we possess or have greater access to capital or various types of financing structures than are available to us, and we may not be able to compete successfully for investments or provide attractive investment returns relative to our competitors. Furthermore, competition for investments of the type to be made by us may lead to the returns available from such investments decreasing, which may further limit our ability to generate our desired returns. We cannot assure you that other companies will not be formed that compete with us for investments or otherwise pursue investment strategies similar to ours or that we will be able to complete successfully against any such companies.

Both during the ramp up phase of a potential CBO financing and following the closing of a CBO financing when we have locked in the liability costs for a CBO during the reinvestment period, the rate at which we are able to acquire eligible investments and changes in market conditions may adversely affect our anticipated returns.

We seek to acquire real estate securities and loans and finance them on a long term basis, typically through the issuance of collateralized bond obligations. We use short term warehouse lines of credit or other arrangements to finance the acquisition of real estate securities and loans until a sufficient quantity of assets are accumulated, at which time we may refinance these lines through a securitization, such as a CBO financing, or other long term financing. As a result, we are subject to the risk that we will not be able to acquire, during the period that any warehouse facility or short-term financing is available, a sufficient amount of eligible assets to maximize the efficiency of a collateralized bond obligation financing. In addition, conditions in the capital markets may make the issuance of a collateralized bond obligation impossible or economically unattractive to us when we do have a sufficient pool of collateral. If we are unable to issue a collateralized bond obligation to finance these assets, we may be required to seek other forms of less attractive financing or otherwise to liquidate the assets.

In addition, following each CBO financing we must invest both the net cash raised in the financing as well as cash proceeds of any prepayment or assets which we determine to sell. Until we are able to acquire sufficient assets, our returns will reflect income earned on uninvested cash and, having locked in the cost of liabilities for the particular CBO, the particular CBO’s returns will be at risk of declining to the extent that yields on the assets to be acquired decline.

In general, our ability to acquire appropriate investments depends upon the supply in the market of investments we deem suitable, and changes in various economic factors may affect our determination of what constitutes a suitable investment.

Our returns will be adversely affected when investments held in CBOs are prepaid or sold subsequent to the reinvestment period.

Real estate securities and loans are subject to prepayment risk. In addition, we may sell, and realize gains (or losses) on, investments. To the extent such assets were held in CBOs subsequent to the end of the reinvestment period, the proceeds are fully utilized to pay down the related CBOs debt. This causes the leverage on the CBO to decrease, thereby lowering our returns on equity.

Our investments in senior unsecured REIT securities are subject to specific risks relating to the particular REIT issuer and to the general risks of investing in subordinated real estate securities, which may result in losses to us.

Our investments in REIT securities involve special risks relating to the particular REIT issuer of the securities, including the financial condition and business outlook of the issuer. REITs generally are required to substantially invest in operating real estate or real estate related assets and are subject to the inherent risks associated with real estate related investments discussed in this report.

 

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Our investments in REIT securities are also subject to the risks described above with respect to mortgage loans and mortgage backed securities and similar risks, including (i) risks of delinquency and foreclosure, and risks of loss in the event thereof, (ii) the dependence upon the successful operation of and net income from real property, (iii) risks generally incident to interests in real property, and (iv) risks that may be presented by the type and use of a particular commercial property.

REIT securities are generally unsecured and may also be subordinated to other obligations of the issuer. We may also invest in REIT securities that are rated below investment grade. As a result, investments in REIT securities are also subject to risks of: (i) limited liquidity in the secondary trading market, (ii) substantial market price volatility resulting from changes in prevailing interest rates, (iii) subordination to the prior claims of banks and other senior lenders to the issuer, (iv) the operation of mandatory sinking fund or call/redemption provisions during periods of declining interest rates that could cause the issuer to reinvest premature redemption proceeds in lower yielding assets, (v) the possibility that earnings of the REIT issuer may be insufficient to meet its debt service and dividend obligations and (vi) the declining creditworthiness and potential for insolvency of the issuer of such REIT securities during periods of rising interest rates and economic downturn. These risks may adversely affect the value of outstanding REIT securities and the ability of the issuers thereof to repay principal and interest or make dividend payments.

The real estate related loans and other direct and indirect interests in pools of real estate properties or other loans that we invest in may be subject to additional risks relating to the structure and terms of these transactions, which may result in losses to us.

We invest in real estate related loans and other direct and indirect interests in pools of real estate properties or loans such as mezzanine loans and “B Note” mortgage loans. We invest in mezzanine loans that take the form of subordinated loans secured by second mortgages on the underlying real property or other business assets or revenue streams or loans secured by a pledge of the ownership interests of the entity owning real property or other business assets or revenue streams (or the ownership interest of the parent of such entity). These types of investments involve a higher degree of risk than long term senior lending secured by business assets or income producing real property because the investment may become unsecured as a result of foreclosure by a senior lender. In the event of a bankruptcy of the entity providing the pledge of its ownership interests as security, we may not have full recourse to the assets of such entity, or the assets of the entity may not be sufficient to repay our mezzanine loan. If a borrower defaults on our mezzanine loan or debt senior to our loan, or in the event of a borrower bankruptcy, our mezzanine loan will be satisfied only after the senior debt is repaid in full. As a result, we may not recover some or all of our investment. In addition, mezzanine loans may have higher loan to value ratios than conventional mortgage loans, resulting in less equity in the property and increasing the risk of loss of principal.

We also invest in mortgage loans (“B Notes”) that while secured by a first mortgage on a single large commercial property or group of related properties are subordinated to an “A Note” secured by the same first mortgage on the same collateral. As a result, if an issuer defaults, there may not be sufficient funds remaining for B Note holders. B Notes reflect similar credit risks to comparably rated commercial mortgage backed securities. In addition, we invest, directly or indirectly, in pools of real estate properties or loans. However, since each transaction is privately negotiated, these investments can vary in their structural characteristics and risks. For example, the rights of holders of B Notes to control the process following a borrower default may vary from transaction to transaction, while investments in pools of real estate properties or loans may be subject to varying contractual arrangements with third party co-investors in such pools. Further, B Notes typically are secured by a single property, and so reflect the risks associated with significant concentration. These investments also are less liquid than commercial mortgage backed securities.

We may not be able to extend any total return swaps that we enter into in the event that the maturity of the underlying asset is extended, which could adversely impact our leveraging strategy.

Subject to maintaining our qualification as a REIT, from time to time we leverage certain of our investments through the use of total return swaps. While we are not currently party to any total return swaps, we may enter into one or more total return swaps in the future. We may wish to renew many of such swaps, which are for specified terms, as they mature, particularly in the event that the maturity of the underlying asset is extended. However, there is a limited number of providers of such swaps, and there is no assurance the initial swap providers will choose to renew the swaps, and — if they do not renew — that we would be able to obtain suitable replacement providers. Providers may choose not to renew our total return swaps for a number of reasons, including:

 

   

increases in the provider’s cost of funding;

 

   

insufficient volume of business with a particular provider;

 

   

a desire by our company to invest in a type of swap that the provider does not view as economically attractive due to changes in interest rates or other market factors; or

 

   

the inability of our company and a provider to agree on terms.

Furthermore, our ability to invest in total return swaps, other than through a taxable REIT subsidiary, or TRS, may be severely limited by the REIT qualification requirements because total return swaps are not qualifying assets and do not produce qualifying income for purposes of the REIT asset and income tests.

 

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Investment in non-investment grade loans may involve increased risk of loss.

We acquire and may continue to acquire in the future certain loans that do not conform to conventional loan criteria applied by traditional lenders and are not rated or are rated as non-investment grade (for example, for investments rated by Moody’s Investors Service, ratings lower than Baa3, and for Standard & Poor’s, BBB- or below). The non-investment grade ratings for these loans typically result from the overall leverage of the loans, the lack of a strong operating history for the properties underlying the loans, the borrowers’ credit history, the properties’ underlying cash flow or other factors. As a result, these loans have a higher risk of default and loss than conventional loans. Any loss we incur may reduce distributions to our stockholders. There are no limits on the percentage of unrated or non-investment grade assets we may hold in our portfolio.

Insurance on real estate in which we have interests (including the real estate serving as collateral for our real estate securities and loans) may not cover all losses.

There are certain types of losses, generally of a catastrophic nature, such as earthquakes, floods, hurricanes, terrorism or acts of war, that may be uninsurable or not economically insurable. Inflation, changes in building codes and ordinances, environmental considerations, and other factors, including terrorism or acts of war, also might make the insurance proceeds insufficient to repair or replace a property if it is damaged or destroyed. Under such circumstances, the insurance proceeds received might not be adequate to restore our economic position with respect to the affected real property. As a result of the events of September 11, 2001, insurance companies are limiting and/or excluding coverage for acts of terrorism in insurance policies. As a result, we may suffer losses from acts of terrorism that are not covered by insurance.

In addition, the mortgage loans that are secured by certain of the properties in which we have interests contain customary covenants, including covenants that require property insurance to be maintained in an amount equal to the replacement cost of the properties. There can be no assurance that the lenders under these mortgage loans will not take the position that exclusions from coverage for losses due to terrorist acts is a breach of a covenant which, if uncured, could allow the lenders to declare an event of default and accelerate repayment of the mortgage loans.

Many of our investments are illiquid, and this lack of liquidity could significantly impede our ability to vary our portfolio in response to changes in economic and other conditions or to realize the value at which such investments are carried if we are required to dispose of them.

The real estate properties that we own and operate and our other direct and indirect investments in real estate and real estate related assets are generally illiquid. Our investments in unconsolidated subsidiaries are also illiquid. In addition, the real estate securities that we purchase in connection with privately negotiated transactions are not registered under the relevant securities laws, resulting in a prohibition against their transfer, sale, pledge or other disposition except in a transaction that is exempt from the registration requirements of, or is otherwise in accordance with, those laws. In addition, there are no established trading markets for a majority of our investments. As a result, our ability to vary our portfolio in response to changes in economic and other conditions may be limited.

Our securities have historically been valued based primarily on third party quotations, which are subject to significant variability based on the liquidity and price transparency created by market trading activity. The ongoing dislocation in the trading markets has continued to reduce the trading for many real estate securities, resulting in less transparent prices for those securities. Consequently, it is currently more difficult for us to sell many of our assets now that it has been historically because, if we were to sell such assets, we will likely not have access to readily ascertainable market prices when establishing valuations of them. Moreover, currently there is a relatively low market demand for the vast majority of the types of assets that we hold, which may make it extremely difficult to sell assets. If we are required to liquidate all or a portion of our illiquid investments quickly, we may realize significantly less than the amount at which we have previously valued these investments.

Interest rate fluctuations and shifts in the yield curve may cause losses.

Our primary interest rate exposures relate to our real estate securities, loans, floating rate debt obligations and interest rate swaps. Changes in interest rates, including changes in expected interest rates or “yield curves,” affect our business in a number of ways. Changes in the general level of interest rates can affect our net interest income, which is the difference between the interest income earned on our interest-earning assets and the interest expense incurred in connection with our interest-bearing liabilities and hedges. Changes in the level of interest rates also can affect, among other things, our ability to acquire real estate securities and loans at attractive prices, the value of our real estate securities, loans and derivatives and our ability to realize gains from the sale of such assets.

In the event of a significant rising interest rate environment and/or economic downturn, loan and collateral defaults may increase and result in credit losses that would adversely affect our liquidity and operating results. Interest rates are highly sensitive to many factors, including governmental monetary and tax policies, domestic and international economic and political conditions, and other factors beyond our control.

Our ability to execute our business strategy, particularly the growth of our investment portfolio, depends to a significant degree on our ability to obtain additional capital. Our financing strategy is dependent on our ability to place

 

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the match funded debt we use to finance our investments at rates that provide a positive net spread. If spreads for such liabilities widen or if demand for such liabilities ceases to exist, then our ability to execute future financings will be severely restricted.

Interest rate changes may also impact our net book value as our real estate securities, real estate related loans and hedge derivatives are marked to market each quarter. Debt obligations are not marked to market. Generally, as interest rates increase, the value of our fixed rate securities decreases, which will decrease the book value of our equity.

Furthermore, shifts in the U.S. Treasury yield curve reflecting an increase in interest rates would also affect the yield required on our real estate securities and therefore their value. For example, increasing interest rates would reduce the value of the fixed rate assets we hold at the time because the higher yields required by increased interest rates result in lower market prices on existing fixed rate assets in order to adjust the yield upward to meet the market, and vice versa. This would have similar effects on our real estate securities portfolio and our financial position and operations to a change in interest rates generally.

Our investments in real estate securities and loans are subject to changes in credit spreads, which could adversely affect our ability to realize gains on the sale of such investments.

Real estate securities and loans are subject to changes in credit spreads. Credit spreads measure the yield demanded on securities and loans by the market based on their credit relative to a specific benchmark.

Fixed rate securities and loans are valued based on a market credit spread over the rate payable on fixed rate U.S. Treasuries of like maturity. Floating rate securities and loans are valued based on a market credit spread over LIBOR and are affected similarly by changes in LIBOR spreads. Excessive supply of these securities combined with reduced demand will generally cause the market to require a higher yield on these securities and loans, resulting in the use of a higher, or “wider,” spread over the benchmark rate to value such securities. Under such conditions, the value of our real estate securities and loan portfolios would tend to decline. Conversely, if the spread used to value such securities were to decrease, or “tighten,” the value of our real estate securities portfolio would tend to increase. Such changes in the market value of our real estate securities and loan portfolios may affect our net equity, net income or cash flow directly through their impact on unrealized gains or losses on available for sale securities, and therefore our ability to realize gains on such securities, or indirectly through their impact on our ability to borrow and access capital. During 2007 and 2008 credit spreads widened substantially. This widening of credit spreads caused the net unrealized gains on our securities, loans and derivatives, recorded in accumulated other comprehensive income or retained earnings, and therefore our book value per share, to decrease and resulted in net losses.

In addition, if the value of our loans subject to financing agreements were to decline, it could affect our ability to refinance such loans upon the maturity of the related repurchase agreements. Any credit or spread related losses incurred with respect to our loans would affect us in the same way as similar losses on our real estate securities portfolio as described above.

In addition, widening credit spreads will generally result in a decrease in the mark to market value of certain investments which are treated as derivatives on our balance sheet, such as total rate of return swaps. Since changes in the value of such assets are reflected in our income statement, this would result in a decrease in our net income. To the extent that we choose to make investments in real estate related assets by means of entering into total rate of return swaps, our net income will be susceptible to decreases stemming from credit spread changes.

Any hedging transactions that we enter into may limit our gains or result in losses.

We use derivatives to hedge a portion of our interest rate exposure, and this approach has certain risks, including the risk that losses on a hedge position will reduce the cash available for distribution to stockholders and that such losses may exceed the amount invested in such instruments. We have adopted a general policy with respect to the use of derivatives, which generally allows us to use derivatives where appropriate, but does not set forth specific policies and procedures or require that we hedge any specific amount of risk. From time to time, we use derivative instruments, including forwards, futures, swaps and options, in our risk management strategy to limit the effects of changes in interest rates on our operations. A hedge may not be effective in eliminating all of the risks inherent in any particular position. Our profitability may be adversely affected during any period as a result of the use of derivatives.

There are limits to the ability of hedging strategy to protect us completely against interest rate risks. When rates change, we expect the gain or loss on derivatives to be offset by a related but inverse change in the value of the items, generally our liabilities, which we hedge. We cannot assure you, however, that our use of derivatives will offset the risks related to changes in interest rates. We cannot assure you that our hedging strategy and the derivatives that we use will adequately offset the risk of interest rate volatility or that our hedging transactions will not result in losses. In addition, our hedging strategy may limit our flexibility by causing us to refrain from taking certain actions that would be potentially profitable but would cause adverse consequences under the terms of our hedging arrangements.

In managing our hedge instruments, we consider the effect of the expected hedging income on the REIT qualification tests that limit the amount of gross income that a REIT may receive from hedging. The REIT provisions of the

 

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Internal Revenue Code limit our ability to hedge. We need to carefully monitor, and may have to limit, our hedging strategy to assure that we do not realize hedging income, or hold hedges having a value, in excess of the amounts which would cause us to fail the REIT gross income and asset tests.

Accounting for derivatives under GAAP is extremely complicated. Any failure by us to account for our derivatives properly in accordance with GAAP in our financial statements could adversely affect our earnings.

Under certain conditions, increases in prepayment rates can adversely affect yields on certain investments, including our residential mortgage loans.

The value of our assets may be affected by prepayment rates on our residential mortgage loans and other floating rate assets. Prepayment rates are influenced by changes in current interest rates and a variety of economic, geographic and other factors beyond our control, and consequently, such prepayment rates cannot be predicted with certainty. In periods of declining mortgage interest rates, prepayments on loans generally increase. If general interest rates decline as well, the proceeds of such prepayments received during such periods are likely to be reinvested by us in assets yielding less than the yields on the assets that were prepaid. In addition, the market value of floating rate assets may, because of the risk of prepayment, benefit less than fixed rate assets from declining interest rates. Conversely, in periods of rising interest rates, prepayments on loans generally decrease, in which case we would not have the prepayment proceeds available to invest in assets with higher yields. Under certain interest rate and prepayment scenarios we may fail to recoup fully our cost of acquisition of certain investments.

In addition, when market conditions lead us to increase the portion of our CBO investments that are comprised of floating rate securities, the risk of assets inside our CBOs prepaying increases. Since our CBO financing costs are locked in, reinvestment of such prepayment proceeds at lower yields than the initial investments, as a result of changes in the interest rate or credit spread environment, will result in a decrease of the return on our equity and therefore our net income.

Environmental compliance costs and liabilities with respect to our real estate in which we have interests may adversely affect our results of operations.

Our operating costs may be affected by our obligation to pay for the cost of complying with existing environmental laws, ordinances and regulations, as well as the cost of complying with future legislation with respect to the assets, or loans secured by assets, with environmental problems that materially impair the value of the assets. Under various federal, state and local environmental laws, ordinances and regulations, a current or previous owner or operator of real property may be liable for the costs of removal or remediation of hazardous or toxic substances on, under, or in such property. Such laws often impose liability whether or not the owner or operator knew of, or was responsible for, the presence of such hazardous or toxic substances. In addition, the presence of hazardous or toxic substances, or the failure to remediate properly, may adversely affect the owner’s ability to borrow by using such real property as collateral. Certain environmental laws and common law principles could be used to impose liability for releases of hazardous materials, including asbestos-containing materials, into the environment, and third parties may seek recovery from owners or operators of real properties for personal injury associated with exposure to released asbestos-containing materials or other hazardous materials. Environmental laws may also impose restrictions on the manner in which a property may be used or transferred or in which businesses it may be operated, and these restrictions may require expenditures. In connection with the direct or indirect ownership and operation of properties, we may be potentially liable for any such costs. The cost of defending against claims of liability or remediating contaminated property and the cost of complying with environmental laws could adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition.

