Annual report pursuant to Section 13 and 15(d)

FAIR VALUE OF FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS

v2.4.0.6
FAIR VALUE OF FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2011
Fair Value Of Financial Instruments  
FAIR VALUE OF FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS
7. FAIR VALUE OF FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS

Fair value may be based upon broker quotations, counterparty quotations or pricing services quotations, which provide valuation estimates based upon reasonable market order indications or a good faith estimate thereof and are subject to significant variability based on market conditions, such as interest rates, credit spreads and market liquidity. A significant portion of Newcastle’s loans, securities and debt obligations are currently not traded in active markets and therefore have little or no price transparency. As a result, Newcastle has estimated the fair value of these illiquid instruments based on internal pricing models rather than quotations. The determination of estimated cash flows used in pricing models is inherently subjective and imprecise. Changes in market conditions, as well as changes in the assumptions or methodology used to determine fair value, could result in a significant change to estimated fair values. It should be noted that minor changes in assumptions or estimation methodologies can have a material effect on these derived or estimated fair values, and that the fair values reflected below are indicative of the interest rate and credit spread environments as of December 31, 2011 and do not take into consideration the effects of subsequent changes in market or other factors.

 

Fair Value Summary Table

The carrying values and estimated fair values of Newcastle’s financial instruments at December 31, 2011 and 2010 were as follows:

 

    December 31, 2011   December 31, 2010  
    Principal
Balance or
Notional
Amount
    Carrying Value     Estimated Fair
Value
   

Fair Value Method

(A)

  Weighted
Average
Yield/Funding
Cost
  Weighted
Average
Maturity
(Years)
  Carrying Value     Estimated Fair
Value
 

Assets

  

Non-Recourse VIE Financing Structures (F)

  

Financial instruments:

  

Real estate securities, available-for-sale*

  $ 2,005,275      $ 1,479,214      $ 1,479,214      Broker quotations, counterparty quotations, pricing services, pricing models   9.60%   4.4   $ 1,859,984      $ 1,859,984   

Real estate related loans, held-for-sale, net

    1,072,071        807,214        812,883      Broker quotations, counterparty quotations, pricing services, pricing models   12.72%   2.6     750,130        754,589   

Residential mortgage loans, held-for-investment, net

    373,968        331,236        330,277      Pricing models   8.26%   6.6     124,974        128,369   

Residential mortgage loans, held-for-sale, net

    -          -          -        Pricing models   N/A   N/A     252,915        252,915   

Subprime mortgage loans subject to call option (B)

    406,217        404,723        404,723      (B)   9.09%   (B)     403,793        403,793   

Restricted cash*

    105,040        105,040        105,040              157,005        157,005   

Derivative assets, treated as hedges (C)(E)*

    104,205        1,092        1,092      Counterparty quotations   N/A   (C)     4,537        4,537   

Non-hedge derivative assets (D)(E)*

    36,428        862        862      Counterparty quotations   N/A   (D)     2,530        2,530   

Operating real estate, held-for-sale

      7,741        7,741              8,776        8,776   

Other investments

      18,883        18,883              18,883        18,883   

Receivables and other assets

      23,319        23,319              29,206        29,206   
   

 

 

   

 

 

         

 

 

   

 

 

 
    $ 3,179,324      $ 3,184,034            $ 3,612,733      $ 3,620,587   
   

 

 

   

 

 

         

 

 

   

 

 

 

Recourse Financing Structures and Unlevered Assets

  

Financial instruments:

  

Real estate securities, available-for-sale*

  $ 415,861      $ 252,530      $ 252,530      Broker quotations, counterparty quotations, pricing services, pricing models   2.28%   2.9   $ 600      $ 600   

Real estate related loans, held-for-sale, net

    24,543        6,366        6,366      Broker quotations, counterparty quotations, pricing services, pricing models   20.00%   2.4     32,475        32,475   

Residential mortgage loans, held-for-sale, net

    5,227        2,687        2,687      Pricing models   17.34%   4.5     298        298   

Investments in excess mortgage servicing rights at fair value* (H)

    9,705,512        43,971        43,971      Pricing models   20.00%   6.0     -          -     

Cash and cash equivalents*

    157,356        157,356        157,356              33,524        33,524   

Other investments

      6,024        6,024              6,024        6,024   

Receivables and other assets

      3,541        3,541              1,457        1,457   
   

 

 

   

 

 

         

 

 

   

 

 

 
    $ 472,475      $ 472,475            $ 74,378      $ 74,378   
   

 

 

   

 

 

         

 

 

   

 

 

 

*Measured at fair value on a recurring basis.

