FAIR VALUE OF FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS |
9. FAIR VALUE OF FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS
Fair value may be based upon broker quotations, counterparty quotations or pricing services quotations, which provide valuation estimates based upon reasonable market order indications or a good faith estimate thereof and are subject to significant variability based on market conditions, such as interest rates, credit spreads and market liquidity. A significant portion of Newcastle’s loans, securities and debt obligations are currently not traded in active markets and therefore have little or no price transparency. As a result, Newcastle has estimated the fair value of these illiquid instruments based on internal pricing models rather than quotations. The determination of estimated cash flows used in pricing models is inherently subjective and imprecise. Changes in market conditions, as well as changes in the assumptions or methodology used to determine fair value, could result in a significant change to estimated fair values. It should be noted that minor changes in assumptions or estimation methodologies can have a material effect on these derived or estimated fair values, and that the fair values reflected below are indicative of the interest rate and credit spread environments as of December 31, 2012 and do not take into consideration the effects of subsequent changes in market or other factors.
Newcastle has various processes and controls in place to ensure that fair value is reasonably estimated. With respect to the broker and pricing service quotations, to ensure these quotes represent a reasonable estimate of fair value, Newcastle’s quarterly procedures include a comparison to the outputs generated from its internal pricing models and transactions Newcastle has completed with respect to these or similar securities, as well as on its knowledge and experience of these markets. With respect to fair value estimates generated based on Newcastle’s internal pricing models, Newcastle’s management validates the inputs and outputs of the internal pricing models by comparing them to available independent third party market parameters and models for reasonableness. Newcastle believes its valuation methods and the assumptions used are appropriate and consistent with other market participants.
For Excess MSRs acquired prior to the current quarter, Newcastle obtains a fairness opinion related to the valuation of our Excess MSRs on the existing mortgage pools from an independent valuation firm at the current quarter end date. For Excess MSRs acquired during the current quarter, Newcastle obtain a fairness opinion related to the valuation of our Excess MSRs on the existing mortgage pools at the time of acquisition. To date, Newcastle has not made any significant valuation adjustments as a result of these third party opinions.
Fair Value Summary Table
The carrying values and estimated fair values of Newcastle's assets and liabilities at December 31, 2012 and 2011 were as follows:
|
|
December 31, 2012
|
|
|
December 31, 2011
|
|
|
|
Principal
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted
|
|
|
Weighted
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance or
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average
|
|
|
Average
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Notional
|
|
|
Carrying
|
|
|
Estimated
|
|
|
|
Yield/Funding
|
|
|
Maturity
|
|
|
Carrying
|
|
|
Estimated
|
|
|
|
Amount
|
|
|
Value
|
|
|
Fair Value
|
|
Fair Value Method (A)
|
|
Cost
|
|
|
(Years)
|
|
|
Value
|
|
|
Fair Value
|
|
Assets
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Financial instruments:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Real estate securities, available-for-sale*
|
|
$ |
2,078,101 |
|
|
$ |
1,691,575 |
|
|
$ |
1,691,575 |
|
Broker quotations, counterparty quotations, pricing services, pricing models
|
|
|
4.69 |
% |
|
|
4.0 |
|
|
$ |
1,731,744 |
|
|
$ |
1,731,744 |
|
Real estate related loans, held-for-sale, net
|
|
|
1,121,085 |
|
|
|
843,132 |
|
|
|
853,102 |
|
Broker quotations, counterparty quotations, pricing services, pricing models
|
|
|
12.15 |
% |
|
|
2.6 |
|
|
|
813,580 |
|
|
|
819,249 |
|
Residential mortgage loans, held-for-investment, net
|
|
|
328,070 |
|
|
|
292,461 |
|
|
|
297,030 |
|
Pricing models
|
|
|
8.19 |
% |
|
|
6.1 |
|
|
|
331,236 |
|
|
|
330,277 |
|
Residential mortgage loans, held-for-sale, net
|
|
|
3,645 |
|
|
|
2,471 |
|
|
|
2,471 |
|
Pricing models
|
|
|
17.00 |
% |
|
|
4.7 |
|
|
|
2,687 |
|
|
|
2,687 |
|
Investments in excess mortgage servicing rights at fair value* (H)
|
|
|
76,560,751 |
|
|
|
245,036 |
|
|
|
245,036 |
|