Risks Relating to Our REIT Status and Other Matters

Our failure to qualify as a REIT would result in higher taxes and reduced cash available for distribution to our stockholders.

We operate in a manner intended to qualify as a REIT for federal income tax purposes. Our ability to satisfy the asset tests depends upon our analysis of the fair market values of our assets, some of which are not susceptible to a precise determination, and for which we will not obtain independent appraisals. Our compliance with the REIT income and quarterly asset requirements also depends upon our ability to successfully manage the composition of our income and assets on an ongoing basis. Moreover, the proper classification of an instrument as debt or equity for federal income tax purposes, and the tax treatment of participation interests that we hold in mortgage loans and mezzanine loans, may be uncertain in some circumstances, which could affect the application of the REIT qualification requirements. Accordingly, there can be no assurance that the IRS will not contend that our interests in subsidiaries or other issuers will not cause a violation of the REIT requirements.

If we were to fail to qualify as a REIT in any taxable year, we would be subject to federal income tax, including any applicable alternative minimum tax, on our taxable income at regular corporate rates, and distributions to stockholders would not be deductible by us in computing our taxable income. Any such corporate tax liability could be substantial and would reduce the amount of cash available for distribution to our stockholders, which in turn could have an adverse impact on the value of, and trading prices for, our stock. Unless entitled to relief under certain Internal Revenue Code provisions, we also would be disqualified from taxation as a REIT for the four taxable years following the year during which we ceased to qualify as a REIT.

 

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Our failure to qualify as a REIT would constitute an event of default under a significant number of our financings and other agreements and would cause our common and preferred stock to be delisted from the NYSE.

Our failure to qualify as a REIT would constitute an event of default under a significant number of our financing and other agreements, which would, in turn, result in either the acceleration of the amounts we owe to the applicable counterparty or otherwise give our counterparty the right to terminate the applicable agreement. Either scenario would likely have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and ability to conduct our business, which would likely, in turn, require the Company to restructure or file for protection under the U.S. Bankruptcy Code.

In addition, the New York Stock Exchange requires, as a condition to the continued listing of our common and preferred shares, that we maintain our REIT status. Consequently, if we fail to maintain our REIT status, our common and preferred shares would promptly be delisted from the NYSE, which would decrease the trading activity of such shares. This could make it difficult to sell shares and could cause the market volume of the shares trading to decline.

If Newcastle was delisted as a result of losing its REIT status and desired to relist its shares on the NYSE, the Company would have to reapply to the NYSE to be listed as a domestic corporation. As the NYSE’s listing standards for REITS are less onerous than its standards for domestic corporations, it would be more difficult for the Company to become a listed company under these heightened standards. Given current conditions, Newcastle would not be able to satisfy the NYSE’s listing standards for a domestic corporation. As a result, if it were delisted from the NYSE, it likely would not be able to relist as a domestic corporation, and thus the Company’s common and preferred shares could not trade on the NYSE.

Dividends payable by REITs do not qualify for the reduced tax rates.

Tax law changes in 2003 reduced the maximum tax rate for dividends payable to individuals from 35% to 15% (through 2010). Dividends payable by REITs, however, are generally not eligible for the reduced rates. Although this legislation does not adversely affect the taxation of REITs or dividends paid by REITs, the more favorable rates applicable to regular corporate dividends could cause investors who are individuals, trusts and estates to perceive investments in REITs to be relatively less attractive than investments in the stocks of non-REIT corporations that pay dividends, which could adversely affect the value of the stock of REITs, including our common stock. In addition, the relative attractiveness of real estate in general may be adversely affected by the newly favorable tax treatment given to corporate dividends, which could affect the value of our real estate assets negatively.

REIT distribution requirements could adversely affect our liquidity and our ability to execute our business plan.

We generally must distribute annually at least 90% of our net taxable income, excluding any net capital gain, in order for corporate income tax not to apply to earnings that we distribute. We intend to make distributions to our stockholders to comply with the requirements of the Internal Revenue Code. However, differences in timing between the recognition of taxable income and the actual receipt of cash could require us to sell assets or borrow funds on a short-term or long-term basis to meet the 90% distribution requirement of the Internal Revenue Code. Certain of our assets may generate substantial mismatches between taxable income and available cash. As a result, the requirement to distribute a substantial portion of our net taxable income could cause us to: (i) sell assets in adverse market conditions, (ii) borrow on unfavorable terms or (iii) distribute amounts that would otherwise be invested in future acquisitions, capital expenditures or repayment of debt, in order to comply with REIT requirements. Further, amounts distributed will not be available to fund investment activities. If we fail to obtain debt or equity capital in the future, it could limit our ability to satisfy our liquidity needs, which could adversely affect the value of our common stock.

We may be unable to generate sufficient revenue from operations to pay our operating expenses and to pay distributions to our stockholders.

As a REIT, we are generally required to distribute at least 90% of our REIT taxable income (determined without regard to the dividends paid deduction and not including net capital losses) each year to our stockholders. To qualify for the tax benefits accorded to REITs, we intend to make distributions to our stockholders in amounts such that we distribute all or substantially all our net taxable income each year, subject to certain adjustments. However, our ability to make distributions may be adversely affected by the risk factors described in this Annual Report on Form 10-K, particularly in light of current market conditions. In the event of a continued downturn in our operating results and financial performance or continued declines in the value of our asset portfolio, we may be unable to declare or pay quarterly distributions or make distributions to our stockholders, and we may elect to comply with our REIT distribution requirements by, after completing various procedural steps, distributing, under certain circumstances, up to 90% of the required amount in the form of common shares in lieu of cash. The timing and amount of distributions are in the sole discretion of our board of directors, which considers, among other factors, our earnings, financial condition, debt service obligations and applicable debt covenants, REIT qualification requirements and other tax considerations and capital expenditure requirements as our board may deem relevant from time to time.

 

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The stock ownership limit imposed by the Internal Revenue Code for REITs and our charter may inhibit market activity in our stock and restrict our business combination opportunities.

In order for us to maintain our qualification as a REIT under the Internal Revenue Code, not more than 50% in value of our outstanding stock may be owned, directly or indirectly, by five or fewer individuals (as defined in the Internal Revenue Code to include certain entities) at any time during the last half of each taxable year after our first year. Our charter, with certain exceptions, authorizes our board of directors to take the actions that are necessary and desirable to preserve our qualification as a REIT. Unless exempted by our board of directors, no person may own more than 8% of the aggregate value of our outstanding capital stock, treating classes and series of our stock in the aggregate, or more than 25% of the outstanding shares of our Series B Preferred Stock, Series C Preferred Stock or our Series D Preferred Stock. Our board may grant an exemption in its sole discretion, subject to such conditions, representations and undertakings as it may determine in its sole discretion. These ownership limits could delay or prevent a transaction or a change in our control that might involve a premium price for our common stock or otherwise be in the best interest of our stockholders. Our board has granted limited exemptions to an affiliate of our manager, a third party group of funds managed by Cohen & Steers, and certain affiliates of these entities.

Even if we remain qualified as a REIT, we may face other tax liabilities that reduce our cash flow.

Even if we remain qualified for taxation as a REIT, we may be subject to certain federal, state and local taxes on our income and assets, including taxes on any undistributed income, tax on income from some activities conducted as a result of a foreclosure, and state or local income, property and transfer taxes, such as mortgage recording taxes. Moreover, if a REIT distributes less than 85% of its taxable income to its stockholders during any calendar year (including any distributions declared by the last day of the calendar year but paid in the subsequent year), then it is required to pay an excise tax on 4% of any shortfall between the required 85% and the amount that was actually distributed. Any of these taxes would decrease cash available for distribution to our stockholders. In addition, in order to meet the REIT qualification requirements, or to avert the imposition of a 100% tax that applies to certain gains derived by a REIT from dealer property or inventory, we may hold some of our assets through taxable REIT subsidiaries. Such subsidiaries will be subject to corporate level income tax at regular rates.

Complying with REIT requirements may cause us to forego otherwise attractive opportunities.

To qualify as a REIT for federal income tax purposes, we must continually satisfy tests concerning, among other things, the sources of our income, the nature and diversification of our assets, the amounts we distribute to our stockholders and the ownership of our stock. We also may be required to make distributions to stockholders at disadvantageous times or when we do not have funds readily available for distribution. Thus, compliance with the REIT requirements may hinder our ability to make certain attractive investments.

Complying with REIT requirements may limit our ability to hedge effectively.

The existing REIT provisions of the Internal Revenue Code may substantially limit our ability to hedge our operations because a significant amount of the income from those hedging transactions is likely to be treated as non-qualifying income for purposes of both of satisfying REIT gross income tests. In addition, we must limit our aggregate income from non-qualified hedging transactions, from our provision of services and from other non-qualifying sources, to less than 5% of our annual gross income (determined without regard to gross income from qualified hedging transactions). As a result, we may have to limit our use of certain hedging techniques or implement those hedges through total return swaps. This could result in greater risks associated with changes in interest rates than we would otherwise want to incur or could increase the cost of our hedging activities. If we fail to comply with these limitations, we could lose our REIT qualification for U.S. federal income tax purposes, unless our failure was due to reasonable cause and not due to willful neglect, and we meet certain other technical requirements. Even if our failure was due to reasonable cause, we might incur a penalty tax.

The “taxable mortgage pool” rules may increase the taxes that we or our stockholders may incur, and may limit the manner in which we effect future securitizations.

Certain of our securitizations have resulted in the creation of taxable mortgage pools for federal income tax purposes. As a REIT, so long as we own 100% of the equity interests in a taxable mortgage pool, we would generally not be adversely affected by the characterization of the securitization as a taxable mortgage pool. Certain categories of stockholders, however, such as foreign stockholders eligible for treaty or other benefits, stockholders with net operating losses, and certain tax-exempt stockholders that are subject to unrelated business income tax, could be subject to increased taxes on a portion of their dividend income from us that is attributable to the taxable mortgage pool. In addition, to the extent that our stock is owned by tax-exempt “disqualified organizations,” such as certain government-related entities and charitable remainder trusts that are not subject to tax on unrelated business income, we may incur a corporate level tax on a portion of our income from the taxable mortgage pool. In that case, we may reduce the amount of our distributions to any disqualified organization whose stock ownership gave rise to the tax.

Maintenance of our Investment Company Act exemption imposes limits on our operations.

We conduct our operations so as not to become regulated as an investment company under the Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended. We believe that there are a number of exemptions under the Investment Company Act that may be applicable to us. The assets that we may acquire, therefore, are limited by the provisions of the Investment

 

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Company Act and the rules and regulations promulgated under the Investment Company Act. In addition, we could, among other things, be required either (a) to change the manner in which we conduct our operations to avoid being required to register as an investment company or (b) to register as an investment company, either of which could adversely affect us and the market price for our stock.

ERISA may restrict investments by plans in our common stock.

A plan fiduciary considering an investment in our common stock should consider, among other things, whether such an investment is consistent with the fiduciary obligations under ERISA, including whether such investment might constitute or give rise to a prohibited transaction under ERISA, the Internal Revenue Code or any substantially similar federal, state or local law and, if so, whether an exemption from such prohibited transaction rules is available.

Maryland takeover statutes may prevent a change of our control. This could depress our stock price.

Under Maryland law, “business combinations” between a Maryland corporation and an interested stockholder or an affiliate of an interested stockholder are prohibited for five years after the most recent date on which the interested stockholder becomes an interested stockholder. These business combinations include certain mergers, consolidations, share exchanges, or, in circumstances specified in the statute, an asset transfer or issuance or reclassification of equity securities or a liquidation or dissolution. An interested stockholder is defined as:

 

   

any person who beneficially owns 10% or more of the voting power of the corporation’s outstanding shares; or

 

   

an affiliate or associate of a corporation who, at any time within the two-year period prior to the date in question, was the beneficial owner of 10% or more of the voting power of the then outstanding stock of the corporation.

A person is not an interested stockholder under the statute if the board of directors approved in advance the transaction by which he or she otherwise would have become an interested stockholder.

After the five-year prohibition, any business combination between the Maryland corporation and an interested stockholder generally must be recommended by the board of directors of the corporation and approved by the affirmative vote of at least:

 

   

80% of the votes entitled to be cast by holders of outstanding shares of voting stock of the corporation voting together as a single group; and

 

   

two-thirds of the votes entitled to be cast by holders of voting stock of the corporation other than shares held by the interested stockholder with whom or with whose affiliate the business combination is to be effected or held by an affiliate or associate of the interested stockholder voting together as a single voting group.

The business combination statute may discourage others from trying to acquire control of us and increase the difficulty of consummating any offer, including potential acquisitions that might involve a premium price for our common stock or otherwise be in the best interest of our stockholders.

Our authorized, but unissued common and preferred stock may prevent a change in our control.

Our charter authorizes us to issue additional authorized but unissued shares of our common stock or preferred stock. In addition, our board of directors may classify or reclassify any unissued shares of common stock or preferred stock and may set the preferences, rights and other terms of the classified or reclassified shares. As a result, our board may establish a series of preferred stock that could delay or prevent a transaction or a change in control that might involve a premium price for our common stock or otherwise be in the best interest of our stockholders.

Our stockholder rights plan could inhibit a change in our control.

We have adopted a stockholder rights agreement. Under the terms of the rights agreement, in general, if a person or group acquires more than 15% of the outstanding shares of our common stock, all of our other common stockholders will have the right to purchase securities from us at a discount to such securities’ fair market value, thus causing substantial dilution to the acquiring person. The rights agreement may have the effect of inhibiting or impeding a change in control not approved by our board of directors and, therefore, could adversely affect our stockholders’ ability to realize a premium over the then-prevailing market price for our common stock in connection with such a transaction. In addition, since our board of directors can prevent the rights agreement from operating, in the event our board approves of an acquiring person, the rights agreement gives our board of directors significant discretion over whether a potential acquirer’s efforts to acquire a large interest in us will be successful. Because the rights agreement contains provisions that are designed to assure that the executive officers, our manager and its affiliates will never, alone, be considered a group that is an acquiring person, the rights agreement provides the executive officers, our manager and its affiliates with certain advantages under the rights agreement that are not available to other stockholders.

 

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Our staggered board and other provisions of our charter and bylaws may prevent a change in our control.

Our board of directors is divided into three classes of directors. Directors of each class are chosen for three-year terms upon the expiration of their current terms, and each year one class of directors is elected by the stockholders. The staggered terms of our directors may reduce the possibility of a tender offer or an attempt at a change in control, even though a tender offer or change in control might be in the best interest of our stockholders. In addition, our charter and bylaws also contain other provisions that may delay or prevent a transaction or a change in control that might involve a premium price for our common stock or otherwise be in the best interest of our stockholders.

Risks Related to Our Common Shares

We are currently not in compliance with one of the NYSE’s listing standards, and our shares of common stock and preferred stock may be delisted from the NYSE in the near future, which would reduce the trading activity and share price of both our common and preferred shares.

The New York Stock Exchange (“NYSE”) requires companies who list their shares on the exchange to comply with the NYSE’s regulations, a portion of which are referred to as the continued listing standards. As previously disclosed, on January 26, 2009, Newcastle received a notification from the NYSE that the Company was not in compliance with one of the NYSE’s continued listing standards, which requires that the average closing price of the Company’s common shares equal at least $1.00 per share over a 30 consecutive trading-day period. Under NYSE rules (as recently revised), the Company has until November 2009 to bring its 30-day average closing common share price above $1.00 per share in order to avoid the delisting of its common shares. While the Company notified the NYSE of its intent to cure this deficiency, the Company cannot provide any assurance that it will be able to do so. If the Company does not bring the average closing price of its common shares above $1.00 within the cure period, the NYSE will likely delist both the Company’s common stock as well as its preferred stock. If this delisting occurs, then shares of the Company’s common stock and preferred stock will likely trade on a less active trading platform, which would almost certainly decrease the trading activity of the Company’s common and preferred stock. This could make it difficult to sell shares and could cause the market volume of the shares trading to decline.

Even if the Company is able to cure the compliance deficiency described above, the Company could fail other tests under the NYSE’s continued listing standards such as the requirement that the Company maintain its status as a REIT or that its global market capitalization be not less than $25 million during any consecutive 30-day trading period (the NYSE and SEC have temporarily reduced this requirement to $15 million through June 30, 2009, after which it will return to $25 million unless the NYSE and SEC extend or otherwise alter the test). As of March 10, 2009, the Company’s average market capitalization over the most-recent consecutive 30-day trading period was approximately $24.2 million. If the Company fails either of these tests, the NYSE will promptly delist the Company’s common stock and preferred stock. Moreover, the NYSE has the right to delist the Company’s common stock and preferred stock with little or no notice if the NYSE deems it appropriate to do so. As a result, the Company cautions readers that its common stock and/or preferred stock could be delisted from the NYSE with little advance warning, and such delisting could occur in the near future.

Our share price has fluctuated significantly, particularly on a percentage basis, and may fluctuate significantly in the future. Accordingly, you may not be able to resell your shares at or above the price at which you purchased them.

The trading price of our common shares has recently been highly volatile, with daily fluctuations commonly ranging between 10% and 20% and at times varying as much as 80% during one day of trading. Moreover, future share price fluctuations could likely be subject to similarly wide price fluctuations in the future in response to various factors, including:

 

   

market conditions in the broader stock market in general, or in the REIT or real estate industry in particular;

 

   

market perception of our current and projected financial condition, potential growth, future earnings and future cash dividends;

 

   

actual or anticipated fluctuations in our quarterly financial and operating results;

 

   

market perception or media coverage of our manager or its affiliates;

 

   

actions by rating agencies;

 

   

short sales of our common stock;

 

   

issuance of new or changed securities analysts’ reports or recommendations;

 

   

media coverage of us, other REITS or the outlook of the real estate industry;

 

   

major reductions in trading volumes on the exchanges on which we operate;

 

   

credit deterioration within our portfolio;

 

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legislative or regulatory developments, including changes in the status of our regulatory approvals or licenses; and

 

   

litigation and governmental investigations.

These and other factors may cause the market price and demand for our common shares to fluctuate substantially, which may negatively affect the price or liquidity of our common shares. Moreover, the recent market conditions have negatively impacted our share price and may do so in the future. When the market price of a stock has been volatile or has decreased significantly in the past, holders of that stock have, at times, instituted securities class action litigation against the company that issued the stock. If any of our shareholders brought a lawsuit against us, we could incur substantial costs defending, settling or paying any resulting judgments related to the lawsuit. Such a lawsuit could also divert the time and attention of our management from our business and hurt our share price.

We may be unable – or elect not – to pay dividends on our common or preferred shares in the future, which would negatively impact our business in a number of ways and decrease the price of our common and preferred shares.