 

 

    December 31, 2011   December 31, 2010  
    Principal
Balance or
Notional
Amount
    Carrying Value     Estimated Fair
Value
   

Fair Value Method

(A)

  Weighted
Average
Yield/Funding
Cost
  Weighted
Average
Maturity
(Years)
  Carrying Value     Estimated Fair
Value
 

Liabilities

  

Non-Recourse VIE Financing Structures (F) (G)

  

Financial instruments:

  

CDO bonds payable

  $ 2,405,044      $ 2,403,605      $ 1,500,307      Pricing models   2.76%   3.7   $ 3,010,868      $ 1,845,419   

Other bonds and notes payable

    202,456        200,377        203,136      Broker quotations, pricing models   4.31%   3.5     261,165        248,416   

Repurchase agreements

    6,546        6,546        6,546      Market comparables   2.05%   0.5     14,049        14,049   

Financing of subprime mortgage loans subject to call option (B)

    406,217        404,723        404,723      (B)   9.09%   (B)     403,793        403,793   

Interest rate swaps, treated as hedges (C)(E)*

    848,434        90,025        90,025      Counterparty quotations   N/A   (C)     136,575        136,575   

Non-hedge derivatives (D)(E)*

    316,600        29,295        29,295      Counterparty quotations   N/A   (D)     40,286        40,286   

Accrued expenses and other liabilities

      16,112        16,112              8,445        8,445   
   

 

 

   

 

 

         

 

 

   

 

 

 
    $ 3,150,683      $ 2,250,144            $ 3,875,181      $ 2,696,983   
   

 

 

   

 

 

         

 

 

   

 

 

 

Recourse Financing Structures and Other Liabilities (G)

  

Financial instruments:

  

Repurchase agreements

  $ 233,194      $ 233,194      $ 233,194      Market comparables   0.45%   0.2   $ 4,683      $ 4,683   

Junior subordinated notes payable

    51,004        51,248        30,145      Pricing models   7.41%   23.3     51,253        34,817   

Due to affiliates

      1,659        1,659              1,419        1,419   

Dividends payable, accrued expenses and other liabilities

      22,926        22,926              2,160        2,160   
   

 

 

   

 

 

         

 

 

   

 

 

 
    $ 309,027      $ 287,924            $ 59,515      $ 43,079   
   

 

 

   

 

 

         

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

  (A) Methods are listed in order of priority. In the case of real estate securities and real estate related loans, broker quotations are obtained if available and practicable, otherwise counterparty quotations or pricing service valuations are obtained or, finally, internal pricing models are used. Internal pricing models are only used for (i) securities and loans that are not traded in an active market, and, therefore, have little or no price transparency, and for which significant unobservable inputs must be used in estimating fair value, or (ii) loans or debt obligations which are private and untraded.

 

  (B) These two items results from an option, not an obligation, to repurchase loans from Newcastle’s subprime mortgage loan securitizations (Note 5), are noneconomic until such option is exercised, and are equal and offsetting.

Notes continued on next page.

 

  (C) Represents derivative agreements as follows:

 

Year of Maturity

   Weighted Average
Month of Maturity
   Aggregate Notional
Amount
     Weighted Average Fixed
Pay Rate /  Cap Rate
  Aggregate Fair Value
Asset / (Liability)
 

Interest rate cap agreements which receive 1-Month LIBOR above the cap rates:

  

2015

   Sep    $ 21,000       2.26%   $ 149   

2016

   Jul      77,905       2.66%     858   

2017

   Jan      5,300       1.86%     85   
     

 

 

      

 

 

 
      $ 104,205         $ 1,092   
     

 

 

      

 

 

 

Interest rate swap agreements which receive 1-Month LIBOR:

  

2014

   Nov    $ 15,172       5.08%     (1,849)   

2015

   May      484,932       5.43%     (29,404)   

2016

   May      174,296       5.04%     (21,102)   

2017

   Aug      174,034       5.24%     (37,670)   
     

 

 

      

 

 

 
      $     848,434         $ (90,025)   
     

 

 

      

 

 

 

 

  (D) This represents two interest rate swap agreements with a notional balance of $127.7 million and $188.9 million, maturing in March 2014 and March 2015, respectively, and three interest rate cap agreements with a total notional balance of $36.4 million, maturing in August 2017 and January 2019. Newcastle entered into these hedge agreements to reduce its exposure to interest rate changes on the floating rate financings of its CDO IV, CDO VI and CDO X. These derivative agreements were not designated as hedges for accounting purposes as of December 31, 2011.