Pricing models
|
|
|
17.59 |
% |
|
|
5.4 |
|
|
|
43,971 |
|
|
|
43,971 |
|
Subprime mortgage loans subject to call option (B)
|
|
|
406,217 |
|
|
|
405,814 |
|
|
|
405,814 |
|
(B)
|
|
|
9.09 |
% |
|
(B)
|
|
|
|
404,723 |
|
|
|
404,723 |
|
Restricted cash*
|
|
|
2,064 |
|
|
|
2,064 |
|
|
|
2,064 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
105,040 |
|
|
|
105,040 |
|
Cash and cash equivalents*
|
|
|
231,898 |
|
|
|
231,898 |
|
|
|
231,898 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
157,356 |
|
|
|
157,356 |
|
Derivative assets, treated as hedges (C)(E)*
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
Counterparty quotations
|
|
|
N/A |
|
|
(C)
|
|
|
|
1,092 |
|
|
|
1,092 |
|
Non-hedge derivative assets (D)(E)*
|
|
|
23,400 |
|
|
|
165 |
|
|
|
165 |
|
Counterparty quotations
|
|
|
N/A |
|
|
(D)
|
|
|
|
862 |
|
|
|
862 |
|
Investments in real estate and intangibles, net
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
188,559 |
|
|
|
194,878 |
|
Broker quotations, recent purchase price
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
Operating real estate, held-for-sale
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7,741 |
|
|
|
7,741 |
|
Other investments
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
24,907 |
|
|
|
13,165 |
|
Pricing models
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
24,907 |
|
|
|
24,907 |
|
Receivables and other assets
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
17,230 |
|
|
|
17,230 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
26,860 |
|
|
|
26,860 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
3,945,312 |
|
|
$ |
3,954,428 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
3,651,799 |
|
|
$ |
3,656,509 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Liabilities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Financial instruments:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CDO bonds payable
|
|
$ |
1,090,915 |
|
|
$ |
1,091,354 |
|
|
$ |
781,856 |
|
Pricing models
|
|
|
2.08 |
% |
|
|
2.5 |
|
|
$ |
2,403,605 |
|
|
$ |
1,500,307 |
|
Other bonds and notes payable
|
|
|
187,963 |
|
|
|
183,390 |
|
|
|
190,302 |
|
Broker quotations, pricing models
|
|
|
5.07 |
% |
|
|
4.0 |
|
|
|
200,377 |
|
|
|
203,136 |
|
Repurchase agreements
|
|
|
929,435 |
|
|
|
929,435 |
|
|
|
929,435 |
|
Market comparables
|
|
|
0.81 |
% |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
239,740 |
|
|
|
239,740 |
|
Mortgage notes payable
|
|
|
120,525 |
|
|
|
120,525 |
|
|
|
120,525 |
|
Pricing models
|
|
|
3.79 |
% |
|
|
5.8 |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
Financing of subprime mortgage loans subject to call option (B)
|
|
|
406,217 |
|
|
|
405,814 |
|
|
|
405,814 |
|
(B)
|
|
|
9.09 |
% |
|
(B)
|
|
|
|
404,723 |
|
|
|
404,723 |
|
Junior subordinated notes payable
|
|
|
51,004 |
|
|
|
51,243 |
|
|
|
31,545 |
|
Pricing models
|
|
|
7.40 |
% |
|
|
22.3 |
|
|
|
51,248 |
|
|
|
30,145 |
|
Interest rate swaps, treated as hedges (C)(E)*
|
|
|
154,450 |
|
|
|
12,175 |
|
|
|
12,175 |
|
Counterparty quotations
|
|
|
N/A |
|
|
(C)
|
|
|
|
90,025 |
|
|
|
90,025 |
|
Non-hedge derivatives (D)(E)*
|
|
|
294,203 |
|
|
|
19,401 |
|
|
|
19,401 |
|
Counterparty quotations
|
|
|
N/A |
|
|
(D)
|
|
|
|
29,295 |
|
|
|
29,295 |
|
Due to affiliates
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3,620 |
|
|
|
3,620 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,659 |
|
|
|
1,659 |
|
Dividends payable, accrued expenses and other liabilities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
55,295 |
|
|
|
55,295 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
39,038 |
|
|
|
39,038 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
2,872,252 |
|
|
$ |
2,549,968 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
3,459,710 |
|
|
$ |
2,538,068 |
|
*Measured at fair value on a recurring basis.
(A)
|
Methods are listed in order of priority. In the case of real estate securities and real estate related loans, broker quotations are obtained if available and practicable, otherwise counterparty quotations or pricing service valuations are obtained or, finally, internal pricing models are used. Internal pricing models are only used for (i) securities and loans that are not traded in an active market, and, therefore, have little or no price transparency, and for which significant unobservable inputs must be used in estimating fair value, or (ii) loans or debt obligations which are private and untraded.
|
(B)
|
These two items results from an option, not an obligation, to repurchase loans from Newcastle’s subprime mortgage loan securitizations (Note 5), are noneconomic until such option is exercised, and are equal and offsetting.