We did not pay dividends on our common stock for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2008. While we are required to make distributions in order to maintain our REIT status (as described above under “–We may be unable to generate sufficient revenue from operations to pay our operating expenses and to pay distributions to our stockholders”), we may elect not to maintain our REIT status, in which case we would no longer be required to make such distributions. Moreover, even if we do elect to maintain our REIT status, we may elect to comply with the applicable requirements by, after completing various procedural steps, distributing, under certain circumstances, up to 90% of the required amount in the form of common shares in lieu of cash. If we elect not to maintain our REIT status or to satisfy any required distributions in common shares in lieu of cash, such action could negatively affect our business and financial condition as well as the price of both our common and preferred shares. No assurance can be given that we will pay any dividends on our common shares in the future.

In addition, in the fourth fiscal quarter of 2008, our board of directors elected not to declare any of the specified dividends on our three series of preferred stock. Until we pay all accrued dividends on our preferred shares, we cannot pay any dividends on our common shares, pay any consideration to repurchase or otherwise acquire shares of our common stock or redeem any shares of any series of our preferred stock without redeeming all of our outstanding preferred shares in accordance with the governing documentation. Moreover, if we do not pay dividends on any series of preferred stock for six or more periods, then holders of each affected series obtain the right to call a special meeting and elect two members to our board of directors. Consequently, failure to pay dividends on our preferred shares restricts the actions that we may take with respect to our common and preferred shares and could affect the composition of our board and, thus, the management of our business. No assurance can be given that we will pay any dividends on any series of our preferred shares in the future.

An increase in market interest rates may have an adverse effect on the market price of our common stock.

One of the factors that investors may consider in deciding whether to buy or sell shares of our common stock is our distribution rate as a percentage of our share price relative to market interest rates. If the market price of our common stock is based primarily on the earnings and return that we derive from our investments and income with respect to our investments and our related distributions to stockholders, and not from the market value of the investments themselves, then interest rate fluctuations and capital market conditions will likely affect the market price of our common stock. For instance, if market interest rates rise without an increase in our distribution rate, the market price of our common stock could decrease as potential investors may require a higher distribution yield on our common stock or seek other securities paying higher distributions or interest. In addition, rising interest rates would result in increased interest expense on our variable rate debt, thereby adversely affecting cash flow and our ability to service our indebtedness and pay distributions.

 

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Item 1B.    Unresolved Staff Comments

We have no unresolved staff comments received more than 180 days prior to December 31, 2008.

Item 2.    Properties.

As of December 31, 2008, we have no material investments in properties.

Our manager leases principal executive and administrative offices located at 1345 Avenue of the Americas, New York, New York 10105. Its telephone number is (212) 798-6100.

Item 3.    Legal Proceedings.

We are not a party to any material legal proceedings.

Item 4.    Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders.

No matters were submitted to a vote of our security holders during the fourth quarter of 2008.

PART II

Item 5.    Market for Registrant’s Common Equity, Related Stockholder Matters, and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities.

Our common stock has been listed and is traded on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) under the symbol “NCT” since our initial public offering in October 2002. The following table sets forth, for the periods indicated, the high, low and last sale prices in dollars on the NYSE for our common stock and the distributions we declared with respect to the periods indicated.

 

2008

       High            Low            Last Sale          Distributions    
Declared

 

 First Quarter

  

 

$13.70

  

 

$7.50

  

 

$8.26

  

 

$0.250

 Second Quarter

   $10.66    $6.88    $7.01    $0.250

 Third Quarter

   $8.20    $4.02    $6.35    $0.250

 Fourth Quarter

   $6.34    $0.15    $0.84    $0.000

2007

   High    Low    Last Sale    Distributions
Declared

 

 First Quarter

  

 

$33.49

  

 

$24.75

  

 

$27.73

  

 

$0.690

 Second Quarter

   $31.00    $24.91    $25.07    $0.720

 Third Quarter

   $25.84    $12.19    $17.62    $0.720

 Fourth Quarter

   $19.08    $12.15    $12.96    $0.720

We may declare quarterly distributions on our common stock. No assurance, however, can be given that any future distributions will be made or, if made, as to the amounts or timing of any future distributions as such distributions are subject to our earnings, financial condition, liquidity, capital requirements, REIT requirements and such other factors as our board of directors deems relevant. As described under Part II, Item 7, “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations – Market Considerations,” we recently elected not to declare quarterly dividends on either our common and preferred shares.

On March 10, 2009, the closing sale price for our common stock, as reported on the NYSE, was $0.48. As of March 10, 2009, there were approximately 99 record holders of our common stock. This figure does not reflect the beneficial ownership of shares held in nominee name.

 

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Equity Compensation Plan Information

The following table summarizes the total number of outstanding securities in the incentive plan and the number of securities remaining for future issuance, as well as the weighted average exercise price of all outstanding securities as of December 31, 2008.

 

Plan Category

      Number of Securities to be    
Issued Upon Exercise of
Outstanding Options
  Weighted Average
Exercise Price of
    Outstanding Options    
    Number of Securities Remaining  
Available for Future Issuance

Under Equity Compensation
Plans

 

  Equity Compensation Plans Approved
by Security Holders:

     

Newcastle Investment Corp. Nonqualified

 

Stock Option and Incentive Award Plan

  2,498,609 (1)   $27.04   6,441,993 (2)

Equity Compensation Plans Not Approved
by Security Holders:

     

None

  N/A   N/A   N/A

 

(1) Includes options for (i) 1,612,772 shares held by an affiliate of our manager; (ii) 871,837 shares granted to our manager and assigned to certain of the manager’s employees; and (iii) an aggregate of 14,000 shares held by our directors, other than Mr. Edens.

 

(2) The maximum available for issuance is equal to 10% of the number of outstanding equity interests, subject to a maximum of 10,000,000 shares in the aggregate over the term of the plan. The number of securities remaining available for future issuance is net of an aggregate of 16,280 shares of our common stock awards to our directors, other than Mr. Edens and Mr. Riis, representing the aggregate annual automatic stock awards to each such director for 2003 through 2008, and of 1,043,118 shares issued to our manager, certain of our directors, and employees of our manager upon the exercise of previously granted options.

 

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Item 6.    Selected Financial Data.

The selected historical consolidated financial information set forth below as of and for each of the five years ended December 31, 2008 has been derived from our audited historical consolidated financial statements.

The information below should be read in conjunction with Part II, Item 7, “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” and our consolidated financial statements and notes thereto included in Part II, Item 8, “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.”

Selected Consolidated Financial Information

(in thousands, except per share data)

 

    Year Ended December 31,
    2008   2007   2006   2005   2004

Operating Data

         

Revenues

         

Interest income

    $ 468,867       $ 680,535       $     529,818       $     348,502       $     226,661  
                             
    468,867       680,535       529,818       348,502       226,661  
                             

Expenses

         

Interest expense

    307,303       476,932       374,269       226,195       135,793  

Other expense

    41,080       50,118       47,610       39,545       26,138  
                             
    348,383       527,050       421,879       265,740       161,931  
                             
    120,484       153,485       107,939       82,762       64,730  

Impairment

    2,983,373       209,927       4,127       -           -      
                             

Operating income (loss)

    (2,862,889)      (56,442)      103,812       82,762       64,730  

Other income (loss) (1)

    (120,966)      (14,275)      17,692       22,953       18,282  

Equity in earnings of unconsolidated subsidiaries, net

    8,157       5,390       5,968       5,609       9,957  
                             

Income (loss) from continuing operations

    (2,975,698)      (65,327)      127,472       111,324       92,969  

Income (loss) from discontinued operations

    (9,654)      (130)      451       5,631       5,446  
                             

Net income (loss)

    (2,985,352)      (65,457)      127,923       116,955       98,415  

Preferred dividends and related accretion

    (13,501)      (12,640)      (9,314)      (6,684)      (6,094) 
                             

Income (loss) applicable to common stockholders

    $     (2,998,853)      $ (78,097)      $ 118,609       $ 110,271       $ 92,321  
                             

Net income (loss) per share of common stock, diluted

    $ (56.81)      $ (1.52)      $ 2.67       $ 2.51       $ 2.46  
                             

Income (loss) from continuing operations per share of common stock, after preferred dividends, diluted

    $ (56.63)      $ (1.52)      $ 2.66       $ 2.38       $ 2.31  
                             

Weighted average number of shares of common stock outstanding, diluted

    52,785       51,369       44,417       43,986       37,558  
                             

Dividends declared per share of common stock

    $ 0.750       $ 2.850       $ 2.615       $ 2.500       $ 2.425  
                             
    As Of December 31,
    2008   2007   2006   2005   2004

Balance Sheet Data

         

Real estate securities, available for sale

    $     1,668,748       $     4,835,884       $     5,581,228       $     4,554,519       $     3,369,496  

Real estate related loans, net

    843,212       1,856,978       1,568,916       615,551       591,890  

Residential mortgage loans, net

    409,632       634,605       809,097       600,682       654,784  

Operating real estate, net

    11,866       34,399       29,626       16,673       57,193  

Cash and cash equivalents

    49,746       55,916       5,371       21,275       37,911  

Total assets

    3,473,623       8,037,770       8,604,392       6,209,699       4,932,720  

Debt

    5,515,199       7,391,694       7,504,731       5,212,358       4,021,396  

Total liabilities

    5,867,155       7,590,145       7,602,412       5,291,696       4,136,005  

Common stockholders’ equity (deficit)

    (2,546,032)      295,125       899,480       815,503       734,215  

Preferred stock

    152,500       152,500       102,500       102,500       62,500  

Supplemental Balance Sheet Data

         

Common shares outstanding

    52,789       52,779       45,714       43,913       39,859  

Book value (deficit) per share of common stock

    $ (48.23)      $ 5.59     $ 19.68     $ 18.57       $ 18.42  

(1) Excluding equity in earnings of unconsolidated subsidiaries.

 

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    Year Ended December 31,
    2008   2007   2006   2005   2004

Other Data

         

Cash Flow provided by (used in):

         

Operating activities

    $       118,174       $       (6,510)      $       16,322       $       98,763       $       90,355  

Investing activities

    1,692,712       33,972       (1,963,058)      (1,334,746)      (1,332,164) 

Financing activities

    (1,817,056)      23,083       1,930,832       1,219,347       1,219,317  

Adjusted Funds from Operations (AFFO) (1)

    (3,004,076)      (76,976)      119,421       104,031       86,201  

 

(1) We believe AFFO is one appropriate measure of the operating performance of real estate companies. We also believe that AFFO is an appropriate supplemental disclosure of operating performance for a REIT. Furthermore, AFFO is used to compute our incentive compensation to our manager. AFFO, for our purposes, represents net income available for common stockholders (computed in accordance with GAAP), excluding extraordinary items, plus depreciation of our operating real estate, and after adjustments for unconsolidated subsidiaries, if any. We consider gains and losses on resolution of our investments to be a normal part of our recurring operations and, therefore, do not exclude such gains and losses when arriving at AFFO. This is the one difference between our definition of AFFO and the National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts (“NAREIT”) definition of FFO, which excludes gains and losses. Adjustments for unconsolidated subsidiaries, if any, are calculated to reflect AFFO on the same basis. AFFO does not represent cash generated from operating activities in accordance with GAAP and therefore should not be considered an alternative to net income as an indicator of our operating performance or as an alternative to cash flow as a measure of our liquidity and is not necessarily indicative of cash available to fund cash needs. Our calculation of AFFO may be different from the calculation used by other companies and, therefore, comparability may be limited.

 

    Year Ended December 31,
    2008   2007   2006   2005   2004

Calculation of Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO):

         

Income (loss) applicable to common stockholders

    $     (2,998,853)      $     (78,097)      $     118,609       $     110,271       $ 92,321  

Operating real estate depreciation

    (5,223)      1,121       812       702       2,199  

Accumulated depreciation on operating real estate sold

    -           -           -           (6,942)      (8,319) 
                             

Adjusted Funds from operations (AFFO)

    $ (3,004,076)      $ (76,976)      $ 119,421       $ 104,031       $     86,201  
                             

 

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Item 7.   Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.

The following should be read in conjunction with our consolidated financial statements and notes thereto included in Part II, Item 8, “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data,” and Part I, Item 1A, “Risk Factors.”

General

Newcastle Investment Corp. is a real estate investment and financing company. We invest in, and actively manage, a portfolio of real estate securities, loans and other real estate related assets. Our objective is to maximize the difference between the yield on our investments and the cost of financing these investments while hedging our interest rate risk. We emphasize portfolio management, asset quality, liquidity, diversification, match funded financing and credit risk management.

We currently own a diversified portfolio of credit sensitive real estate debt investments, including securities and loans. Our portfolio of real estate securities includes commercial mortgage backed securities (CMBS), senior unsecured debt issued by property REITs, real estate related asset backed securities (ABS) and FNMA/FHLMC securities. Mortgage backed securities are interests in or obligations secured by pools of mortgage loans. We generally target investments rated A through BB, except for our FNMA/FHLMC securities which have an implied AAA rating. We also own, directly and indirectly, interests in loans and pools of loans, including real estate related loans, commercial mortgage loans, residential mortgage loans, manufactured housing loans and subprime mortgage loans.

We employ leverage as part of our investment strategy. We do not have a predetermined target debt to equity ratio as we believe the appropriate leverage for the particular assets we are financing depends on the credit quality of those assets. As a result of our negative GAAP equity, our GAAP debt to equity ratio is not a meaningful measure as of December 31, 2008. Our general investment guidelines adopted by our board of directors limit total leverage (as defined under the governing documents) to a maximum 9.0 to 1 debt to equity ratio. As of December 31, 2008, our debt to equity ratio, as computed under this methodology, was approximately 4.7 to 1.

We strive to maintain access to a broad array of capital resources in an effort to insulate our business from potential fluctuations in the availability of capital. We utilize multiple forms of financing including collateralized bond obligations (CBOs), other securitizations, term loans, and trust preferred securities, as well as short term financing in the form of loans and repurchase agreements. As we discuss in more detail under “– Market Considerations” below, the ongoing credit and liquidity crisis has limited the array of capital resources available to us and made the terms of capital resources we are able to obtain less favorable to us relative to the terms we were able to obtain prior to the crisis. For example, we are currently contractually restricted from entering into new debt financings subject to margin calls other than to finance FNMA/FHLMC securities.

We seek to match fund our investments with respect to interest rates and maturities in order to reduce the impact of interest rate fluctuations on earnings and reduce the risk of refinancing our liabilities prior to the maturity of the investments. We seek to finance a substantial portion of our real estate securities and loans through the issuance of term debt, which generally represents obligations issued in multiple classes secured by an underlying portfolio of assets. Specifically, our CBO financings offer us the structural flexibility to buy and sell certain investments to manage risk and, subject to certain limitations, to optimize returns.

We conduct our business through four primary segments: (i) investments financed with non-recourse collateralized bond obligations (“CBOs”), (ii) investments financed with other non-recourse debt, (iii) investments financed with recourse debt, including FNMA / FHLMC securities, and (iv) unlevered investments. In the second quarter of 2008, Newcastle changed the structure of its internal organization such that the basis of the composition of its reportable segments changed from investment type to financing type. Revenues attributable to each segment, as restated for previously reported periods, are disclosed below (unaudited) (in thousands).

 

    For the Year Ended       CBOs      

Other Non-

Recourse

  Recourse       Unlevered       Unallocated       Total
 

December 31, 2008

    $ 307,891       $ 88,643     $ 47,707       $ 22,672       $ 1,954       $ 468,867  
 

December 31, 2007

    $ 382,642       $ 98,255     $ 160,605       $ 37,297       $ 1,736       $ 680,535  
 

December 31, 2006

    $ 294,538       $ 80,685     $ 130,558       $ 23,473       $ 564       $ 529,818  

In the fourth quarter of 2008, in accordance with current accounting rules, we recorded an impairment charge of $2.6 billion through our statement of operations on our securities and loans. For a further discussion of this impairment and the events that led to its being recorded, please refer to “– Market Considerations” below as well as Part I , Item 1A, “Risk Factors–Risks Relating to Our Business–Our investments have previously been – and in the future may be – subject to significant impairment charges, which adversely affect our results of operations.”

 

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Taxation

We have elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust, or REIT, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended (the “Code”), and we intend to continue to operate in such a manner. Our current and continuing qualification as a REIT depends on our ability to meet various tax law requirements, including, among others, requirements relating to the sources of our income, the nature of our assets, the composition of our stockholders, and the timing and amount of distributions that we make. REIT distribution requirements may generally be satisfied up to 90% through stock dividends rather than cash, subject to limitations based on the value of the stock.

As a REIT, we will generally not be subject to U.S. federal corporate income tax on that portion of our income that is distributed to stockholders if we distribute at least 90% of our REIT taxable income to our stockholders by prescribed dates and comply with various other requirements. We may, however, nevertheless be subject to certain state, local and foreign income and other taxes, and to U.S. federal income and excise taxes and penalties in certain situations, including taxes on our undistributed income. In addition, our stockholders may be subject to state, local or foreign taxation in various jurisdictions, including those in which they or we transact business or reside. The state, local and foreign tax treatment of us and our stockholders may not conform to the U.S. federal income tax treatment.

If, in any taxable year, we fail to satisfy one or more of the various tax law requirements, we could fail to qualify as a REIT. If we fail to qualify as a REIT for a particular tax year, our income in that year would be subject to U.S. federal corporate income tax (including any applicable alternative minimum tax), and we may need to borrow funds or liquidate certain investments in order to pay the applicable tax, and we would not be compelled by the Code to make distributions. Unless entitled to relief under certain statutory provisions, we would also be disqualified from treatment as a REIT for the four taxable years following the year during which qualification is lost.

Although we currently intend to operate in a manner designed to qualify as a REIT, it is possible that future economic, market, legal, tax or other developments may cause us to fail to qualify as a REIT, or may cause our board of directors to revoke the REIT election.

Market Considerations

Financial Institutions and Counterparty Risk

Many market participants have become increasingly uncertain about the health of a number of financial institutions and the financial system in general. Continuing write-downs and capital related issues affecting financial market participants have contributed to the recent wave of significant events affecting financial institutions, including the insolvency of Lehman Brothers, the government’s placing Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and AIG under its supervision the announced distressed sales of all or portions of Bear Stearns, Merrill Lynch, Wachovia and Washington Mutual and the government’s increasing its equity investment in Citigroup. Although the United States and other governments have taken a number of significant steps to improve market conditions and the strength of major financial institutions, such efforts to date have not brought stability or liquidity to the capital markets, and we cannot predict the future conditions of these markets or the impact of such condition on our business.

The consolidation or elimination of Lehman Brothers, Bear Stearns and several other counterparties has increased our concentration of counterparty risk, decreased the universe of potential counterparties and reduced our ability to obtain competitive financing rates and terms. For a more detailed discussion of our counterparty default and concentration risk, see Part I, Item 1A, “Risk Factors – Risks Related to the Financial Services Industry and Financial Markets – We are subject to counterparty default and concentration risk.”