 

  (E) Newcastle’s derivatives fall into two categories. As of December 31, 2011, all derivatives were held within Newcastle’s nonrecourse CDO structures. An aggregate notional balance of $1.2 billion, which were liabilities at period end, are only subject to the credit risks of the respective CDO structures. As they are senior to all the debt obligations of the respective CDOs and the fair value of each of the CDOs’ total investments exceeded the fair value of each of the CDOs’ derivative liabilities, no credit valuation adjustments were recorded. An aggregate notional balance of $140.6 million were assets at period end and therefore are subject to the counterparty’s credit risk. No adjustments have been made to the fair value quotations received related to credit risk as a result of the counterparty’s “AA” credit rating. Newcastle’s significant derivative counterparties include Bank of America, Credit Suisse, and Wells Fargo.

 

  (F) Assets held within CDOs and other non-recourse structures are not available to satisfy obligations outside of such financings, except to the extent Newcastle receives net cash flow distributions from such structures. Furthermore, creditors or beneficial interest holders of these structures have no recourse to the general credit of Newcastle. Therefore, Newcastle’s exposure to the economic losses from such structures is limited to its invested equity in them and economically their book value cannot be less than zero. As a result, the fair value of Newcastle’s net investments in these non-recourse financing structures is equal to the present value of their expected future net cash flows.

 

  (G) Newcastle notes that the unrealized gain on the liabilities within such structures cannot be fully realized.

 

  (H) The notional amount represents the total unpaid principal balance of the mortgage loans on which Newcastle is entitled to receive 65% of the excess MSRs on performing loans.

Valuation Hierarchy

The methodologies used for valuing such instruments have been categorized into three broad levels, which form a hierarchy.

Level 1 - Quoted prices in active markets for identical instruments.

Level 2 - Valuations based principally on other observable market parameters, including

 

  •  

Quoted prices in active markets for similar instruments,

 

  •  

Quoted prices in less active or inactive markets for identical or similar instruments,

 

  •  

Other observable inputs (such as interest rates, yield curves, volatilities, prepayment speeds, loss severities, credit risks and default rates), and

 

  •  

Market corroborated inputs (derived principally from or corroborated by observable market data).

Level 3 - Valuations based significantly on unobservable inputs.

 

  •  

Level 3A - Valuations based on third party indications (broker quotes, counterparty quotes or pricing services) which were, in turn, based significantly on unobservable inputs or were otherwise not supportable as Level 2 valuations.

 

  •  

Level 3B - Valuations based on internal models with significant unobservable inputs.

Newcastle follows this hierarchy for its financial instruments measured at fair value on a recurring basis. The classifications are based on the lowest level of input that is significant to the fair value measurement.

The following table summarizes financial assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis at December 31, 2011:

 

    

Principal Balance

or Notional

            Fair Value  
     Amount      Carrying Value      Level 2      Level 3A (1)      Level 3B (2)      Total  

Assets:

                 

Real estate securities, available for sale:

                 

CMBS

   $ 1,545,877       $ 1,128,818       $ -         $ 948,718       $ 180,100       $ 1,128,818   

REIT debt

     137,393         135,296         135,296         -           -           135,296   

ABS - subprime

     246,014         128,622         -           66,141         62,481         128,622   

ABS - other real estate

     53,347         38,107         -           31,188         6,919         38,107   

FNMA / FHLMC

     232,355         244,915         244,915         -           -           244,915   

CDO

     206,150         55,986         -           52,047         3,939         55,986   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Real estate securities total

   $ 2,421,136         1,731,744         380,211         1,098,094         253,439         1,731,744   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Investments in excess MSRs (3)

   $ 9,705,512       $ 43,971       $ -         $ -         $ 43,971       $ 43,971   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Derivative assets:

                 

Interest rate caps, treated as hedges

   $ 104,205       $ 1,092       $ 1,092       $ -         $ -         $ 1,092   

Interest rate caps, not treated as hedges

     36,428         862         862         -           -           862   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Derivative assets total

   $ 140,633       $ 1,954       $ 1,954       $ -         $ -         $ 1,954   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Liabilities:

                 

Derivative Liabilities:

                 

Interest rate swaps, treated as hedges

   $ 848,434       $ 90,025       $ 90,025       $ -         $ -         $ 90,025   

Interest rate swaps, not treated as hedges

     316,600         29,295         29,295         -           -           29,295   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Derivative liabilities total

   $ 1,165,034       $ 119,320       $ 119,320       $ -         $ -         $ 119,320   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

  (1) Third party pricing sources with significant unobservable inputs.
  (2) Internal models with significant unobservable inputs.
  (3) The notional amount represents the total unpaid principal balance of the mortgage loans on which Newcastle is entitled to receive 65% of the excess MSRs on performing loans.