|
(C)
|
Represents derivative agreements as follows:
|
Year of Maturity
|
|
Weighted Average Month of Maturity
|
|
Aggregate Notional Amount
|
|
|
Weighted Average Fixed Pay Rate / Cap Rate
|
|
|
Aggregate Fair Value
Asset / (Liability)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest rate swap agreements which receive 1-Month LIBOR:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2016
|
|
Apr
|
|
$ |
154,450 |
|
|
|
5.04 |
% |
|
$ |
(12,175 |
) |
(D)
|
This represents two interest rate swap agreements with a total notional balance of $294.2 million, maturing in March 2014 and March 2015, respectively, and an interest rate cap agreement with a notional balance of $23.4 million, maturing in August 2019. Newcastle entered into these agreements to reduce its exposure to interest rate changes on the floating rate financings of CDO IV, CDO VI and the senior living assets. These derivative agreements were not designated as hedges for accounting purposes as of December 31, 2012.
|
(E)
|
Newcastle’s derivatives fall into two categories. As of December 31, 2012, all derivatives were held within Newcastle’s nonrecourse CDO structures. An aggregate notional balance of $448.7 million, which were liabilities at period end, is only subject to the credit risks of the respective CDO structures. As they are senior to all the debt obligations of the respective CDOs and the fair value of each of the CDOs’ total investments exceeded the fair value of each of the CDOs’ derivative liabilities, no credit valuation adjustments were recorded. A notional balance of $23.4 million was an asset at period end and therefore are subject to the counterparty’s credit risk. No adjustments have been made to the fair value quotations received related to credit risk as a result of the counterparty’s “AA” credit rating. Newcastle’s significant derivative counterparties include Bank of America, Credit Suisse, and Wells Fargo.
|
(F)
|
Assets held within CDOs and other non-recourse structures are not available to satisfy obligations outside of such financings, except to the extent Newcastle receives net cash flow distributions from such structures. Furthermore, creditors or beneficial interest holders of these structures have no recourse to the general credit of Newcastle. Therefore, Newcastle’s exposure to the economic losses from such structures is limited to its invested equity in them and economically their book value cannot be less than zero. As a result, the fair value of Newcastle’s net investments in these non-recourse financing structures is equal to the present value of their expected future net cash flows.
|
(G)
|
Newcastle notes that the unrealized gain on the liabilities within such structures cannot be fully realized.
|
(H)
|
The notional amount represents the total unpaid principal balance of the mortgage loans on which Newcastle is entitled to receive 65% of the Excess MSRs on performing loans.
|
Valuation Hierarchy
The methodologies used for valuing such instruments have been categorized into three broad levels, which form a hierarchy.
Level 1 - Quoted prices in active markets for identical instruments.
Level 2 - Valuations based principally on other observable market parameters, including
·
|
Quoted prices in active markets for similar instruments,
|
·
|
Quoted prices in less active or inactive markets for identical or similar instruments,
|
·
|
Other observable inputs (such as interest rates, yield curves, volatilities, prepayment speeds, loss severities, credit risks and default rates), and
|
·
|
Market corroborated inputs (derived principally from or corroborated by observable market data).
|
Level 3 - Valuations based significantly on unobservable inputs.
·
|
Level 3A - Valuations based on third party indications (broker quotes, counterparty quotes or pricing services) which were, in turn, based significantly on unobservable inputs or were otherwise not supportable as Level 2 valuations.
|
·
|
Level 3B - Valuations based on internal models with significant unobservable inputs.
|
Newcastle follows this hierarchy for its financial instruments measured at fair value on a recurring basis. The classifications are based on the lowest level of input that is significant to the fair value measurement.
Fair value measurements categorized within Level 3 are sensitive to changes in the assumptions or methodology used to determine fair value and such changes could result in a significant increase or decrease in the fair value. For Newcastle’s investments in real estate securities, real estate related loans and residential mortgage loans categorized within Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy, the significant unobservable inputs include the discount rates, assumptions relating to prepayments, default rates and loss severities. Significant increases (decreases) in any of the discount rates, default rates or loss severities in isolation would result in a significantly lower (higher) fair value measurement. The impact of changes in prepayment speeds would have differing impacts on fair value, depending on the seniority of the investment. Generally, a change in the default assumption is generally accompanied by directionally similar changes in the assumptions used for the loss severity and the prepayment speed. For Newcastle’s investments in Excess MSRs, significant unobservable inputs include the discount rate, assumptions relating to prepayments, delinquency rates, recapture rates and excess mortgage servicing amount. Significant increases (decreases) in the discount rates, prepayments or delinquency rates in isolation would result in a significantly lower (higher) fair value measurement, whereas significant increases (decreases) in the recapture rates or excess mortgage servicing amount in isolation would result in a significantly higher (lower) fair value measurement. Generally, a change in the delinquency rate assumption is accompanied by directionally similar changes in the assumptions used for the prepayment speed.