Financial Markets and Credit Spreads

Our ability to generate income is dependent on our ability to invest our capital on a timely basis at attractive levels. The two primary market factors that affect this ability are (1) credit spreads and (2) the availability of financing on favorable terms.

Generally speaking, widening credit spreads reduce any unrealized gains on our current investments (or cause or increase unrealized losses) and increase our costs for new financings, but increase the yields available on potential new investments, while tightening credit spreads increase the unrealized gains (or reduce unrealized losses) on our current investments and reduce our costs for new financings, but reduce the yields available on potential new investments. By reducing unrealized gains (or causing unrealized losses), widening credit spreads also impact our ability to realize gains on existing investments if we were to sell such assets.

During 2008, credit spreads widened substantially. This widening of credit spreads caused the net unrealized losses on our securities and derivatives to increase and, therefore, caused our book value per share to become negative. Furthermore, our costs of financing have increased as our short term debt has matured, which will contribute to a reduction in future earnings, cash flows and liquidity. One of the key drivers of the widening of credit spreads has been the continued disruption and liquidity concerns throughout the credit markets. The severity and scope of the disruption intensified meaningfully during the fourth quarter of 2008 and caused credit spreads to widen further during this period.

 

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Liquidity

The ongoing credit and liquidity crisis has adversely affected us and the market in which we operate in a number of other ways. For example, it has reduced the market trading activity for many real estate securities and loans, resulting in less liquid markets for those securities and loans. As the securities held by us and many other companies in our industry are marked to market at the end of each quarter, the decreased liquidity and concern over market conditions have resulted in significant reductions in mark to market valuations of many real estate securities and loans and the collateral underlying them. These lower valuations, and decreased expectations of future cash flows, have affected us by, among other things:

 

   

decreasing our net book value;

   

contributing to our decision to record significant impairment charges;

   

prompting us to negotiate the removal of certain financial covenants from our non-CBO financings;

   

reducing the amount, which we refer to as cushion, by which we satisfy the over collateralization tests of our CBOs (sometimes referred to as CBO “triggers”) or contributing to several of our CBOs failing their over collateralization tests (see “– Liquidity and Capital Resources” and “– Debt Obligations” below); and

   

requiring us to pay additional amounts under certain financing arrangements.

In some cases, we have sold, and may continue to sell, assets at prices below what we believed to be their value in order to meet liquidity requirements under certain financing arrangements. Failed CBO triggers, impairments resulting from incurred losses, and asset sales at prices significantly below face amount, while the related debt is being repaid at its full face amount, further contribute to reductions in future earnings, cash flow and liquidity. As a result, we expect that our 2009 cash flow from operations will be significantly reduced relative to previous years.

In order to maintain liquidity, we have elected to retain the majority of our investment proceeds (including those from asset sales) in lieu of using those proceeds to make new investments, or to buy back stock or debt, and elected not to declare any common or preferred dividends during the fourth quarter of 2008. This approach has increased our liquidity while reducing our operating earnings. We may elect to adjust or not to pay any future dividend payments to reflect our current and expected cash from operations or to satisfy future liquidity needs.

Fourth Quarter Impairment

In the fourth quarter of 2008, in accordance with current accounting rules, we recorded an impairment charge of $2.6 billion through our statement of operations on our securities and loans. We note the following with respect to this charge:

 

  -  

Of the $2.6 billion impairment charge, we could only economically lose $262 million. Most of our assets are financed with non-recourse debt and our exposure to loss is limited to the aggregate amount of our investment in those assets, less any related non-recourse debt issued to third parties. In other words, the maximum amount we could economically lose in each of our non-recourse financing structures is the net amount we invested in them. However, current accounting rules require us to consolidate these structures and record impairment on the gross amount of assets within these structures regardless of whether we are economically exposed to such impairment. As a result, while we recorded an impairment charge of $2.6 billion, we could not economically lose more than $262 million of this amount, which represents the aggregate amount of our net investments prior to the charge. The $2.3 billion of impairment charges recorded in excess of this maximum possible economic loss will ultimately be reversed over time, either through amortization, sales at gains, or as gains at the deconsolidation or termination of the non-recourse financing structures.

  -  

This $2.6 billion impairment charge was mainly the result of our inability to express an intent and ability to hold our assets until a recovery in value. This means that since liquidity requirements or other factors could necessitate the sale of any number of our assets at a future date, and any such sales could result in realized accounting losses, we must record the aggregate potential accounting loss on all of our assets immediately even if we never expect to realize the majority of those losses.

  -  

This $2.6 billion impairment charge was comprised of $0.5 billion recorded with respect to securities and loans upon which we expect actual credit losses, and $2.1 billion recorded with respect to securities and loans upon which we do not expect actual credit losses. An expected credit loss refers to the expectation that a borrower under one of our securities or loans will not make its required interest and principal payments on their scheduled due dates, generally resulting in us not ultimately receiving all of the amounts due to us under such security or loan.

  -  

Impairment charges are not necessarily indicative of current or future reductions in cash flow, which are based on actual delinquencies and defaults or sales of assets at losses. Even with respect to the charges on investments where we do expect actual credit losses, cash flows received over the life of these investments, if we hold them to maturity, may exceed their current fair value.

  -  

If our assets continue to decline in value, we would likely be required to record additional impairment through our statement of operations in the future, which would adversely affect our results of operations. Furthermore, we could incur significant additional economic losses on assets outside of our non-recourse financing structures.

 

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  -  

For a further discussion of impairment, please refer to Part I , Item 1A, “Risk Factors–Risks Relating to Our Business–Our investments have previously been – and in the future may be – subject to significant impairment charges, which adversely affect our results of operations.”

To assist readers’ understanding of the impairment charge, we have provided additional detail below regarding (1) the impairment recorded and (2) the rationale for recording the impairment.

Detail Regarding the Impairment

The following table summarizes the impairment recorded in the fourth quarter of 2008:

 

    Non-Recourse Structures       Recourse Financings/Unlevered    
    Securities and Loans with:       Securities and Loans with:    
   

 

Expected
  Credit Losses  

      No Expected
  Credit Losses (A)  
      Total       Expected
  Credit Losses  
       No Expected
  Credit Losses (A)  
      Total   Total

Real estate securities

                          

CMBS

    $ 98,284         $ 1,236,720         $       1,335,004         $ 3,117        $ -             $       3,117         $ 1,338,121  

ABS - subprime

    37,728         61,741         99,469         2,777          -             2,777         102,246  

Subprime retained

    510         451         961         965          -             965         1,926  

Subprime residuals

    -             -             -             1,044          -             1,044         1,044  

ABS - other real estate

    5,727         36,080         41,807         -              31         31         41,838  

FNMA / FHLMC

    -             -             -             -              -             -             -      

REIT debt

    105,896         137,409         243,305         -              -             -             243,305  

Real estate related loans

    -             -             -             -              -             -             -      

Mezzanine loans

    50,052         180,656         230,708         36,487          87,840         124,327         355,035  

Corporate bank loans

    131,581         104,280         235,861         -              -             -             235,861  

B-Notes

    3,465         102,936         106,401         54,623          6,914         61,537         167,938  

Whole loans

    -             23,604         23,604         -              -             -             23,604  

ICH loans

    -             -             -             -              -             -             -      

Residential mortgage loans

    -             -             -             -              -             -             -      

Residential loans

    -             -             -             -              22,364         22,364         22,364  

Manufactured housing loans (B)

    -             103,959         103,959         -              -             -             103,959  
                                                      

4th quarter 2008 impairment charges

    $       433,243         $       1,987,836         2,421,079         $       99,013          $       117,149         216,162         2,637,241  
                                          

Charges in excess of investment (C)

            (2,375,239)                  -             (2,375,239) 
                                      

Potential net loss (D)

            $ 45,840                  $       216,162         $ 262,002  
                                      

Prior impairment charges: (E)

                          

First three quarters of 2008

    $ 268,151         $ -         $ 268,151         $ 77,981          $ -         $ 77,981         $             346,132  

2007

    $ 138,570         $ -         $ 138,570         $ 71,357          $ -         $ 71,357         $ 209,927  

2006

    $ -         $ -         $ -         $ 4,127          $ -         $ 4,127         $ 4,127  

Unrealized loss on hedges in non-recourse structures (F)

            $ 310,879                  $ -         $ 310,879  

 

(A) Represents investments on which we do not expect future credit losses. Impairment to current fair value was nonetheless required to be recorded since it is possible that we may sell any of these investments prior to a recovery in value. Furthermore, while we do not expect to incur credit losses on these investments at this time, their credit may deteriorate and we could incur credit losses on these investments in the future.

 

(B) Financed with both recourse and non-recourse debt.

 

(C) Represents the resulting negative book equity in Newcastle’s non-recourse financing structures after the impairment charges. If this portion of the charges is ultimately realized through credit losses, it would impact the amounts received by Newcastle’s non-recourse debt holders rather than its shareholders as Newcastle's maximum possible economic loss on these structures is equal to its investment. As a result, this portion of the charges will be reversed over time, either through amortization, sales at gains, or as gains at the deconsolidation or termination of the CBOs.

 

(D) Represents the portion of the charges necessary to bring the book equity in Newcastle’s non-recourse financing structures to zero. This represents the maximum portion of these unrealized impairment charges that could ultimately be economically realized by Newcastle. This portion of the charges will either be economically realized or be reversed as described above.

 

(E) These prior impairments represent potential future economic losses. In the fourth quarter analysis above, it is assumed that these amounts have already been economically lost.

 

(F) If the hedges increase in value, the potential economic loss on the hedges would decrease and the potential economic loss on the investments would increase in direct proportion (such that the net investment in the CBOs remained at zero). This would have no net impact on potential losses.

Rationale for Recording the Impairment

As has been widely publicized, the global credit and liquidity crisis intensified significantly during the fourth quarter of 2008, resulting in extraordinarily difficult market conditions – perhaps more difficult than at any time since the Great Depression. These extraordinary conditions affected us in a number of ways and, ultimately, caused Newcastle to reconsider its intent and ability to hold its investments until recovery. Set forth below is additional detail regarding

 

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(1) certain market events and conditions that arose in the fourth quarter of 2008 and (2) the impact of these market events on Newcastle, including on its intent and ability to hold its investments until recovery.

Fourth Quarter Market Events and Conditions

The fourth quarter of 2008 represented an extraordinarily difficult market in which to operate for a number of reasons, including, but not limited to:

 

   

The economy contracted significantly, in part due to significant increases in unemployment rates. For example, the United States GDP shrank at a 6.2% annualized rate, the greatest decline in 15 years. Moreover, unemployment rates increased tremendously during the fourth quarter: 54% of all jobs lost in 2008 were lost during the fourth quarter. These events negatively affected the economy in a number of ways, including increasing delinquency and foreclosure rates on mortgages.

   

Significant price declines in U.S. equities markets made it much more difficult for U.S. companies to obtain additional equity capital.

   

Credit markets experienced arguably unprecedented price declines and spread widening as market participants sold debt at distressed prices to deliver and to reduce their exposure to residential and commercial real estate debt, which experienced significant deterioration in credit quality during the fourth quarter. Residential subprime delinquencies increased approximately 10% during the fourth quarter. Prices on indices that reference subprime AAA-rated securities declined approximately 30%, and credit spreads on subprime AAA-rated securities widened approximately 700 basis points. AAA-rated commercial mortgage backed securities declined approximately 21% in the fourth quarter, and credit spreads on these securities widened approximately 330 basis points in the fourth quarter.

As a result of these factors, it became extremely difficult for many companies to raise capital through any means other than asset sales.

In addition, market conditions have deteriorated significantly during the first quarter of 2009, and we currently expect that the conditions we are experiencing in the first quarter are likely to continue for an indeterminate period of time.

Impact of Fourth Quarter Market Events on Newcastle

The events and conditions described above significantly affected Newcastle during the fourth quarter in a number of ways, including, but not limited to:

 

   

Margin Calls – During the period from November 9, 2008 through December 31, 2008, Newcastle received approximately $100 million of margin calls due to decreases in advance rates under its financings and declines in mark-to-market prices. These margin calls contributed to the reduction of our unrestricted cash balance from approximately $102 million to approximately $50 million as of December 31, 2008.

   

Repayment of Repurchase Agreement – On November 16, 2008, one of our repurchase agreement counterparties notified us that it would not elect to extend, or “roll,” its repurchase agreement with us, which financed approximately $93 million of loans. In connection with this termination, we had to repay $7.5 million to the counterparty (which is included in the margin calls discussed above).

   

Need for Liquidity – The need to rebuild our liquidity position after paying margin calls and renegotiating certain of our financings, combined with the general unavailability of equity and debt financing, prompted Newcastle to elect to sell assets – both within and outside of our non-recourse financing structures – to increase liquidity and reduce debt. During the period from November 9, 2008 through December 31, 2008, we sold approximately $40 million of securities and approximately $105 million of loans. In addition, we sold approximately $35 million of loans for liquidity reasons in the first quarter of 2009 and expect to continue to sell assets.

In accordance with the applicable accounting rules, Newcastle is required to evaluate its intent and ability to hold its assets as of the end of each fiscal quarter. If we cannot express the intent and ability to hold our assets to recovery, we are required, under the applicable accounting rules, to record impairment with respect to all of our assets that were in an unrealized loss position as of quarter end. In light of (i) the market events which occurred during the fourth quarter of 2008, (ii) Newcastle’s response to these events, (iii) the pronounced further deterioration of market conditions in the first quarter of 2009, (iv) our current expectation that these or similar conditions are likely to continue, (v) our pattern of selling assets in the fourth quarter of 2008 and first quarter of 2009, and (vi) expected future sales, both within and outside of our non-recourse financing structures, we have concluded that we are no longer capable of expressing an intent and ability to hold such assets. Furthermore, we do not have the ability to hold all of our non-CBO assets and cannot specify with precision which CBO assets we intend to hold. As a result, we have concluded that, consistent with the applicable rules, we must record impairment with respect to all of our investments that were in an unrealized loss position as of December 31, 2008. This conclusion allows us to retain flexibility in our ability to sell assets to meet liquidity needs and to potentially capitalize on certain future opportunities.

 

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It is important for readers to understand the following points regarding the $2.6 billion impairment charge:

 

   

Of the $2.6 billion charge, $2.4 billion represents impairments taken with respect to assets held in our non-recourse structures. Due to the non-recourse nature of these obligations, the maximum amount we could economically lose from our non-recourse structures is the amount of net equity we have invested in them, which is $45.8 million;

   

Consequently, while the accounting rules result in impairment charges of $2.6 billion, we could not economically lose more than $262 million of this amount (i.e., our net equity investments in our non-recourse financing structures of $45.8 million plus the impairment taken with respect to assets held outside our non-recourse financing structures of $216.2 million);

   

The recording of this impairment charge did not cause any decrease in the amount of cash flow we receive from our investments, although the impairment recorded with respect to loans and securities upon which we expect actual credit losses may be indicative of future decreases in cash flow;

   

The recording of this impairment charge did not result in any default under any of our financing agreements; and

   

If our assets continue to decline in value, we would likely be required to record additional impairment through our statement of operations in the future, which would adversely affect our results of operations. Furthermore, we could incur significant additional economic losses on assets outside of our non-recourse financing structures.

Extent of Market Disruption

We do not currently know the full extent to which this market disruption will affect us or the markets in which we operate, and we are unable to predict its length or ultimate severity. If the disruption continues, we will likely experience further tightening of liquidity, additional impairment charges, challenges in complying with the terms of our financing agreements, increased margin requirements, and additional challenges in raising capital and obtaining investment financing on attractive terms. If we raised capital or issued unsecured debt in the current market, it would be significantly dilutive to our current shareholders.

Future cash flows and our liquidity may be materially impacted if conditions do not improve. Should the current conditions worsen, or persist for an extended period of time, our available capital could be reduced upon the expiration or termination of our capital resources, including through defaults under debt covenants. This could ultimately threaten our ability to continue as a going concern.

Certain aspects of these effects are more fully described in Part II, Item 7, “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations – Interest Rate, Credit and Spread Risk” and “– Liquidity and Capital Resources” as well as in Part II, Item 7A, “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.”

Formation and Organization

We were formed in 2002 as a subsidiary of Newcastle Investment Holdings Corp. (referred to herein as Holdings). Prior to our initial public offering, Holdings contributed to us certain assets and liabilities in exchange for approximately 16.5 million shares of our common stock. Our operations commenced in July 2002. In May 2003, Holdings distributed to its stockholders all of the shares of our common stock that it held, and it no longer owns any of our common equity.

The following table presents information on shares of our common stock issued since our formation:

 

Year       Shares Issued      

Range of Issue

Prices (1)

     

Net Proceeds

(millions)

   

  Formation

    16,488,517      N/A     N/A  

  2002

    7,000,000      $13.00     $80.0  

  2003

    7,886,316      $20.35-$22.85     $163.4  

  2004

    8,484,648      $26.30-$31.40     $224.3  

  2005

    4,053,928      $29.60     $108.2  

  2006

    1,800,408      $29.42     $51.2  

  2007

    7,065,362      $27.75-$31.30     $201.3  

  2008

    9,871      N/A     $0.1  
               

  December 31, 2008

    52,789,050           
               

(1)  Excludes prices of shares issued pursuant to the exercise of options and of shares issued to our independent directors.

As of December 31, 2008, approximately 5.0 million of our shares of common stock were held by our manager, through its affiliates, and principals of Fortress. In addition, our manager, through its affiliates, held options to purchase approximately 1.6 million shares of our common stock at December 31, 2008.

 

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Application of Critical Accounting Policies

Management’s discussion and analysis of financial condition and results of operations is based upon our consolidated financial statements, which have been prepared in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”). The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires the use of estimates and assumptions that could affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities, the disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities and the reported amounts of revenue and expenses. Actual results could differ from these estimates. Management believes that the estimates and assumptions utilized in the preparation of the consolidated financial statements are prudent and reasonable. Actual results have been in line with Management’s estimates and judgements used in applying each of the accounting policies described below. A summary of our significant accounting policies is presented in Note 2 to our consolidated financial statements, which appear in Part II, Item 8, “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” The following is a summary of our accounting policies that are most effected by judgments, estimates and assumptions.

Variable Interest Entities

Financial Accounting Standards Board Interpretation (“FIN”) No. 46R “Consolidation of Variable Interest Entities” clarified the methodology for determining whether an entity is a variable interest entity (“VIE”) and the methodology for assessing who is the primary beneficiary of a VIE. VIEs are defined as entities in which equity investors do not have the characteristics of a controlling financial interest or do not have sufficient equity at risk for the entity to finance its activities without additional subordinated financial support from other parties. A VIE is required to be consolidated by its primary beneficiary, and only its primary beneficiary, which is defined as the party who will absorb a majority of the VIE’s expected losses or receive a majority of the expected residual returns as a result of holding variable interests.