 

Newcastle’s investments in instruments (excluding the excess MSRs investments, see below) measured at fair value on a recurring basis using Level 3 inputs changed as follows:

 

     Level 3A Assets  
     CMBS      ABS      Equity/Other         
     Conduit      Other      Subprime      Other      Securities      Total  

Balance at January 1, 2010

   $     536,092        $ 397,407        $ 87,883        $ 46,059        $ -           $ 1,067,441    

Transfers (A)

                 

Transfers from Level 3B

     5,528          20,511          -             -             -             26,039    

Transfers into Level 3B

     (54,816)         (22,177)         (16,015)         -             -             (93,008)   

CDO VII Deconsolidation

     (32,858)         (3,379)         (10,685)         -             -             (46,922)   

Total gains (losses) (B)

                 

Included in net income (loss) (C)

     17,645          3,508          59          (345)         -             20,867    

Included in other comprehensive income (loss)

     198,146          79,436          1,455          7,354          -             286,391    

Amortization included in interest income

     16,663          7,131          7,515          179          -             31,488    

Purchases, sales and settlements

                 

Purchases

     279,095          34,478          44,894          -             -             358,467    

Proceeds from sales

     (88,645)         (49,260)         (6,478)             (11,525)         -                 (155,908)   

Proceeds from repayments

     (36,623)             (135,751)             (25,046)         (5,529)         -             (202,949)   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Balance at December 31, 2010

   $ 840,227        $ 331,904        $ 83,582        $ 36,193        $ -           $ 1,291,906    
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 
     Level 3B Assets  
     CMBS      ABS      Equity/Other         
     Conduit      Other      Subprime      Other      Securities      Total  

Balance at January 1, 2010

   $ 95,376        $ 32,744        $ 85,377        $ 10,719        $ 2,620        $ 226,836    

Transfers (A)

                 

Transfers from Level 3A

     54,816          22,177          16,015          -             -             93,008    

Transfers into Level 3A

     (5,528)         (20,511)         -             -             -             (26,039)   

CDO VII Deconsolidation

     (48,665)         -             (17,890)         (457)         -             (67,012)   

Total gains (losses) (B)

                 

Included in net income (loss) (C)

     (83,128)         26,959          (9,374)         (3,488)         (422)         (69,453)   

Included in other comprehensive income (loss)

     107,272          55,781          31,469          4,163          1,938          200,623    

Amortization included in interest income

     17,204          1,207          11,843          483          -             30,737    

Purchases, sales and settlements

                 

Purchases

     -             14,414          -             -             146          14,560    

Proceeds from sales

     (2,066)         (21,646)         (1,063)         -             -             (24,775)   

Proceeds from repayments

     (27,824)         (89,979)         (21,953)         (2,435)         -             (142,191)   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Balance at December 31, 2010

   $ 107,457        $ 21,146        $ 94,424        $ 8,985        $ 4,282        $ 236,294    
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 
     Level 3A Assets  
     CMBS      ABS      Equity/Other         
     Conduit      Other      Subprime      Other      Securities      Total  

Balance at January 1, 2011

   $     840,227        $ 331,904        $ 83,582        $ 36,193        $ -           $ 1,291,906    

Transfers (A)

                 

Transfers from Level 3B

     41,158          25,000          19,950          718          2,641          89,467    

Transfers into Level 3B

     (88,464)         (24,826)         (15,031)         (7,548)         (2,475)         (138,344)   

CDO V Deconsolidation

     (59,970)         (55,838)         (5,107)         -             -             (120,915)   

Total gains (losses) (B)

                 

Included in net income (loss) (C)

     42,597          579          (23)         (113)         -             43,040    

Included in other comprehensive income (loss)

     (106,500)         38,583          (9,158)         (716)         (11,461)         (89,252)   

Amortization included in interest income

     23,878          5,883          5,210          338          3,376          38,685    

Purchases, sales and settlements

                 

Purchases

     313,857          27,262          29,359          7,548          69,308          447,334    

Proceeds from sales

     (139,387)         (54,885)         (6,573)         -             -             (200,845)   

Proceeds from repayments

     (51,113)             (161,227)             (36,068)             (5,232)             (9,342)         (262,982)   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Balance at December 31, 2011

   $ 816,283        $ 132,435        $ 66,141        $ 31,188        $ 52,047        $ 1,098,094    
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 
     Level 3B Assets  
     CMBS      ABS      Equity/Other         
     Conduit      Other      Subprime      Other      Securities      Total  

Balance at January 1, 2011

   $ 107,457        $ 21,146        $ 94,424        $ 8,985        $ 4,282        $     236,294    

Transfers (A)

                 

Transfers from Level 3A

     88,464          24,826          15,031          7,548          2,475          138,344    

Transfers into Level 3A

     (41,158)         (25,000)             (19,950)         (718)         (2,641)         (89,467)   

CDO V Deconsolidation

     (32,289)         (1,908)         (14,568)         (3,833)         -             (52,598)   

Total gains (losses) (B)

                 

Included in net income (loss) (C)

     7,972          722          (1,332)         (287)         2,273          9,348    

Included in other comprehensive income (loss)

     32,374          1,743          3,766          (3,200)         (3,346)         31,337    

Amortization included in interest income

     17,055          163          8,796          911          617          27,542    

Purchases, sales and settlements

                 

Purchases

     13,634          25,000          25          -                 10,192          48,851    

Proceeds from sales

     (27,400)         (721)         (8,624)         (348)         (3,884)         (40,977)   

Proceeds from repayments

         (25,487)         (6,493)         (15,087)             (2,139)         (6,029)         (55,235)   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Balance at December 31, 2011

   $ 140,622        $     39,478        $ 62,481        $ 6,919        $ 3,939        $ 253,439    
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

  (A) Transfers are assumed to occur at the beginning of the quarter. CDO V was deconsolidated on June 17, 2011 and CDO VII was deconsolidated on January 1, 2010.

 

  (B) None of the gains (losses) recorded in earnings during the periods is attributable to the change in unrealized gains (losses) relating to Level 3 assets still held at the reporting dates.

 

  (C) These gains (losses) are recorded in the following line items in the consolidated statements of operations:

 

     Year Ended December 31,  
     2011      2010  
     Level 3A      Level 3B      Level 3A      Level 3B  

Gain (loss) on settlement of investments, net

   $ 44,560        $ 22,895        $ 23,775        $ 26,668    

Other income (loss), net

     -             -             -             -       

OTTI

     (1,520)             (13,547)         (2,908)         (96,121)   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $     43,040        $ 9,348         $     20,867        $     (69,453)   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Gain (loss) on sale of investments, net, from investments transferred into Level 3 during the period

   $ -           $ -           $ -           $ -       

 

Securities Valuation

As of December 31, 2011, Newcastle’s securities valuation methodology and results are further detailed as follows:

 

                   Fair Value         

Asset Type

   Outstanding
Face
Amount (A)
     Amortized Cost
Basis  (B)
     Multiple
Quotes (C)
     Single
Quote (D)
     Internal
Pricing
Models (E)
     Total  

CMBS

   $     1,545,877       $     1,124,447       $ 745,189       $     203,529       $     180,100       $     1,128,818   

REIT debt

     137,393         135,931         34,029         101,267         -           135,296   

ABS - subprime

     246,014         123,022         46,715         19,426         62,481         128,622   

ABS - other real estate

     53,347         39,919         30,553         635         6,919         38,107   

FNMA / FHLMC

     232,355         243,385         153,062         91,853         -           244,915   

CDO

     206,150         67,625         2,750         49,297         3,939         55,986   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 2,421,136       $ 1,734,329       $     1,012,298       $ 466,007       $ 253,439       $ 1,731,744   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

  (A) Net of incurred losses.

 

  (B) Net of discounts (or gross premiums) and after OTTI, including impairment taken during the period ended December 31, 2011.

 

  (C) Management generally obtained pricing service quotations or broker quotations from two sources, one of which was generally the seller (the party that sold us the security). Management selected one of the quotes received as being most representative of fair value and did not use an average of the quotes. Even if Newcastle receives two or more quotes on a particular security that come from non-selling brokers or pricing services, it does not use an average because management believes using an actual quote more closely represents a transactable price for the security than an average level. Furthermore, in some cases there is a wide disparity between the quotes Newcastle receives. Management believes using an average of the quotes in these cases would generally not represent the fair value of the asset. Based on Newcastle’s own fair value analysis using internal models, management selects one of the quotes which is believed to more accurately reflect fair value. Newcastle never adjusts quotes received. These quotations are generally received via email and contain disclaimers which state that they are “indicative” and not “actionable” – meaning that the party giving the quotation is not bound to actually purchase the security at the quoted price.

 

  (D) Management was unable to obtain quotations from more than one source on these securities. The one source was generally the seller (the party that sold us the security) or a pricing service.