The VIEs in which we have a significant interest include (i) our subprime securitizations, which are held in qualifying special purpose entities under SFAS 140 and are therefore exempt from consolidation as VIEs, (ii) our trust preferred subsidiary, which we do not consolidate since we are not the primary beneficiary, as we do not absorb a majority of its expected losses or receive a majority of its expected residual returns and (iii) our CBOs, in which we have been determined to be the primary beneficiary and therefore consolidate them, since we would absorb a majority of their expected losses and receive a majority of their expended residual returns, as determined on the date of formation and on any applicable reconsideration dates. Our CBOs are held in special purpose entities whose debt is treated as a non-recourse secured borrowing of Newcastle.

We will continue to analyze future investments, as well as reconsideration events in existing entities, pursuant to the requirements of FIN 46R. These analyses require considerable judgment in determining the primary beneficiary of a VIE since they involve estimated probability weighting of subjectively determined possible cash flow scenarios. The result could be the consolidation of an entity that would otherwise not have been consolidated or the non-consolidation of an entity that would otherwise have been consolidated.

Valuation and Impairment of Securities

We have classified all our real estate securities as available for sale. As such, they are carried at fair value with net unrealized gains or losses reported as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income, to the extent impairment losses are considered temporary as described below. Fair value may be based upon broker quotations, counterparty quotations or pricing services quotations, which provide valuation estimates based upon reasonable market order indications or a good faith estimate thereof and are subject to significant variability based on market conditions, such as interest rates, credit spreads and market liquidity. A significant portion of our securities are currently not traded in active markets and therefore have little or no price transparency. For a further discussion of this trend, see “– Market Considerations” above. As a result, we have estimated the fair value of these illiquid securities based on internal pricing models rather than broker quotations. The determination of estimated cash flows used in pricing models is inherently subjective and imprecise. Changes in market conditions, as well as changes in the assumptions or methodology used to determine fair value, could result in a significant and immediate increase or decrease in our book equity. For securities valued with pricing models, these inputs include the discount rate, assumptions relating to prepayments, default rates and loss severities, as well as other variables.

See Note 7 to our consolidated financial statements in Part II, Item 8, “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data” for information regarding the fair value of our investments, and its estimation methodology, as of December 31, 2008.

Our estimation of the fair value of level 3B assets (as described below) involves significant judgment. Changes in market conditions, as well as changes in the assumptions or methodology used to determine fair value, could result in a significant increase or decrease in our book equity. For securities valued using pricing models, the inputs include the discount rate, assumptions relating to prepayments, default rates and loss severities, as well as other variables. We validated the inputs and outputs of our models by comparing them to available independent third party market parameters and models for reasonableness. We believe the assumptions we used are within the range that a market participant would use and factor in the relative illiquidity currently in the markets. In comparison to the prior year end, we have used slower prepayment speeds, higher default rates and higher severity assumptions as inputs to our pricing

 

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models in order to reflect current market conditions. In 2008, Newcastle lowered the prepayment assumptions based on observed reductions in actual prepayment speeds and slower expected future prepayments consistent with market projections. The slower prepayments were the result of increasing difficulties for borrowers to refinance, caused by a tightening of underwriting standards, decline in home prices, contraction of available lenders due to bank failures and a distressed securitization market. Default assumptions were increased due to higher levels of delinquent underlying loans. Loss severity assumptions were increased based on observed increases in recent loss severities that have been driven by falling home prices and the increasing number of foreclosures or distressed home sales in the residential sector and higher losses as a result of the increasing number of foreclosures and bankruptcies of borrowers experienced in the commercial sector.

For securities valued with internal models, which have an aggregate fair value of $179.8 million as of December 31, 2008, a 10% unfavorable change in our assumptions would result in the following decreases in such aggregate fair value:

 

     CMBS         ABS     

Outstanding face amount

   $               272,539         $ 428,298     

 

Fair value

   $ 91,610         $ 88,153     

 

Effect on fair value with 10% unfavorable change in:

           

Discount rate

   $ (7,753)         $ (4,104)     

Prepayment rate

     N/A         $ (2,143)     

Default rate

   $ (10,053)         $ (11,311)     

Loss severity

   $ (11,333)         $               (13,940)     

The sensitivity analysis is hypothetical and should be used with caution. In particular, the results are calculated by stressing a particular economic assumption independent of changes in any other assumption; in practice, changes in one factor may result in changes in another, which might counteract or amplify the sensitivities. Also, changes in the fair value based on a 10% variation in an assumption generally may not be extrapolated because the relationship of the change in the assumption to the change in fair value may not be linear.

Pursuant to SFAS 157, as described below, our securities must be categorized by the “level” of inputs used in estimating their fair values. Level 1 would be assets valued based on quoted prices for identical instruments in active markets; we have no level 1 assets. Level 2 would be assets valued based on quoted prices in active markets for similar instruments, on quoted prices in less active or inactive markets, or on other “observable” market inputs. Level 3 would be assets valued based significantly on “unobservable” market inputs. We have further broken level 3 into level 3A, third party indications, and level 3B, internal models. Fair value under SFAS 157 represents an exit price in the normal course of business, not a forced liquidation price. If we were forced to sell assets in a short period to meet liquidity needs, the prices we receive could be substantially less than the recorded fair values

We generally classify the broker quotations we receive as level 3A inputs, except for certain liquid securities. They are quoted prices in generally inactive and illiquid markets for identical or similar securities. These quotations are generally received via email and contain disclaimers which state that they are “indicative” and not “actionable” – meaning that the party giving the quotation is not bound to actually purchase the security at the quoted price. These quotations are generally based on models prepared by the brokers and we have little visibility into the inputs they use. Based on procedures we have performed with respect to prior quotations received from these brokers in comparison to the outputs generated from our internal pricing models and transactions we have completed with respect to these securities, as well as on our knowledge and experience of these markets, we have generally determined that these quotes represent a reasonable estimate of fair value. In addition, management performs its own quarterly analysis of fair value, based on internal pricing models, to confirm that each of the quotations received represented a reasonable estimate of fair value as defined under SFAS 157. For securities valued using quotations, a 100 basis point change in credit spreads would impact estimated fair value by approximately $40.5 million.

We must also assess whether unrealized losses on securities, if any, reflect a decline in value which is other-than-temporary and, if so, write the impaired security down to its fair value through earnings. A decline in value is deemed to be other-than-temporary if it is probable that we will be unable to collect all amounts due according to the contractual terms of a security which was not impaired at acquisition, or if we do not have the ability and intent to hold a security in an unrealized loss position until its anticipated recovery (if any). For the purposes of performing this analysis, we assume the anticipated recovery period is until the respective security’s expected maturity. As of December 31, 2008, we determined that we could not express the intent and ability to hold all of our securities which are in an unrealized loss position until their anticipated recovery. See “– Market Considerations” above. Also, for those securities within the scope of EITF Issue No. 99-20, “Recognition of Interest Income and Impairment on Purchased Beneficial Interests That Continue to Be Held by a Transferor in Securitized Financial Assets,” as amended by FSP EITF 99-20-1, whenever there is a probable adverse change in the timing or amounts of estimated cash flows of a security from the cash flows previously projected, an other-than-temporary impairment is considered to have occurred. Securities within the scope of EITF 99-20 are also analyzed for other-than-temporary impairment under the guidelines applicable to all securities as described herein. We note that primarily all of our securities, except our FNMA/FHLMC securities, fall within the scope of EITF 99-20.

 

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Temporary declines in value generally result from changes in market factors, such as market interest rates and credit spreads, or from certain macroeconomic events, including market disruptions and supply changes, which do not directly impact our ability to collect amounts contractually due. We continually evaluate the credit status of each of our securities and the collateral supporting our securities. This evaluation includes a review of the credit of the issuer of the security (if applicable), the credit rating of the security, the key terms of the security (including credit support), debt service coverage and loan to value ratios, the performance of the pool of underlying loans and the estimated value of the collateral supporting such loans, including the effect of local, industry and broader economic trends and factors. These factors include loan default expectations and loss severities, which are analyzed in connection with a particular security’s credit support, as well as prepayment rates. These factors are also analyzed in relation to the amount of the unrealized loss and the period elapsed since it was incurred. The result of this evaluation is considered when determining management’s estimate of cash flows, particularly with respect to developing the necessary inputs and assumptions. Each security is impacted by different factors and in different ways; generally the more negative factors which are identified with respect to a given security, the more likely we are to determine that we do not expect to receive all contractual payments when due with respect to that security. Significant judgment is required in this analysis.

During the year ended December 31, 2008, we had 121, or $233.4 million carrying amount of, securities that were downgraded. All of these securities were determined to be other-than-temporarily impaired during this period. However, we do not depend on credit ratings in underwriting our securities, either at acquisition or on an ongoing basis. As mentioned above, a credit rating downgrade is one factor that we monitor and consider in our analysis regarding other-than-temporary impairment, however it is not determinative. Our securities generally benefit from the support of one or more subordinate classes of securities or equity or other forms of credit support. Therefore, credit rating downgrades, even to the extent they relate to an expectation that a securitization we have invested in, on an overall basis, has credit issues, may not ultimately impact cash flow estimates for the class of securities in which we are invested.

Furthermore, the analysis of whether we have the intent and ability to hold the securities until recovery can also be subject to significant judgment, particularly in times of market illiquidity such as we are currently experiencing. If we sell assets for liquidity reasons, without a significant change in facts and circumstances, with respect to which we had previously expressed an intent and ability to hold, this could “taint” the reliability of our expressed intent and ability and cause us to record significant incremental impairments in the future. See “– Market Considerations” above.

Revenue Recognition on Securities

Income on these securities is recognized using a level yield methodology based upon a number of cash flow assumptions that are subject to uncertainties and contingencies. Such assumptions include the rate and timing of principal and interest receipts (which may be subject to prepayments and defaults). These assumptions are updated on at least a quarterly basis to reflect changes related to a particular security, actual historical data, and market changes.

These uncertainties and contingencies are difficult to predict and are subject to future events, and economic and market conditions, which may alter the assumptions. For securities acquired at a discount for credit losses, the net income recognized is based on a “loss adjusted yield” whereby a gross interest yield is recorded to Interest Income, offset by a provision for probable, incurred credit losses which is accrued on a periodic basis to Provision for Credit Losses. The provision is determined based on an evaluation of the credit status of securities, as described in connection with the analysis of impairment above. A rollforward of the provision, if any, is included in Note 4 to our consolidated financial statements in Part II, Item 8, “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.”

Valuation of Derivatives

Similarly, our derivative instruments are carried at fair value pursuant to Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (“SFAS”) No. 133 “Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities,” as amended. Fair value is based on counterparty quotations. To the extent they qualify as cash flow hedges under SFAS No. 133, net unrealized gains or losses are reported as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income; otherwise, they are reported currently in income. To the extent they qualify as fair value hedges, net unrealized gains or losses on both the derivative and the related portion of the hedged item are reported currently in income. Fair values of such derivatives are subject to significant variability based on many of the same factors as the securities discussed above, including counterparty credit risk. The results of such variability could be a significant increase or decrease in our book equity and/or earnings.

Impairment of Loans

We purchase, directly and indirectly, real estate related, commercial mortgage and residential mortgage loans, including manufactured housing loans and subprime mortgage loans. We must periodically evaluate each of these loans or loan pools for possible impairment. Impairment is indicated when it is deemed probable that we will be unable to collect all amounts due according to the contractual terms of the loan, or, for loans acquired at a discount for credit losses, when it is deemed probable that we will be unable to collect as anticipated. Upon determination of impairment, we would establish a specific valuation allowance with a corresponding charge to earnings. We continually evaluate our loans receivable for impairment. Our residential mortgage loans, including manufactured

 

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housing loans, are aggregated into pools for evaluation based on like characteristics, such as loan type and acquisition date. Individual loans are evaluated based on an analysis of the borrower’s performance, the credit rating of the borrower, debt service coverage and loan to value ratios, the estimated value of the underlying collateral, the key terms of the loan, and the effect of local, industry and broader economic trends and factors. Pools of loans are also evaluated based on similar criteria, including historical and anticipated trends in defaults and loss severities for the type and seasoning of loans being evaluated. This information is used to estimate specific impairment charges on individual loans as well as provisions for estimated unidentified incurred losses on pools of loans. Significant judgment is required both in determining impairment and in estimating the resulting loss allowance. Furthermore, we must assess our intent and ability to hold our loan investments on a periodic basis. If we do not have the intent and ability to hold a loan for the foreseeable future or until its expected payoff, the loan must be classified as “held for sale” and recorded at the lower of cost or estimated value. As of December 31, 2008, we determined that we could not express the intent and ability to hold all of our loans which are in an unrealized loss position for the foreseeable future or until their expected pay off. See “– Market Considerations” above.

Revenue Recognition on Loans

Income on these loans is recognized similarly to that on our securities and is subject to similar uncertainties and contingencies, which are also analyzed on at least a quarterly basis. For loans acquired at a discount for credit losses, the net income recognized is based on a “loss adjusted yield” whereby a gross interest yield is recorded to Interest Income, offset by a provision for probable, incurred credit losses which is accrued on a periodic basis to Provision for Credit Losses. The provision is determined based on an evaluation of the loans as described under “Impairment of Loans” above. A rollforward of the provision is included in Note 5 to our consolidated financial statements in Part II, Item 8, “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.”

Recent Accounting Pronouncements

In September 2006, the FASB issued SFAS No. 157, “Fair Value Measurements”. SFAS 157 defines fair value as the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants in the market in which the reporting entity transects, establishes a framework for measuring fair value, and expands disclosures about fair value measurements. SFAS 157 applies to reporting periods beginning after November 15, 2007. We adopted SFAS 157 on January 1, 2008. To the extent they are measured at fair value, SFAS 157 did not materially change our fair value measurements for any of our existing financial statement elements. SFAS 157 did change the reported value for our derivative obligations, but this did not have a material effect on our liabilities or accumulated other comprehensive income. As a result, except as described below, the adoption of SFAS 157 did not have a material impact on our financial condition, liquidity or results of operations.

In February 2007, the FASB issued SFAS No. 159, “The Fair Value Option for Financial Assets and Financial Liabilities.” SFAS 159 permits entities to choose to measure many financial instruments, and certain other items, at fair value. SFAS 159 also establishes presentation and disclosure requirements designed to facilitate comparisons between entities that choose different measurement attributes for similar types of assets and liabilities. SFAS 159 applies to reporting periods beginning after November 15, 2007. We adopted SFAS 159 on January 1, 2008. We did not elect to measure any items at fair value pursuant to the provisions of SFAS 159. As a result, the adoption of SFAS 159 did not have a material impact on our financial condition, liquidity or results of operations.

In December 2007, the American Securitization Forum (“ASF”) issued the “Streamlined Foreclosure and Loss Avoidance Framework for Securitized Subprime Adjustable Rate Mortgage Loans” (the “ASF Framework”). The ASF Framework provides guidance for servicers to streamline borrower evaluation procedures and to facilitate the use of foreclosure and loss prevention efforts in an attempt to reduce the number of U.S. subprime residential mortgage borrowers who might default in the coming year because the borrowers cannot afford to pay the increased interest rate after their variable loan rate resets. The ASF Framework is focused on U.S. subprime first-lien adjustable-rate residential mortgages that have an initial fixed interest rate period of 36 months or less, are included in securitized pools, were originated between January 1, 2005 and July 31, 2007, and have an initial interest rate reset date between January 1, 2008 and July 31, 2010.

The ASF Framework requires a borrower to meet specific conditions, primarily related to the ability of the borrower to meet the initial terms of the loan and obtain refinancing, to qualify for a fast track loan modification under which the qualifying borrower’s interest rate will be kept at the existing initial rate, generally for five years following the upcoming reset. To qualify for fast-track modification, a loan must currently be no more than 30 days delinquent and no more than 60 days delinquent in the past 12 months, have a loan-to-value ratio greater than 97%, be subject to payment increases greater than 10% upon reset, and be for the primary residence of the borrower.

In January 2008, the SEC’s Office of Chief Accountant (the “OCA”) issued a letter (the “OCA Letter”) addressing accounting issues that may be raised by the ASF Framework. The OCA Letter expressed the view that if a qualifying subprime loan is modified pursuant to the ASF Framework and that loan could legally be modified, the OCA will not object to the continued status of the transferee as a QSPE under SFAS 140, Accounting for Transfers and Servicing of Financial Assets and Extinguishments of Liabilities, because it would be reasonable to conclude that defaults on such loans are “reasonably foreseeable” in the absence of any modification.

 

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The servicer for Subprime Portfolios I and II may make loan modifications in accordance with the ASF Framework, but we do not expect any such modifications to have a material effect on the accounting for our subprime mortgage loans subject to call options or retained interests in the securitizations of Subprime Portfolios I and II. Furthermore, we do not expect that the ASF Framework will affect the off balance sheet treatment of the securitizations of Subprime Portfolios I and II.

In February 2008, the FASB issued FASB Staff Position No. FAS 140-3 (“FSP FAS 140-3”), “Accounting for Transfers of Financial Assets and Repurchase Financing Transactions.” FSP FAS 140-3 provides guidance on accounting for a transfer of a financial asset and a repurchase financing. It presumes that an initial transfer of a financial asset and a repurchase financing are considered part of the same arrangement (a linked transaction) unless certain criteria are met. If the criteria are not met, the linked transaction would be recorded as a net investment, likely as a derivative, instead of recording the purchased financial asset on a gross basis along with a repurchase financing. FSP FAS 140-3 applies to reporting periods beginning after November 15, 2008 and is only applied prospectively to transactions that occur on or after the adoption date. As a result of the prospective nature of the adoption, we do not expect the adoption of FSP FAS 140-3 to have a material impact on our financial condition, liquidity or results of operations, unless we enter into transactions of this type after January 1, 2009.

In September 2008, the FASB issued exposure drafts of two proposed standards, “Accounting for Transfers of Financial Assets, an amendment of FASB Statement No. 140,” and “Amendments to FASB Interpretation No. 46(R).” These proposed standards would fundamentally change the requirements to consolidate (or deconsolidate) special purpose and variable interest entities and would be effective for us in 2010. We are currently evaluating the potential impact of these proposed standards on us. If the adoption of these proposed standards caused us to deconsolidate our CBOs, we would record a gain to the extent that we have taken impairment on assets within a given CBO in excess of our investment in such CBO. This gain would likely be very substantial. See “– Market Considerations” above and “– Debt Obligations” below.

In January 2009, the FASB issued FSP EITF 99-20-1, “Amendments to the Impairment Guidance of EITF Issue No. 99-20.” This FSP amends EITF No. 99-20 to achieve more consistent determination of whether an other-than-temporary impairment has occurred, with the same objective as SFAS 115. In particular, it changed a requirement to analyze a security’s estimated cash flows from a market participant’s perspective to an analysis from the perspective of the holder. It is effective for periods ending after December 15, 2008 and is applied prospectively. Due to the prospective nature of its adoption, the adoption of FSP EITF 99-20-1 did not have a material impact on our financial condition, liquidity or results of operations. It could have a material impact on our impairment analyses subsequent to adoption, to the extent that our estimation of a security’s cash flows differ from our estimation of how a market participant would estimate such cash flows. However, we believe we generally analyze cash flows of securities in a manner consistent with market practice.