 

  (E) Securities whose fair value was estimated based on internal pricing models are further detailed as follows:

 

                          Unrealized      Assumption Ranges

Asset
Type

   Amortized
Cost
Basis (B)
     Fair Value      Impairment
Recorded in
Current Year
     Gains (Losses)
in Accumulated
OCI
     Discount
Rate
   Prepayment
Speed (F)
   Cumulative
Default
Rate
   Loss
Severity

CMBS - conduit

   $ 114,493       $ 140,622       $ 5,709       $ 26,129       12.0%    N/A    0% - 100%    0% - 100%

CMBS - Large loan / single borrower

     40,246         39,478         -           (768    3% - 9%    N/A    0% - 100%    0% - 100%

ABS - subprime

     49,859         62,481         2,624         12,622       8.0%    0% - 8%    25% - 87%    60% - 100%

ABS - other real estate

     8,709         6,919         275         (1,790    8.0%    1% - 5%    33% - 63%    85% - 95%

CDO

     4,224         3,939         -           (285    14.0%    4%    18%    83%
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

             

Total

   $ 217,531       $ 253,439       $ 8,608       $ 35,908               
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

             

All of the assumptions listed have some degree of market observability, based on Newcastle’s knowledge of the market, relationships with market participants, and use of common market data sources. Collateral prepayment, default and loss severity projections are in the form of “curves” or “vectors” that vary for each monthly collateral cash flow projection. Methods used to develop these projections vary by asset class (e.g., CMBS projections are developed differently than Home Equity ABS projections) but conform to industry conventions. Newcastle uses assumptions that generate its best estimate of future cash flows of each respective security.

The prepayment vector specifies the percentage of the collateral balance that is expected to voluntarily pay off at each point in the future. The prepayment vector is based on projections from a widely published investment bank model, which considers factors such as collateral FICO score, loan-to-value ratio, debt-to-income ratio, and vintage on a loan level basis. This vector is scaled up or down to match recent collateral-specific prepayment experience, as obtained from remittance reports and market data services.

Loss severities are based on recent collateral-specific experience with additional consideration given to collateral characteristics. Collateral age is taken into consideration because severities tend to initially increase with collateral age before eventually stabilizing. Newcastle typically uses projected severities that are higher than the historic experience for collateral that is relatively new to account for this effect. Collateral characteristics such as loan size, lien position, and location (state) also effect loss severity. Newcastle considers whether a collateral pool has experienced a significant change in its composition with respect to these factors when assigning severity projections.

Default vectors are determined from the current “pipeline” of loans that are more than 90 days delinquent, in foreclosure, or are real estate owned (REO). These significantly delinquent loans determine the first 24 months of the default vector. Beyond month 24, the default vector transitions to a steady-state value that is generally equal to or greater than that given by the widely published investment bank model.

 

The discount rates Newcastle uses are derived from a range of observable pricing on securities backed by similar collateral and offered in a live market. As the markets in which Newcastle transacts have become less liquid, Newcastle has had to rely on fewer data points in this analysis.

 

  (F) Projected annualized average prepayment rate.

Loan Valuation

Loans which Newcastle does not have the ability or intent to hold into the foreseeable future are classified as held-for-sale. As a result, these held-for-sale loans are carried at the lower of amortized cost or fair value and are therefore recorded at fair value on a non-recurring basis. During the year ended December 31, 2011, Newcastle recorded ($19.1) million and $6.5 million of valuation allowance (reversal) on real estate related loans and residential mortgage loans (Note 5), respectively. These loans were written down to fair value at the time of the impairment, based on broker quotations, pricing service quotations or internal pricing models. All the loans were within Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy. For real estate related loans, the most significant inputs used in the valuations are the amount and timing of expected future cash flows, market yields and the estimated collateral value of such loan investments. For residential mortgage loans, significant inputs include management’s expectations of prepayment speeds, default rates, loss severities and discount rates that market participants would use in determining the fair values of similar pools of residential mortgage loans.

The following tables summarize certain information for real estate related loans and residential mortgage loans held-for-sale as of December 31, 2011:

 

                          Valuation
Allowance/
(Reversal) In
Current Year
             
     Outstanding Face
Amount
                     Significant Input Ranges  

Loan Type

      Carrying
Value
     Fair
Value
       Discount
Rate
  Loss
Severity
 

Mezzanine

   $ 609,117       $ 469,326       $ 474,980         $(31,236)      7.7% - 20.0%   0.0% - 100.0%  

Bank Loan

     282,778         161,153         161,153         21,276      14.4% - 24.9%   0.0% - 74.0%  

B-Note

     174,153         152,535         152,535         (11,669)      6.3% - 15.9%   0.0%  

Whole Loan

     30,566         30,566         30,581         -        5.2% - 7.1%   0.0% - 15.0%  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

       

Total Real Estate Related Loans Held for Sale, Net

   $ 1,096,614       $ 813,580       $ 819,249       $ (21,629      
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

       
                                       
                          Valuation
Allowance/
(Reversal) In
Current Year
                 
     Outstanding  Face
Amount
                     Significant Input Ranges

Loan Type

      Carrying
Value
     Fair
Value
       Discount
Rate
  Prepayment
Speed
  Cumulative
Default Rate
  Loss
Severity

Non-securitized Manufactured Housing Loans I

   $ 768       $ 199       $ 199       $ 74      39.8%   0.0%   52.9%   75.0%

Non-securitized Manufactured Housing Loans II

     4,459         2,488         2,488         (958   15.5%   5.0%   10.2%   80.0%
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

         

Total Residential Mortgage Loans Held for Sale, Net

   $ 5,227       $ 2,687       $ 2,687       $ (884        
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

         

Loans which Newcastle has the intent and ability to hold into the foreseeable future are classified as held-for-investment. Loans held-for-investment are carried at the aggregate unpaid principal balance adjusted for any unamortized premium or discount, deferred fees or expenses, an allowance for loan losses, charge-offs and write-downs for impaired loans.

 

The following table summarizes certain information for residential mortgage loans held-for-investment as of December 31, 2011:

 

                          Valuation
Allowance/
(Reversal) In
Current Year
      
     Outstanding  Face
Amount
                      Significant Input Ranges

Loan Type

      Carrying
Value
     Fair
Value
        Discount
Rate
  Prepayment
Speed
  Constant
Default Rate
  Loss
Severity

Securitized Manufactured Housing Loans I

   $ 135,209       $ 112,316       $ 113,929       $ 700       9.5%   3.0%   4.0%   75.0%

Securitized Manufactured Housing Loans II

     178,603         175,120         172,561         3,132       7.6%   5.0%   3.5%   80.0%

Residential Loans

     60,156         43,800         43,787         3,518       4.7% - 8.2%   0.0% - 5.0%   0.0% - 3.0%   0.0% - 50.0%
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

          

Total Residential Mortgage Loans, Held-for-Investment, Net

   $ 373,968       $ 331,236       $ 330,277       $ 7,350            
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

          

Excess MSRs Valuation

Fair value estimates of Newcastle’s excess MSRs investments were based on internal pricing models. Significant inputs used in the valuations included expectations of prepayment speeds, delinquencies, default rates and recapture rates of the underlying mortgage loans, and discount rates that market participants would use in determining the fair values of servicing assets on similar pools of residential mortgage loans. In addition, in valuing the excess MSRs investments, management considered the likelihood of Nationstar being removed as servicer, which likelihood is considered to be remote.

The following table summarizes certain information regarding the inputs used in valuing the excess MSRs investments as of December 31, 2011:

 

    Significant Input Ranges  
    Prepayment
Speed (A)
    Delinquency
(B)
    Constant Default
Rate  (C)
    Recapture
Rate (D)
    Excess Mortgage
Servicing  Fee (E)
    Discount
Rate
 

Portfolio I

    20.0%        10.0%        5.0%        35.0%        29 bps        20.0%   

Portfolio I - Recapture Agreement

    8.0%        10.0%        5.0%        35.0%        21 bps        20.0%   

 

  (A) Projected annualized weighted average lifetime prepayment rate using a prepayment vector.
  (B) Percentage of mortgage loans in the pool that were 30 or more days past due at period end.
  (C) Projected annualized average default rate.
  (D) Percentage of voluntarily prepaid loans that are expected to be refinanced by Nationstar.
  (E) Weighted average mortgage servicing fees in excess of the base mortgage servicing fee.

All of the assumptions listed have some degree of market observability, based on Newcastle’s knowledge of the market, relationships with market participants, and use of common market data sources. Prepayment and default projections are in the form of “curves” or “vectors” that vary over the expected life of the pool. Newcastle uses assumptions that generate its best estimate of future cash flows for each excess MSRs investment.

The prepayment vector specifies the percentage of the collateral balance that is expected to voluntarily pay off at each point in the future. The prepayment vector is based on projections that consider factors such as the underlying borrower’s FICO score, loan-to-value ratio, debt-to-income ratio, vintage on a loan level basis, as well as the potential effect on loans eligible for the Home Affordable Refinance Program 2.0 (“HARP 2.0”). This vector is scaled up or down to match recent collateral-specific prepayment experience, as obtained from remittance reports, market data services and other market factors.

Delinquency rates and default rates are based on recent pool-specific experience with additional consideration given to the current “pipeline” of loans that are more than 90 days delinquent, in foreclosure, or are real estate owned (REO).