 

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Results of Operations

The following table summarizes the changes in our results of operations from year-to-year (dollars in thousands):

 

   

Year-to-Year

Increase (Decrease)

     

Year-to-Year

Percent Change

       Explanation
    2008/2007        2007/2006       2008/2007        2007/2006        2008/2007        2007/2006  

Interest income

    $            (211,668)          $           150,717       (31.1%)        28.4%        (1)      (1)

Interest expense

    (169,629)          102,663       (35.6%)        27.4%        (1)      (1)

Loan and security servicing expense

    (3,070)          2,775       (31.6%)        40.0%        (1)      (1)

Provision for credit losses

    (1,937)          956       (18.6%)        10.1%        (2)      (2)

General and administrative expense

    1,437          1,168       24.5%        24.9%        (3)      (3)

Management fee to affiliate

    743          3,627       4.2%        25.9%        (4)      (4)

Incentive compensation to affiliate

    (6,209)          (6,036)         (100.0%)        (49.3%)        (4)      (4)

Depreciation and amortization

    (2)          18       (0.7%)        6.6%        N/A      N/A

Other-than-temporary impairment

    1,795,094          202,602       N.M.        N.M.        (5)      (5)

Loan impairment

    353,124          -           N.M.        N.M.        (5)      N/A

Provision for losses, loans held for sale

    625,228          3,198       N.M.        N.M.        (6)      (6)

Gain (loss) on sale of investments, net

    (72,662)          996       N.M.        N.M.        (7)      (7)

Gain (loss) on extinguishment of debt

    28,856          (14,374)       N.M.        N.M.        (8)      (8)

Other income (loss), net

    (62,885)          (18,589)       N.M.        N.M.        (9)      (9)

Equity in earnings of
unconsolidated subsidiaries, net

    2,767          (578)       51.3%        (9.7%)        (10)      (10)

Income (loss) from continuing operations

    $ (2,910,371)          $ (192,799)       418.1%            (151.2%)            

N.M. – Not meaningful

 

(1) Changes in interest income and expense are primarily related to our acquisition and disposition during these periods of interest bearing assets and related financings, as follows:

 

    Year-to-Year Increase
    Interest Income       Interest Expense
    2008/2007       2008/2007

Disposition of securities and loans

    $                  (77,867)         $              (62,109)  

New debt obligations and related asset acquisitions

    42,737         28,647  

Repayment of CBO debt obligations and related dispositions

    (84,035)         (65,684)  

Paydown

    (29,601)         (17,661)  

Other (primarily changes in rates)

    (62,902)         (52,822)  
             
    $ (211,668)         $ (169,629)  
             
    Year-to-Year Increase
    Interest Income       Interest Expense
    2007/2006       2007/2006

Real estate security and loan portfolios (A)

    $                     76,231         $                 53,497  

FNMA/FHLMC securities

    21,441         20,354  

Other real estate related loans

    18,104         5,293  

Subprime mortgage loan portfolios

    33,064         21,446  

Credit facility and junior subordinated notes

    -             (1,556)  

Residential mortgage loan portfolios

    8,799         5,306  

Other real estate related loans (B)

    (6,922)         (1,677)  
             
    $ 150,717         $ 102,663  
             

(A) Represents our CBO financings and the acquisition of the related collateral in the respective years.

(B) These loans received paydowns during the period which served to offset the amounts listed above.

Changes in loan and security servicing expenses are also primarily due to these acquisitions and paydowns.

 

(2) The change in 2008 is primarily due to a decreased provision for our pool of manufactured housing loans as a result of paydowns. The increase in 2007 is primarily due to the acquisition of a pool of manufactured housing loans in August 2006.

 

(3) The increase from 2007 to 2008 is due to increases in insurance expense and professional fees whereas the increase from 2006 to 2007 is the result of increased market data services, professional fees and excise tax.

 

(4) The increases in management fees are a result of our increased size resulting from equity issuances during 2006 and 2007. The decreases in incentive compensation are a result of impairment charges recorded. As a result of impairment charges, we will not owe incentive compensation to our manager for an indefinite period of time.

 

(5) The changes are due to the impairment charges recorded as a result of the continued credit market turmoil and us not being able to express the intent and ability to hold our investments through maturity or recovery.

 

(6) The increase from 2007 to 2008 is the result of the classification of loans as held for sale as we could no longer express the intent and ability to hold our loan investments through maturity. The increase from 2006 and 2007 is due to the unrealized losses recorded in 2007 on a pool of subprime mortgage loans and two real estate loans which were considered held for sale.

 

(7) The changes are a result of the net gain or loss on the sale of securities, loans and termination of derivatives during the respective years. The increase in the loss on sale of investments in 2008 is predominantly the result of the sales of loans and securities in an unrealized loss position in the fourth quarter of 2008 due to the credit and liquidity crisis.

 

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(8) The increase from 2007 to 2008 is due to gains on the repurchase of our own debt offset by the write-off of deferred financing costs upon repayment of debt obligations. The decrease from 2006 to 2007 is due to cash costs and non-cash charges related to the write-off of deferred financing costs as a result of the repayment of the ABCP facility and redemption of three CBOs in 2007.

 

(9) The changes are primarily a result of the decrease in fair value of total rate of return swaps and other non-hedge derivatives, which we mark to market through the income statement, and the ineffectiveness of derivatives designated as hedges.

 

(10) The increase from 2007 to 2008 is a result of the gain on sale of our interests in an operating real estate joint venture in 2008. The decrease from 2006 to 2007 is primarily due to a decrease in earnings from an unconsolidated subsidiary which owns franchise loans, offset by the gain from the sale of certain franchise loans.

Liquidity and Capital Resources

Overview

Liquidity is a measurement of our ability to meet potential cash requirements, including ongoing commitments to repay borrowings, fund and maintain investments, and other general business needs. Additionally, to maintain our status as a REIT under the Code, we must distribute annually at least 90% of our REIT taxable income. We note that we believe we have already met this requirement for 2008 and that up to 90% of this requirement may be met in future years through stock dividends rather than cash in future periods, subject to limitations based on the value of our stock. Our primary sources of funds for liquidity consist of net cash provided by operating activities, sales or repayments of investments, potential borrowings under loans, potential proceeds received from repurchase agreements and similar financings and the issuance of debt and equity securities, when available. Our debt obligations are generally secured directly by our investment assets except for the trust preferred securities.

Sources of Liquidity and Uses of Capital

With respect to the next twelve months, we expect that our cash on hand, when combined with our cash flow provided by operations, and proceeds from the potential repayment or sale of investments will be sufficient to satisfy our anticipated liquidity needs with respect to our current investment portfolio, including related financings, hedges and operating expenses. While it is inherently more difficult to forecast beyond the next twelve months, we currently expect to meet our long-term liquidity requirements, specifically the repayment of our debt obligations, through additional borrowings, proceeds received from repurchase agreements and similar financings and the liquidation or refinancing of our assets.

These short-term and long-term expectations are forward-looking and subject to a number of uncertainties and assumptions, which are described below under “–Factors That Could Impact Our Liquidity” as well as Part I, Item 1A, “Risk Factors.” If our assumptions about our liquidity prove to be incorrect, we could be subject to a shortfall in liquidity in the future, and this short-fall may occur rapidly and with little or no notice, which would limit our ability to address the shortfall on a timely basis.

Cash flow provided by operations constitutes a critical component of our liquidity. Essentially, our cash flow provided by operations is equal to (i) the net cash flow from our CBOs that have not failed their over collateralization tests, plus (ii) the net cash flow from our non-CBO investments that are not subject to mandatory debt repayment, including principal and sales proceeds, less (iii) operating expenses (primarily management fees, professional fees and insurance), and less (iv) interest on the junior subordinated notes payable (the trust preferred securities).

Our cash flow provided by operations differs from our net income (loss) due to these primary factors: (i) accretion of discount or premium on our real estate securities and loans (including the accrual of interest and fees payable at maturity), discount on our debt obligations, deferred financing costs and interest rate cap premiums, and deferred hedge gains and losses, (ii) gains and losses from sales of assets financed with CBOs, (iii) the provision for credit losses and impairments recorded in connection with our loan assets, as well as other-than-temporary impairment on our securities, (iv) unrealized gains or losses on our non-hedge derivatives, particularly our total rate of return swaps, (v) the non-cash charges associated with our early extinguishment of debt, and (vi) net income (loss) generated within CBOs that have failed triggers and therefore do not remit cash to us. Proceeds from the sale of assets which serve as collateral for our CBO financings, including gains thereon, are required to be retained in the CBO structure until the related bonds are retired and are therefore not available to fund current cash needs outside of these structures.

Update on Liquidity, Capital Resources and Capital Obligations

As described elsewhere under “–Market Considerations” and “–Fourth Quarter Impairment,” events and conditions arose in the fourth quarter that significantly impacted our liquidity and prompted us to modify our non-CBO financings to remove various covenants, and eliminate the margin call provisions in the agreements. In exchange for these modifications, we agreed to make amortization payments over set periods of time. Certain details regarding our liquidity, current financings and capital obligations are set forth below (information is as of March 13, 2009 unless otherwise noted):

 

   

Cash – We had unrestricted cash outside our CBOs of $40.1 million. In addition, we had $78.9 million of restricted cash held in CBO financing structures;

 

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Margin Exposure – We have no financings subject to margin calls, other than one repurchase agreement which finances our FNMA/FHLMC investments and four interest rate swap agreements with an aggregate notional amount of $76.0 million outside of our non-recourse structures, which limits the potential for margin calls to reduce our liquidity;

   

Repayment/Renegotiation of Repurchase Agreements – Substantially all of our assets, other than our FNMA/FHLMC investments, are currently financed with term debt subject to amortization payments, as opposed to short-term debt such as repurchase agreements, which could be subject to margin requirements or termination;

   

Construction Loan Funding Commitment – We have outstanding recourse funding commitments with respect to a commercial construction loan of up to an additional $39.5 million outside of our CBOs, subject to certain conditions to be met by the borrowers. This remaining commitment is expected to be funded over the next seventeen months.

   

Recourse Financings – The following table compares the face amount of our recourse financings, excluding the trust preferred securities, as of March 13, 2009 and December 31, 2008:

 

     March 13, 2009   December 31, 2008

Recourse Financings

    

   Real Estate Securities and Loans

     $                             91       $                             103  

   Manufactured Housing Loans

     20       51  

   FNMA/FHLMC Securities

     49       173  
            

Total Recourse Financings

     160       327  
            

It is important for readers to understand that our liquidity, available capital resources and capital obligations could change rapidly due to a variety of factors, many of which are beyond our control. Set forth below is a discussion of some of the factors that could impact our liquidity, available capital resources and capital obligations.

Factors That Could Impact Our Liquidity, Capital Resources and Capital Obligations

We refer readers to our discussions in other sections of this report for the following information:

 

   

For a further discussion of recent trends and events affecting our liquidity, see “– Market Considerations” above;

   

As described below, under “– Interest Rate, Credit and Spread Risk,” we are subject to margin calls in connection with our derivatives related to the non-recourse financing structures;

   

Our match funded investments are financed long term, and their credit status is continuously monitored, which is described under “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk — Interest Rate Exposure” below. Our remaining investments, generally financed with short term debt or short term repurchase agreements, are also subject to refinancing risk upon the maturity of the related debt. See “Debt Obligations” below; and

   

For a further discussion of a number of risks that could affect our liquidity, access to capital resources and our capital obligations, see “Risk Factors” above.

In addition to the information referenced above, the following factors could also affect our liquidity, access to capital resources and our capital obligations. As such, if their outcomes do not fall within our expectations, changes in these factors could result in a liquidity shortfall.

 

   

Access to Financing from Counterparties – Decisions by investors, counterparties and lenders to enter into transactions with us will depend upon a number of factors, such as our historical and projected financial performance, compliance with the terms of our current credit and derivative arrangements, industry and market trends, the availability of capital and our investors’, counterparties’ and lenders’ policies and rates applicable thereto, and the relative attractiveness of alternative investment or lending opportunities. We strive to maintain access to a broad array of capital resources in an effort to insulate our business from potential fluctuations in the availability of capital. Our core business strategy is dependent upon our ability to finance our real estate securities, loans and other real estate related assets with match funded debt at rates that provide a positive net spread. Currently, spreads for such liabilities have widened and demand for such liabilities has become extremely limited, therefore restricting our ability to execute future financings. This restriction can be exacerbated by the requirement to post margin on existing obligations.

   

Impact of Rating Downgrades on CBO Cash Flows – Ratings downgrades of assets in our CBOs can negatively impact compliance with the over collateralization tests. Generally, the over collateralization test measures the principal balance of the specified pool of assets in a CBO against the corresponding liabilities issued by the CBO. However, based on ratings downgrades, the principal balance of an asset or of a specified percentage of assets in a CBO may be deemed to be reduced below their current balance to levels set forth in the related CBO documents for purposes of calculating the over collateralization test. As a result, ratings downgrades can reduce the assumed principal balance of the assets used in the over collateralization test relative to the corresponding liabilities in the test, thereby reducing the over collateralization percentage. In

 

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addition, actual defaults of assets would also negatively impact compliance with the over collateralization tests. Failure to satisfy an over collateralization test could result in the redirection of cashflows, or, in certain cases, in the potential removal of Newcastle as collateral manager.

   

Impact of Expected Repayment or Forecasted Sale on Cash Flows – The timing of and proceeds from the repayment or sale of certain investments may be different than expected or may not occur as expected. Proceeds from sales of assets in the current illiquid market environment are unpredictable and may vary materially from their estimated fair value and their carrying value.

Investment Portfolio

Our investment portfolio as of December 31, 2008 is detailed in Part I, Item 1, “Business – Our Investment Strategy.”

Debt Obligations

Our debt obligations, as summarized in Note 8 to Part II, Item 8, “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data,” existing at December 31, 2008 (gross of $20.6 million of discounts) had contractual maturities as follows (unaudited) (in thousands):

 

    Nonrecourse   Recourse (1)   Total

2009

    $        130,182       $       273,249       $      403,431  

2010

    -       54,341       54,341  

2011

    200,460       -       200,460  

2012

    -       -       -  

2013

    -       -       -  

Thereafter

    4,777,493       100,100       4,877,593  
                 

Total

    $     5,108,135       $       427,690       $   5,535,825  
                 

(1)    Includes $51.1 million face amount of the manufactured housing loan financing which is recourse.

Certain of the debt obligations included above are obligations of our consolidated subsidiaries which own the related collateral. In some cases, including the CBO and Other Bonds Payable, such collateral is not available to other creditors of ours.

Our Other Bonds Payable are collateralized by two portfolios of manufactured housing loans. In January 2009, the debt for one of the portfolios of manufactured housing loans became callable at the option of the lender. At that time, we repaid in full the recourse portion of the outstanding debt of $13.6 million. The remaining $124.1 million portion of the debt, which is non-recourse to the general credit of Newcastle, remains outstanding at March 13, 2009. The principal and interest payments from the underlying loans, net of expenses and payments related to interest rate swap contracts, are used to repay the outstanding debt on a monthly basis. Furthermore, as a result of classifying the portfolios of manufactured housing loans as held for sale, the losses recorded were in excess of our economic exposure by $23.6 million which must eventually be reversed through amortization, sales at gains, or as gains at the extinguishment of debt.

In March 2006, we acquired a portfolio of subprime mortgage loans (“Subprime Portfolio I”) for $1.50 billion. In April 2006, Newcastle Mortgage Securities Trust 2006-1 (“Securitization Trust 2006”) closed on a securitization of Subprime Portfolio I. We do not consolidate Securitization Trust 2006. We sold Subprime Portfolio I to Securitization Trust 2006, which issued $1.45 billion of notes with a stated maturity of March 2036. We, as holder of the equity of Securitization Trust 2006, have the option to redeem the notes once the aggregate principal balance of Subprime Portfolio I is equal to or less than 20% of such balance at the date of the transfer. The transaction between us and Securitization Trust 2006 qualified as a sale for accounting purposes. However, 20% of the loans which are subject to a call option by us were not treated as being sold. Following the securitization, we held the following interests in Subprime Portfolio I: (i) the equity of Securitization Trust 2006, (ii) the retained notes, and (iii) subprime mortgage loans subject to call option and related financing in the amount of 100% of such loans.

In March 2006, we completed the placement of $100.0 million of trust preferred securities through our wholly owned subsidiary, Newcastle Trust I (the “Preferred Trust”). We own all of the common stock of the Preferred Trust. The Preferred Trust used the proceeds to purchase $100.1 million of our junior subordinated notes. These notes represent all of the Preferred Trust’s assets. The terms of the junior subordinated notes are substantially the same as the terms of the trust preferred securities. The trust preferred securities may be redeemed at par beginning in April 2011. We do not consolidate the Preferred Trust. As a result, we have reflected the obligation to the Preferred Trust under the caption Junior Subordinated Notes Payable.

In March 2007, we entered into an agreement to acquire a portfolio of subprime mortgage loans (“Subprime Portfolio II”) with up to $1.7 billion of unpaid principal balance. In July 2007, Newcastle Mortgage Securities Trust 2007-1 ( “Securitization Trust 2007”) closed on a securitization of Subprime Portfolio II. As a result of the repurchase of

 

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delinquent loans by the seller, as well as borrower repayments, the unpaid principal balance of the portfolio upon securitization was $1.1 billion. We do not consolidate Securitization Trust 2007. We sold Subprime Portfolio II to Securitization Trust 2007, which issued $1.0 billion of notes with a stated maturity of April 2037. We, as holder of the equity of Securitization Trust 2007, have the option to redeem the notes once the aggregate principal balance of Subprime Portfolio II is equal to or less than 10% of such balance at the date of the transfer. The transaction between us and Securitization Trust 2007 qualified as a sale for accounting purposes. However, 10% of the loans which are subject to a call option by us were not treated as being sold. Following the securitization, we held the following interests in Subprime Portfolio II: (i) the equity of Securitization Trust 2007, (ii) the retained notes, and (iii) subprime mortgage loans subject to call option and related financing in the amount of 100% of such loans.

We have no obligation to repurchase any loans from either of our subprime securitizations. Therefore, it is expected that our exposure to loss is limited to the carrying amount of our retained interests in the securitization entities, as described above. A subsidiary of Newcastle gave limited representations and warranties with respect to Subprime Portfolio II; however, it has no assets and does not have recourse to the assets of Newcastle.

In February 2008, we terminated our credit facility. The credit facility had been unused since July 2007 and the termination released a significant amount of collateral with which we generated additional liquidity, generally through selective asset sales. At the date of termination, no amounts were outstanding under the credit facility (and we did not incur any material costs related to the termination); at that time, previously incurred and deferred financing costs of $0.6 million were written off.

During 2008, we repurchased $24.9 million face amount of CBO bonds for $7.9 million and recorded a gain of $16.8 million.

During 2008, we had significant asset sales and associated debt repayments, as reflected in Part II, Item 8, “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.”

 

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The following table summarizes our CBO financings as of December 31, 2008 (dollars in thousands). The amounts reflect data at the CBO level which is unconsolidated and thus is different from the GAAP balance sheet due to intercompany amounts eliminated in consolidation.

 

    Portfolio V       Portfolio VI       Portfolio VII       Portfolio VIII       Portfolio IX       Portfolio X       Portfolio XI       Total / Weighted
Average

Balance Sheet:

                             

Asset Face Amount

    $     458,802         $     507,779         $     491,958         $     514,944         $     914,778         $     806,520         $     1,448,914         $     5,143,695  

Asset Amortized Cost Basis

    $ 232,865         $ 230,188         $ 186,282         $ 142,424         $ 460,134         $ 443,414         $ 685,156         $ 2,380,463  

Debt Carrying Value

    412,051         452,178         442,094         458,613         806,442         636,569         1,286,012         4,493,959  
                                                             

Invested Equity (1)

    $ -         $ -         $ -         $ -         $ -         $ -         $ -         $ -  
                                                             

Quarterly Segment Basis Operating Income (2)

    $ 1,575         $ 2,300         $ 2,493         $ 2,432         $ 6,339         $ 7,502         $ 5,164         $ 27,805  

Net cash receipts (3)

    $ 1,705         $ 1,927         $ 393         $ 380         $ 6,006         $ 4,227         $ 5,076         $ 19,714  

Collateral Composition (4):

                             

CMBS

    59.1%   BBB-     65.4%   BBB-     64.7%   BBB-     64.7%   BBB     20.7%   BB-     10.9%   BB-     51.1%   BBB     44.2%

REIT Debt

    21.2%   BBB-     15.3%   BBB-     9.1%   BBB     12.8%   BBB     3.3%   CC     0.0%       23.1%   BB+     12.6%

ABS

    13.9%   A     18.0%   BBB+     17.5%   BB+     20.3%   BB+     9.4%   A-     0.0%       17.3%   BBB-     13.3%

Bank Loans

    2.1%   B     0.0%       8.0%   B     2.1%   B+     18.5%   B-     26.0%   CCC+     4.9%   CCC     9.9%

Mezzanine Loans / B-Notes

    2.2%   BB+     0.0%       0.0%       0.0%       39.6%   B-     61.1%   B-     0.0%       16.8%

CDO

    0.0%       0.0%       0.0%       0.0%       8.3%   BBB+     1.8%   A-     3.1%   BB     2.6%

Restricted Cash

    1.5%       1.3%       0.7%       0.1%       0.2%       0.2%       0.5%       0.6%
                                                                           

Total

    100.0%   BBB-     100.0%   BBB-     100.0%   BBB-     100.0%   BBB-     100.0%   B+     100.0%   B-     100.0%   BBB-     100.0%
                                                                           

CBO Overview:

                             

Effective Date

    Sep-04       Feb-05       Aug-05       Jan-06       Mar-07       Jul-07       Dec-07    

Reinvestment Period Ends (5)

    Mar-09       Sep-09       Apr-10       Dec-10       Nov-11       May-12       Jul-12    

Optional Call Date (6)

    Jun-07       Dec-07       May-08       Jan-09       Dec-09       Jun-10       Aug-10    

Auction Call Date (7)

    Mar-14       Sep-14       Apr-15       Dec-15       Nov-16       May-17       Jul-17    

Avg Debt Spread (bps) (8)

    52       45       39       33       48       39       32       40

Asset Weighted Average Life

    4.0       4.5       5.6       6.6       4.4       3.4       4.8       4.7

Debt Weighted Average Life

    3.6       4.2       5.2       6.5       5.1       4.8       6.1       5.3

CBO Cash Flow Triggers (9):

                             

Over Collateralization (10)

                             

Effective Date

    109.4%       110.0%       111.9%       113.4%       113.2%       116.1%       109.8%    

Current

    109.0%       111.7%       108.9%       105.4%       108.9%       112.0%       105.9%    

Trigger

    105.9%       107.5%       109.3%       110.9%       108.7%       108.0%       101.5%    

Interest Coverage

                             

Current

    140.6%       142.9%       232.5%       213.7%       247.6%       273.0%       184.7%    

Trigger

    106.0%       106.0%       106.0%       106.0%       106.0%       103.0%       107.0%    

See footnotes on next page

 

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(1) Given the non-recourse nature of our CBO liabilities, invested equity cannot be less than zero. Currently, our GAAP equity in our CBOs is $2.3 billion in the aggregate lower than our invested equity due to impairment recorded in excess of our maximum possible economic loss.

 

(2) Represents operating income before impairment for the three months ended December 31, 2008 based on the methodology used for preparing segment basis financial data as described in Note 3 to Part II, Item 8, “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.”

 

(3) Represents net cash received from each CBO based on all of our interests in such CBO for the three months ended December 31, 2008.

 

(4) Collateral composition is calculated as a percentage of the face amount of collateral and includes CBO bonds of $135.4 million and other bonds of $70.9 million issued by Newcastle, which are eliminated on consolidation. Also reflected are weighted average credit ratings, which were determined by third party rating agencies as of a particular date, may not be current and are subject to change (including the assignment of a “negative outlook” or “credit watch”) at any time.

 

(5) Our CBO financings typically have a 5 year reinvestment period. Generally, after such period ends, principal payments on the collateral are used to paydown the most senior debt outstanding. Prior to the end of the reinvestment period, principal payments received on the collateral are reinvested.

 

(6) At the option call date, Newcastle, as the equity holder, has the right to payoff the CBO bonds at their related redemption price. The funds needed to pay the debt could be raised either through a sale or refinancing of the collateral.

 

(7) At the auction call date, there is a mandatory auction of the assets. If the prices are sufficient to pay off the outstanding CBO bonds, the assets will be sold and the CBO bonds will be redeemed.

 

(8) Debt spread represents the spread above the benchmark interest rate (LIBOR or U.S. Treasuries) that Newcastle pays on its debt.

 

(9) Each of our CBO financings contains tests that measure the amount of over collateralization and excess interest in the transaction. Failure to satisfy these tests would cause the principal and/or interest cashflow that would otherwise be distributed to more junior classes of securities (including those held by Newcastle) to be redirected to pay down the most senior class of securities outstanding until the tests are satisfied. As a result, our cash flow and liquidity are negatively impacted upon such a failure, and the impact could be material. Each CBO contains tests at various over collateralization and interest coverage percentage levels. The trigger percentages identified above represent the first threshold at which cashflows would be redirected as described in this footnote. The data presented is as of the most recent remittance date on or before December 31, 2008 and may change or have changed subsequent to that date. In addition, our CBOs may also contain specific over collateralization tests that, if failed, can result in the occurrence of an event of default or our being removed as collateral manager of the CBO. Failure of the over collateralization tests can also cause a “phantom income” issue if cash that constitutes income is diverted to pay down debt instead of distributed to us. As of March 13, 2009, three of our CBOs, Portfolios VII, VIII and IX, were not in compliance with their applicable over collateralization tests and, consequently, we were not receiving cash flows from these CBOs currently (other than management fees). Based upon our current calculations, two of our CBOs, Portfolios VII and VIII, will not be in compliance with their applicable over collateralization tests as of their next measurement date in March 2009, and we expect these portfolios to remain out of compliance for the foreseeable future. Moreover, given current market conditions, it is possible that all of our CBOs could be out of compliance with their over collateralization tests as of one or more measurement dates within the next twelve months. Our ability to rebalance will depend upon the availability of suitable securities, market prices, whether the reinvestment period of the applicable CBO has ended, and other factors that are beyond our control, such rebalancing efforts may be extremely difficult given current market conditions and we cannot assure you that we will be successful in our rebalancing efforts. If the liabilities of our CBOs are downgraded by Moody’s to certain predetermined levels, our discretion to rebalance the applicable CBO portfolios may be negatively impacted. Moreover, if we bring these coverage tests into compliance, we cannot assure you that they will not fall out of compliance in the future or that we will be able to correct any noncompliance.

 

(10) Ratings downgrades of assets in our CBOs can negatively impact compliance with the over collateralization tests. Generally, the over collateralization test measures the principal balance of the specified pool of assets in a CBO against the corresponding liabilities issued by the CBO. However, based on ratings downgrades, the principal balance of an asset or of a specified percentage of assets in a CBO may be deemed reduced below their current balance to levels set forth in the related CBO documents for purposes of calculating the over collateralization test. As a result, ratings downgrades can reduce the principal balance of the assets used in the over collateralization test relative to the corresponding liabilities in the test, thereby reducing the over collateralization percentage. In addition, actual defaults of an asset would also negatively impact compliance with the over collateralization tests. Failure to satisfy an over collateralization test could result in the redirection of cashflows as described in footnote 9 above.

Covenants

Our non-CBO financings contain various customary loan covenants. We are in compliance with all of the covenants in our non-CBO financings as of the date of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.

Other

We had entered into total rate of return swaps with major investment banks to finance certain loans whereby we received the sum of all interest, fees and any positive change in value amounts (the total return cash flows) from a reference asset with a specified notional amount, and paid interest on such notional plus any negative change in value amounts from such asset. These agreements were recorded in Derivative Assets or Liabilities (as applicable) and treated as non-hedge derivatives for accounting purposes and were therefore marked to market through income. Net interest received was recorded to Interest Income and the mark to market was recorded to Other Income. If we had owned the reference assets directly, they would not have been marked to market through income. Under the agreements, we were required to post an initial margin deposit to an interest bearing account and additional margin may have been payable in the event of a decline in value of the reference asset. Any margin on deposit, less any negative change in value amounts, was returned to us upon termination of the related contract.

As of December 31, 2008, we did not own any total rate of return swaps.

 

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Stockholders’ Equity

Common Stock

The following table presents information on shares of our common stock issued since our formation.

 

Year

  Shares
Issued
  Range of Issue
  Prices per Share (1)  
    Net Proceeds  
(millions)
    Options Granted  
to Manager

Formation

   16,488,517    N/A         N/A   N/A

2002

  7,000,000    $13.00   $80.0   700,000

2003

  7,886,316    $20.35-$22.85   $163.4   788,227

2004

  8,484,648    $26.30-$31.40   $224.3   837,500

2005

  4,053,928    $29.60   $108.2   330,000

2006

  1,800,408    $29.42   $51.2   170,000

2007

  7,065,362    $27.75-$31.30   $201.3   698,000

2008

  9,871    N/A   $0.1   0
         

December 31, 2008

   52,789,050       
         

 

(1) Excludes prices of shares issued pursuant to the exercise of options and of shares issued to our independent directors.

Through December 31, 2008, our manager had assigned, for no value, options to purchase approximately 1.2 million shares of our common stock to certain of our manager’s employees, of which approximately 0.4 million had been exercised. In addition, our manager had exercised 0.7 million of its options.

As of December 31, 2008, our outstanding options had a weighted average strike price of $27.04 and were summarized as follows:

 

Held by our manager

           1,612,772

Issued to our manager and subsequently assigned to certain of our manager’s employees

   871,837

Held by directors and former directors

   14,000
    

Total

   2,498,609
    

Preferred Stock

In March 2003, we issued 2.5 million shares ($62.5 million face amount), of 9.75% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock (the “Series B Preferred”). In October 2005, we issued 1.6 million shares ($40.0 million face amount) of 8.05% Series C Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock (the “Series C Preferred”). In March 2007, we issued 2.0 million shares ($50.0 million face amount) of 8.375% Series D Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock (the “Series D Preferred). The Series B Preferred, Series C Preferred and Series D Preferred have a $25 liquidation preference, no maturity date and no mandatory redemption. We have the option to redeem the Series B Preferred beginning in March 2008, the Series C Preferred beginning in October 2010 and the Series D Preferred beginning in March 2012. If the Series C Preferred and Series D Preferred cease to be listed on the NYSE or the AMEX, or quoted on the NASDAQ, and we are not subject to the reporting requirements of the Exchange Act, we have the option to redeem the Series C Preferred or Series D Preferred, as applicable, at their face amount and, during such time any shares of Series C Preferred or Series D Preferred are outstanding, the dividend will increase to 9.05% or 9.375% per annum, respectively.

In the fourth fiscal quarter of 2008, our board of directors elected not to declare any of the specified dividends on our three series of preferred stock and those dividends are now in arrears. Until we pay all accrued dividends on our preferred shares, we cannot pay any dividends on our common shares, pay any consideration to repurchase or otherwise acquire shares of our common stock or redeem any shares of any series of our preferred stock without redeeming all of our outstanding preferred shares in accordance with the governing documentation. Moreover, if we do not pay dividends on any series of preferred stock for six or more periods, then holders of each affected series obtain the right to call a special meeting and elect two members to our board of directors. Consequently, failure to pay dividends on our preferred shares restricts the actions that we may take with respect to our common and preferred shares and could affect the composition of our board and, thus, the management of our business. No assurance can be given that we will pay any dividends on any series of our preferred shares in the future.

 

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Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income

During the year ended December 31, 2008, our accumulated other comprehensive income changed due to the following factors (in thousands):

 

Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss), December 31, 2007

     $ (502,516) 

Net unrealized gain (loss) on securities

     (1,587,049) 

Reclassification of net realized (gain) loss on securities into earnings

     2,001,786 

Foreign currency translation

     (5,037) 

Net unrealized gain (loss) on derivatives designated as cash flow hedges

     (230,891) 

Reclassification of net realized (gain) loss on derivatives designated

    as cash flow hedges into earnings

     16,134  
      

Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss), December 31, 2008

     $         (307,573) 
      

Our book equity changes as our real estate securities portfolio and derivatives are marked to market each quarter, among other factors. The primary causes of mark to market changes are changes in interest rates and credit spreads. During the year, sharply widening credit spreads have resulted in a net increase in unrealized losses on our real estate securities and derivatives.

See “– Market Considerations” above for a further discussion of recent trends and events affecting our unrealized gains and losses as well as our liquidity.

Common Dividends Paid

 

 Declared for the Period Ended                     Paid                                 Amount Per Share                

 March 31, 2006

 

 April 2006

   $0.625

 June 30, 2006

 

 July 2006

   $0.650

 September 30, 2006

 

 October 2006

   $0.650

 December 31, 2006

 

 January 2007

   $0.690

 March 31, 2007

 

 April 2007

   $0.690

 June 30, 2007

 

 July 2007

   $0.720

 September 30, 2007

 

 October 2007

   $0.720

 December 31, 2007

 

 January 2008

   $0.720

 March 31, 2008

 

 April 2008

   $0.250

 June 30, 2008

 

 July 2008

   $0.250

 September 30, 2008

 

 October 2008

   $0.250

Cash Flow

Operating Activities

Net cash flow provided by (used in) operating activities increased from ($6.5) million for the year ended December 31, 2007 to $118.2 million for the year ended December 31, 2008. It decreased from $16.3 million for the year ended December 31, 2006 to ($6.5) million for the year ended December 31, 2007. These changes primarily resulted from the acquisition and settlement of our investments as described above, most notably due to our acquisitions and securitizations of the pools of subprime residential mortgage loans in 2007 and 2006, which were classified as an operating activity, although the net cash out flows relating to the securitizations represent investments in the securitization vehicles. The negative operating cash flow in 2007 is primarily the result of the higher investment in the subprime securitization vehicle in 2007 as compared to the similar securitization in 2006.

Operating Activities – Comparative 2008 vs. 2007

Cash interest received for investments in securities and loans decreased approximately $173.7 million as a result of a lower average balance of interest bearing securities and loans of $6.5 billion in 2008 compared to $8.6 billion in 2007 and a decrease in the weighted average interest rate to 5.24% in 2008 from 7.01% in 2007. The lower asset balance is primarily a result of the paydowns and increased asset sales in 2008.

Cash interest paid decreased approximately $175.3 million due to a lower average debt balance of $5.6 billion in 2008 compared to $7.7 billion in 2007 and a decrease in the weighted average funding cost; including the effect of hedges, to 3.57% in 2008 from 5.42% in 2007.

Incentive compensation paid to our manager decreased by $6.0 million due to the impairment charges recorded.

General and administrative expenses paid increased by approximately $1.8 million, primarily due to an increase in insurance expenses, professional fees and license fees, partially offset by a decrease in excise tax paid.

 

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Investing Activities

Investing activities provided (used) $1.7 billion, $34.0 million and ($2.0) billion during the years ended December 31, 2008, 2007 and 2006, respectively. Investing activities consisted primarily of the investments made in real estate securities and loans, net of proceeds from the sale or settlement of investments.

Financing Activities

Financing activities provided (used) $(1.8) billion, $23.1 million and $1.9 billion during the years ended December 31, 2008, 2007 and 2006, respectively. The equity issuances, borrowings and debt issuances described above served as the primary sources of cash flow from financing activities. Offsetting uses included the payment of related deferred financing costs, payments related to hedging instruments, the payment of dividends, and the repayment of debt as described above.

See the consolidated statements of cash flows in our consolidated financial statements included in “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data” for a reconciliation of our cash position for the periods described herein.

Interest Rate, Credit and Spread Risk

We are subject to interest rate, credit and spread risk with respect to our investments. These risks are further described in Part II, Item 7A, “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.”

Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements

As of December 31, 2008, we had two material off-balance sheet arrangements. We believe that these off-balance sheet structures presented the most efficient and least expensive form of financing for these assets at the time they were entered, and represented the most common market-accepted method for financing such assets.

 

 

In April 2006, we securitized Subprime Portfolio I. The loans were sold to a securitization trust, of which 80% were treated as a sale, which is an off-balance sheet financing as described in “– Liquidity and Capital Resources.”

 

 

In July 2007, we securitized Subprime Portfolio II. The loans were sold to a securitization trust, of which 90% were treated as a sale, which is an off-balance sheet financing as described in “– Liquidity and Capital Resources.”

We have no obligation to repurchase any loans from either of our subprime securitizations. Therefore, it is expected that our exposure to loss is limited to the carrying amount of our retained interests in the securitization entities, as described above. A subsidiary of ours gave limited representations and warranties with respect to the second securitization; however, it has no assets and does not have recourse to the general credit of Newcastle.

We also had the following arrangements which do not meet the definition of off-balance sheet arrangements, but do have some of the characteristics of off-balance sheet arrangements.

 

 

We have made investments in three unconsolidated subsidiaries, one of which is dormant at December 31, 2008. See Note 3 to Part II, Item 8, “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.”

In each case, our exposure to loss is limited to the carrying (fair) value of our investment.