Recapture projections are based on recent actual average recapture rates experienced by Nationstar on similar GSE mortgage loan pools.

For existing mortgage pools, excess mortgage servicing fee projections are based on actual mortgage servicing fees. For loans that are yet to be refinanced by Nationstar, Newcastle considers the excess mortgage servicing fees on loans recently originated by Nationstar and generally assumes lower excess servicing fees than the historic experience.

 

The discount rates Newcastle uses are derived from a range of observable pricing on mortgage servicing assets backed by similar collateral.

Newcastle’s MSRs investments measured at fair value on a recurring basis using Level 3B inputs changed during the period ended December 31, 2011 as follows:

 

    Level 3B  
        Portfolio I             Portfolio I -    
Recapture
Agreement
    Total  

Balance at December 31, 2010

    $ -          $        $   

Transfers (A)

     

Transfers from Level 3

    -                   

Transfers into Level 3

    -                   

Total gains (losses)

     

Included in net income (B)

    168         199         367    

Amortization included in interest income

    1,260                1,260    

Purchases, sales and settlements

     

Purchases

    37,607         6,135         43,742    

Proceeds from sales

                    

Proceeds from repayments

    (1,398)               (1,398)   
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Balance at December 31, 2011

    $     37,637         $     6,334         $     43,971    
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

  (A) Transfers are assumed to occur at the beginning of the quarter.
  (B) The gains (losses) recorded in earnings during the period are attributable to the change in unrealized gains (losses) relating to Level 3 assets still held at the reporting dates. These gains(losses) are recorded in “Other Income (Loss)” in the consolidated statement of income.

Derivatives

Newcastle’s derivative instruments are valued using counterparty quotations. These quotations are generally based on valuation models with model inputs that can generally be verified and which do not involve significant judgment. The significant observable inputs used in determining the fair value of our Level 2 derivative contracts are contractual cash flows and market based interest rate curves.

Newcastle’s derivatives are recorded on its balance sheet as follows:

 

          Fair Value  
          December 31,  
     Balance sheet location    2011      2010  

Derivative Assets

        

Interest rate caps, designated as hedges

   Derivative Assets    $ 1,092       $ 4,537   

Interest rate caps, not designated as hedges

   Derivative Assets      862         2,530   
     

 

 

    

 

 

 
      $ 1,954       $ 7,067   
     

 

 

    

 

 

 

Derivative Liabilities

        

Interest rate swaps, designated as hedges

   Derivative Liabilities    $ 90,025       $ 136,575   

Interest rate swaps, not designated as hedges

   Derivative Liabilities      29,295         40,286   
     

 

 

    

 

 

 
      $ 119,320       $ 176,861   
     

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

The following table summarizes information related to derivatives:

 

     December 31,  
     2011      2010  

Cash flow hedges

     

Notional amount of interest rate swap agreements

   $         848,434        $         1,473,669    

Notional amount of interest rate cap agreements

     104,205          104,205    

Amount of (loss) recognized in OCI on effective portion

     (69,908)         (118,608)   

Deferred hedge gain (loss) related to anticipated financings, which have subsequently occurred, net of amortization

     299          357    

Deferred hedge gain (loss) related to dedesignation, net of amortization

     (893)         1,343    

Expected reclassification of deferred hedges from AOCI into earnings over the next 12 months

     1,688          2,289    

Expected reclassification of current hedges from AOCI into earnings over the next 12 months

     (35,348)         (63,541)   

Non-hedge Derivatives

     

Notional amount of interest rate swap agreements

     316,600          343,570    

Notional amount of interest rate cap agreements

     36,428          36,428    

The following table summarizes gains (losses) recorded in relation to derivatives:

 

     Income Statement   Year Ended December 31,  
     Location   2011      2010      2009  

Cash flow hedges

          

Gain (loss) on the ineffective portion

   Other Income (Loss)   $ (917)       $ 580         $ (278)   

Gain (loss) immediately recognized at dedesignation

   Gain (Loss) on Sale
of Investments,
Other Income (Loss)
      (13,939)           (39,184)           (15,223)   

Amount of gain (loss) reclassified from AOCI into income, related to effective portion

   Interest Expense     (63,350)         (83,869)         (100,046)   

Deferred hedge gain reclassified from AOCI into income, related to anticipated financings

   Interest Expense     58          475          101    

Deferred hedge gain (loss) reclassified from AOCI into income, related to effective portion of dedesignated hedges

   Interest Expense     2,259          (5,471)         (9,547)   

Non-hedge derivatives gain (loss)

   Other Income (Loss)     3,284          (1,240)         15,446