Contractual Obligations

As of December 31, 2008, we had the following material contractual obligations (payments in thousands):

 

Contract    Terms
CBO bonds payable    Described under Part II, Item 7A, “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk”
Other bonds payable    Described under Part II, Item 7A, “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk”
Repurchase agreements    Described under Part II, Item 7A, “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk”
Junior subordinated notes payable    Described under “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk”
Interest rate swaps, treated as hedges    Described under Part II, Item 7A, “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk”
Non-hedge derivative obligations    Described under Part II, Item 7A, “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk”

 

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Management agreement    Our manager is paid an annual management fee of 1.5% of our gross equity, as defined, an expense reimbursement, and incentive compensation equal to 25% of our FFO above a certain threshold. For more information on this agreement, as well as historical amounts earned, see Note 10 to Part II, Item 8, “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” As a result of not meeting the incentive compensation threshold, the incentive compensation to the Manager has been discontinued for an indeterminate period of time.
CBO backstop agreement    In connection with the remarketing procedure described above, a backstop agreement was created whereby a third party financial institution is required to purchase the $321.2 million face amount of bonds at the end of any remarketing period if such bonds could not be resold in the market by the remarketing agent. We pay an annual fee of 0.15% of the outstanding face amount of such bonds under this agreement.
CBO remarketing agreement    In connection with the remarketing procedures, the remarketing agent is paid an annual fee of 0.05% of the outstanding face amount of the bonds under the remarketing agreements. This agreement was terminated in February 2009.
Subprime loan securitization    We entered into the securitization of Subprime Portfolios I and II as described under “– Liquidity and Capital Resources.”
Loan servicing agreements    We are a party to servicing agreements with respect to our residential mortgage loans, including manufactured housing loans and subprime mortgage loans, and our ICH loans. We pay annual fees generally equal to 0.375% of the outstanding face amount of the residential mortgage loans, 1.00% and 0.625% of the outstanding face amount of the two portfolios of manufactured housing loans, respectively, and approximately 0.06% of the outstanding face amount of the ICH loans under these agreements. We also pay an incentive fee for one of the portfolios of manufactured housing loans if the performance of the loans meets certain thresholds.
Trustee agreements    We have entered into trustee agreements in connection with our securitized investments, primarily our CBOs. We pay annual fees of between 0.015% and 0.020% of the outstanding face amount of the CBO bonds under these agreements.

 

     Fixed and Determinable Payments Due by Period
Contract    2009   2010-2011   2012-2013   Thereafter   Total

 

CBO bonds payable (1)

     $ 52,194       $ 104,236       $ 95,692       $ 5,906,850       $ 6,158,972  

 

Other bonds payable (1)

 

     173,858       217,146       ­       ­       391,004  

Repurchase agreements (1) (2)

     233,479       48,851       ­       ­       282,330  

 

Financing of subprime mortgage loans subject

  to future repurchase (3)

     N/A       N/A       N/A       N/A       N/A  

 

Junior subordinated notes payable (1)

     7,582       15,163       15,163       154,827       192,735  

 

Interest rate swaps, treated as hedges (4)

     -       ­       ­       317,757       317,757  

 

Non-hedge derivative obligations (5)

     16,220       ­       ­       ­       16,220  

 

Swap termination payment

     8,492       ­       ­       ­       8,492  

 

Management agreement (6)

     17,468       34,936       34,936       436,698       524,038  

 

CBO backstop agreements

     *       *       *       *       *  

 

CBO remarketing agreements

     *       *       *       *       *  

 

Subprime loan securitization

     *       *       *       *       *  

 

Loan servicing agreements

     *       *       *       *       *  

 

Trustee agreements

     *       *       *       *       *  
                              

Total

     $         509,293       $     420,332       $     145,791       $     6,816,132       $     7,891,548  
                              

 

* These contracts do not have fixed and determinable payments.
(1)   Includes interest based on rates existing at December 31, 2008 and assuming no prepayments. Obligations that are repayable prior to maturity at the option of Newcastle are reflected at their contractual maturity dates.
(2)   Repurchase agreements maturing within one year of our financial statement date are included in this table assuming no interest. See “– Liquidity and Capital Resources” above for an update on these obligations.
(3)   These obligations represent the related financing on the loans which are subject to future repurchase by Newcastle and are offset by the amount of such loans. See Note 5 to Part II, Item 8, “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data”.
(4)   Primarily all of these agreements are held within our non-recourse financing structures. The amounts reflected assume that these agreements are terminated at their December 31, 2008 fair value and paid at the contractual maturity of the related financing.

 

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(5)   The amounts reflected assume that these agreements are terminated at their December 31, 2008 fair value on January 1, 2009.
(6)   Amounts reflect base management fees for the next 30 years assuming no change in gross equity, as defined, from December 31, 2008.

Inflation

We believe that our risk of increases in market interest rates on our floating rate debt as a result of inflation is largely offset by our use of match funding and hedging instruments as described above. See Part II, Item 7A, “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosure About Market Risk — Interest Rate Exposure” below.

Adjusted Funds from Operations

We believe Adjusted Funds from Operations (AFFO) is one appropriate measure of the operating performance of real estate companies. We also believe that AFFO is an appropriate supplemental disclosure of operating performance for a REIT. Furthermore, AFFO is used to compute our incentive compensation to our manager. AFFO, for our purposes, represents net income available for common stockholders (computed in accordance with GAAP), excluding extraordinary items, plus depreciation of our operating real estate, and after adjustments for unconsolidated subsidiaries, if any. We consider gains and losses on resolution of our investments to be a normal part of our recurring operations and, therefore, do not exclude such gains and losses when arriving at AFFO. This is the one difference between our definition of AFFO and the National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts (“NAREIT”) definition of FFO, which excludes gains and losses. Adjustments for unconsolidated subsidiaries, if any, are calculated to reflect AFFO on the same basis. AFFO does not represent cash generated from operating activities in accordance with GAAP and therefore should not be considered an alternative to net income as an indicator of our operating performance or as an alternative to cash flow as a measure of liquidity and is not necessarily indicative of cash available to fund cash needs. Our calculation of AFFO may be different from the calculation used by other companies and, therefore, comparability may be limited.

Adjusted Funds from Operations (AFFO) is calculated as follows (unaudited) (in thousands):

 

    For the Year Ended December 31,
    2008   2007   2006

Income (loss) applicable to common stockholders

    $     (2,998,853)      $         (78,097)      $         118,609 

Operating real estate depreciation

    (5,223)      1,121       812 

Accumulated depreciation on operating real estate sold

    -           -          -     
                 

Adjusted Funds from operations (AFFO)

    $ (3,004,076)      $ (76,976)      $ 119,421 
                 

Adjusted funds from operations was derived from our segments as follows (unaudited) (in thousands):

 

    Book Equity
December 31, 2008
  AFFO for the Year
Ended
December 31, 2008

CBOs

    $ (2,127,021)      $ (2,515,052) 

Other non-recourse

    (44,115)      (112,524) 

Recourse

    10,677       (186,848) 

Unlevered

    127,832       (144,181) 

Unallocated (1)

    (204,829)      (45,471) 
           

Total (2)

    (2,237,456)      $         (3,004,076) 
       

Preferred stock

    152,500    

Accumulated depreciation

    (1,003)   

Accumulated other

  comprehensive income (loss)

    (307,573)   
       

Net book equity

    $             (2,393,532)   
       

 

(1) Unallocated AFFO represents ($7.5 million) of interest expense, ($11.3 million) of preferred dividends and ($24.4 million) of corporate general and administrative expense, management fees and incentive compensation.

 

(2) Invested common equity is equal to book equity excluding preferred stock, accumulated depreciation and accumulated other comprehensive income (loss).

As a result of the effect of other-than-temporary impairment on our AFFO, we expect that there will be no incentive compensation payable to our manager for an indeterminate amount of time.

 

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Item 7A.  Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.

Market risk is the exposure to loss resulting from changes in interest rates, credit spreads, foreign currency exchange rates, commodity prices and equity prices. The primary market risks that we are exposed to are interest rate risk and credit spread risk. These risks are highly sensitive to many factors, including governmental monetary and tax policies, domestic and international economic and political considerations and other factors beyond our control. All of our market risk sensitive assets, liabilities and derivative positions are for non-trading purposes only. For a further understanding of how market risk may effect our financial position or operating results, please refer to Part II, Item 7, “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations – Application of Critical Accounting Policies.”

Interest Rate Exposure

Changes in interest rates, including changes in expected interest rates or “yield curves,” affect our investments in two distinct ways, each of which is discussed below.

First, changes in interest rates affect our net interest income, which is the difference between the interest income earned on assets and the interest expense incurred in connection with our debt obligations and hedges.

Our general financing strategy focuses on the use of match funded structures, when appropriate and available. This means that we seek to match the maturities of our debt obligations with the maturities of our assets to reduce the risk that we have to refinance our liabilities prior to the maturities of our assets, and to reduce the impact of changing interest rates on our earnings. In addition, we generally match fund interest rates on our assets with like-kind debt (i.e., fixed rate assets are financed with fixed rate debt and floating rate assets are financed with floating rate debt), directly or through the use of interest rate swaps, caps or other financial instruments (see below), or through a combination of these strategies, which we believe allows us to reduce the impact of changing interest rates on our earnings.

However, increases in interest rates can nonetheless reduce our net interest income to the extent that we are not completely match funded. Furthermore, a period of rising interest rates can negatively impact our return on certain floating rate investments. Although these investments may be financed with floating rate debt, the interest rate on the debt may reset prior to, and in some cases more frequently than, the interest rate on the assets, causing a decrease in return on equity during a period of rising interest rates.

As of December 31, 2008, a 100 basis point increase in short term interest rates would increase our earnings by approximately $2.6 million per annum, assuming a static portfolio of current investments and financings.

Second, changes in the level of interest rates also affect the yields required by the marketplace on debt. Increasing interest rates would decrease the value of the fixed rate assets we hold at the time because higher required yields result in lower prices on existing fixed rate assets in order to adjust their yield upward to meet the market.

Changes in unrealized gains or losses resulting from changes in market interest rates do not directly affect our cash flows, or our ability to pay a dividend, as the related assets are expected to be held and their fair value is not directly relevant to their underlying cash flows. Our assets are largely financed to maturity through long term CBO financings that are not redeemable as a result of book value changes. As long as these fixed rate assets continue to perform as expected, our cash flows from these assets would not be affected by increasing interest rates. Changes in unrealized gains or losses would impact our ability to realize gains on existing investments if they were sold. Furthermore, with respect to changes in unrealized gains or losses on investments which are carried at fair value, changes in unrealized gains or losses would impact our net book value and, in the cases of impaired assets and non-hedge derivatives, our net income.

Changes in the value of our assets could affect our ability to borrow and access capital. Also, if the value of our assets subject to short term financing were to decline, it could cause us to fund margin and affect our ability to refinance such assets upon the maturity of the related financings, adversely impacting our rate of return on such securities.

As of December 31, 2008, a 100 basis point change in short term interest rates would impact our net book value by approximately $84.1 million, assuming a static portfolio of current investments and financings.

Interest rate swaps are agreements in which a series of interest rate flows are exchanged with a third party (counterparty) over a prescribed period. The notional amount on which swaps are based is not exchanged. In general, our swaps are “pay fixed” swaps involving the exchange of floating rate interest payments from the counterparty for fixed interest payments from us. This can effectively convert a floating rate debt obligation into a fixed rate debt obligation. Interest rate swaps may be subject to margin calls.

Similarly, an interest rate cap or floor agreement is a contract in which we purchase a cap or floor contract on a notional face amount. We will make an up-front payment to the counterparty for which the counterparty agrees to make future payments to us should the reference rate (typically one- or three-month LIBOR) rise above (cap

 

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agreements) or fall below (floor agreements) the “strike” rate specified in the contract. Should the reference rate rise strike rate in a floor, we will earn floor income. Payments on an annualized basis will equal the contractual notional face amount multiplied by the difference between the actual reference rate and the contracted strike rate.

While a REIT may utilize these types of derivative instruments to hedge interest rate risk on its liabilities or for other purposes, such derivative instruments could generate income that is not qualified income for purposes of maintaining REIT status. As a consequence, we may only engage in such instruments to hedge such risks within the constraints of maintaining our standing as a REIT. We do not enter into derivative contracts for speculative purposes nor as a hedge against changes in credit risk.

Our hedging transactions using derivative instruments also involve certain additional risks such as counterparty credit risk, the enforceability of hedging contracts and the risk that unanticipated and significant changes in interest rates will cause a significant loss of basis in the contract. The counterparties to our derivative arrangements are major financial institutions with which we and our affiliates may also have other financial relationships. We do not anticipate that any of these counterparties will fail to meet their obligations. There can be no assurance that we will be able to adequately protect against the foregoing risks and will ultimately realize an economic benefit that exceeds the related amounts incurred in connection with engaging in such hedging strategies.

Credit Spread Exposure

Credit spreads measure the yield demanded on loans and securities by the market based on their credit relative to U.S. Treasuries, for fixed rate credit, or LIBOR, for floating rate credit. Our fixed rate loans and securities are valued based on a market credit spread over the rate payable on fixed rate U.S. Treasuries of like maturity. Our floating rate loans and securities are valued based on a market credit spread over LIBOR. Excessive supply of such loans and securities combined with reduced demand will generally cause the market to require a higher yield on such loans and securities, resulting in the use of a higher (or “wider”) spread over the benchmark rate to value them.

Widening credit spreads would result in higher yields being required by the marketplace on loans and securities. This widening would reduce the value of the loans and securities we hold at the time because higher required yields result in lower prices on existing securities in order to adjust their yield upward to meet the market. The effects of such a decrease in values on our financial position, results of operations and liquidity are discussed above under “- Interest Rate Risk.”

As of December 31, 2008, a 25 basis point movement in credit spreads would impact our net book value by approximately $18.8 million, assuming a static portfolio of current investments and financings, but would not directly affect our earnings or cash flow.

Our financing strategy is dependent on our ability to place the match funded debt we use to finance our investments at rates that provide a positive net spread. Currently, spreads for such liabilities have widened and demand for such liabilities has become extremely limited, therefore restricting our ability to execute future financings.

In an environment where spreads are tightening, if spreads tighten on the assets we purchase to a greater degree than they tighten the liabilities we issue, our net spread will be reduced.

Credit Risk

In addition to the above described market risks, Newcastle is subject to credit risk.

Credit risk refers to the ability of each individual borrower under our loans and securities to make required interest and principal payments on the scheduled due dates. The commercial mortgage and asset backed securities we invest in are generally junior in right of payment of interest and principal to one or more senior classes, but benefit from the support of one or more subordinate classes of securities or other form of credit support (which absorbs losses before the securities in which we invest) within a securitization transaction. The senior unsecured REIT debt securities we invest in reflect comparable credit risk. As a result of the current economic crisis and illiquidity in the markets, the value of the subordinated securities has generally been reduced or, in some cases, eliminated, which could leave our securities economically in a first loss position. We also invest in loans and securities which represent “first loss” pieces; in other words, they do not benefit from credit support although we believe at acquisition they predominantly benefit from underlying collateral value in excess of their carrying amounts.

We seek to reduce credit risk by actively monitoring our asset portfolio and the underlying credit quality of our holdings and, where appropriate and achievable, repositioning our investments to upgrade their credit quality. In the event of a significant rising interest rate environment and/or economic downturn, loan and collateral defaults may increase and result in credit losses that would adversely affect our liquidity and operating results. As described above in “- Market Considerations” and elsewhere in this annual report, adverse market and credit conditions have resulted in our recording of other-than-temporary impairment in certain securities and loans.

 

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Margin

Certain of our investments were financed through repurchase agreements which were subject to margin calls based on the value of such investments. Margin calls resulting from decreases in value related to rising interest rates were substantially offset by our ability to make margin calls on our interest rate derivatives. Margin calls related to credit were not offset. We seek to maintain adequate cash reserves and other sources of available financing to meet margin calls.

Interest Rate and Credit Spread Risk Sensitive Instruments and Fair Value

Our holdings of such financial instruments, and their fair values and the estimation methodology thereof, are detailed in Note 7 to Part II, Item 8, “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” For information regarding the impact of prepayment, reinvestment, and expected loss factors on the timing of realization of our investments, please refer to the consolidated financial statements included therein. For information regarding the impact of changes in these factors on the value of securities valued with internal models, see Part II, Item 7, “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations – Critical Accounting Policies.”

We note that the values of our investments in real estate securities, loans and derivative instruments are sensitive to changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors. The value of these investments can vary, and has varied, materially from period to period.

Trends

See “– Market Considerations” above for a further discussion of recent trends and events affecting our liquidity, unrealized gains and losses.

 

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Item 8.  Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.

Index to Financial Statements:

Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm

Report on Internal Control Over Financial Reporting of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm

Consolidated Balance Sheets as of December 31, 2008 and December 31, 2007

Consolidated Statements of Operations for the years ended December 31, 2008, 2007 and 2006

Consolidated Statements of Stockholders’ Equity for the years ended December 31, 2008, 2007 and 2006

Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows for the years ended December 31, 2008, 2007 and 2006

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

All schedules have been omitted because either the required information is included in our consolidated financial

statements and notes thereto or it is not applicable.

 

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Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm

The Board of Directors and Stockholders of Newcastle Investment Corp.

We have audited the accompanying consolidated balance sheets of Newcastle Investment Corp. and subsidiaries (the “Company”) as of December 31, 2008 and 2007, and the related consolidated statements of operations, stockholders’ equity, and cash flows for each of the three years in the period ended December 31, 2008. These financial statements are the responsibility of the Company’s management. Our responsibility is to express an opinion on these financial statements based on our audits.

We conducted our audits in accordance with the standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States). Those standards require that we plan and perform the audit to obtain reasonable assurance about whether the financial statements are free of material misstatement. An audit includes examining, on a test basis, evidence supporting the amounts and disclosures in the financial statements. An audit also includes assessing the accounting principles used and significant estimates made by management, as well as evaluating the overall financial statement presentation. We believe that our audits provide a reasonable basis for our opinion.

In our opinion, the financial statements referred to above present fairly, in all material respects, the consolidated financial position of Newcastle Investment Corp. and subsidiaries at December 31, 2008 and 2007, and the consolidated results of their operations and their cash flows for each of the three years in the period ended December 31, 2008, in conformity with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles.

We also have audited, in accordance with the standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States), Newcastle Investment Corp.’s internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2008, based on criteria established in Internal Control-Integrated Framework issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission and our report dated March 13, 2009 expressed an unqualified opinion thereon.

/s/ Ernst & Young LLP

New York, New York

March 13, 2009

 

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Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm

The Board of Directors and Shareholders of Newcastle Investment Corp.

We have audited Newcastle Investment Corp.’s internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2008 based on criteria established in Internal Control—Integrated Framework issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission (the COSO criteria). Newcastle Investment Corp.’s management is responsible for maintaining effective internal control over financial reporting, and for its assessment of the effectiveness of internal control over financial reporting included in the accompanying Managements Report on In