The following table summarizes financial assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis at December 31, 2012:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fair Value
|
|
|
|
Principal Balance or Notional Amount
|
|
|
Carrying Value
|
|
|
Level 2
|
|
|
Level 3A
|
|
|
Level 3B
|
|
|
Total
|
|
Assets:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Real estate securities, available for sale:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CMBS
|
|
$ |
474,992 |
|
|
$ |
376,391 |
|
|
$ |
- |
|
|
$ |
330,026 |
|
|
$ |
46,365 |
|
|
$ |
376,391 |
|
REIT debt
|
|
|
62,700 |
|
|
|
66,174 |
|
|
|
66,174 |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
66,174 |
|
ABS - subprime
|
|
|
558,215 |
|
|
|
355,975 |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
330,021 |
|
|
|
25,954 |
|
|
|
355,975 |
|
ABS - other real estate
|
|
|
10,098 |
|
|
|
1,475 |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
798 |
|
|
|
677 |
|
|
|
1,475 |
|
FNMA / FHLMC
|
|
|
768,619 |
|
|
|
820,535 |
|
|
|
820,535 |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
820,535 |
|
CDO
|
|
|
203,477 |
|
|
|
71,025 |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
65,027 |
|
|
|
5,998 |
|
|
|
71,025 |
|
Real estate securities total
|
|
$ |
2,078,101 |
|
|
|
1,691,575 |
|
|
|
886,709 |
|
|
|
725,872 |
|
|
|
78,994 |
|
|
|
1,691,575 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investments in Excess MSRs (1)
|
|
$ |
76,560,751 |
|
|
$ |
245,036 |
|
|
$ |
- |
|
|
$ |
- |
|
|
$ |
245,036 |
|
|
$ |
245,036 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Derivative assets:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest rate caps, not treated as hedges
|
|
$ |
23,400 |
|
|
$ |
165 |
|
|
$ |
165 |
|
|
$ |
- |
|
|
$ |
- |
|
|
$ |
165 |
|
Derivative assets total
|
|
$ |
23,400 |
|
|
$ |
165 |
|
|
$ |
165 |
|
|
$ |
- |
|
|
$ |
- |
|
|
$ |
165 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Liabilities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Derivative Liabilities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest rate swaps, treated as hedges
|
|
$ |
154,450 |
|
|
$ |
12,175 |
|
|
$ |
12,175 |
|
|
$ |
- |
|
|
$ |
- |
|
|
$ |
12,175 |
|
Interest rate swaps, not treated as hedges
|
|
|
294,203 |
|
|
|
19,401 |
|
|
|
19,401 |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
19,401 |
|
Derivative liabilities total
|
|
$ |
448,653 |
|
|
$ |
31,576 |
|
|
$ |
31,576 |
|
|
$ |
- |
|
|
$ |
- |
|
|
$ |
31,576 |
|
(1)
|
The notional amount represents the total unpaid principal balance of the mortgage loans. Generally, Newcastle does not receive an excess mortgage servicing amount on nonperforming loans.
|
Newcastle’s investments in instruments (excluding the Excess MSRs, see below) measured at fair value on a recurring basis using Level 3 inputs changed as follows:
|
|
Level 3A Assets |
|
|
CMBS
|
|
|
ABS
|
|
|
Equity/Other
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Conduit
|
|
|
Other
|
|
|
Subprime
|
|
|
Other
|
|
|
Securities
|
|
|
Total
|
|
Balance at December 31, 2010
|
|
$ |
840,227 |
|
|
$ |
331,904 |
|
|
$ |
83,582 |
|
|
$ |
36,193 |
|
|
$ |
- |
|
|
$ |
1,291,906 |
|
Transfers (A)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Transfers from Level 3B
|
|
|
41,158 |
|
|
|
25,000 |
|
|
|
19,950 |
|
|
|
718 |
|
|
|
2,641 |
|
|
|
89,467 |
|
Transfers into Level 3B
|
|
|
(88,464 |
) |
|
|
(24,826 |
) |
|
|
(15,031 |
) |
|
|
(7,548 |
) |
|
|
(2,475 |
) |
|
|
(138,344 |
) |
CDO V Deconsolidation
|
|
|
(59,970 |
) |
|
|
(55,838 |
) |
|
|
(5,107 |
) |
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
(120,915 |
) |
Total gains (losses) (B)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Included in net income (loss) (C)
|
|
|
42,597 |
|
|
|
579 |
|
|
|
(23 |
) |
|
|
(113 |
) |
|
|
- |
|
|
|
43,040 |
|
Included in other comprehensive income (loss)
|
|
|
(106,500 |
) |
|
|
38,583 |
|
|
|
(9,158 |
) |
|
|
(716 |
) |
|
|
(11,461 |
) |
|
|
(89,252 |
) |
Amortization included in interest income
|
|
|
23,878 |
|
|
|
5,883 |
|
|
|
5,210 |
|
|
|
338 |
|
|
|
3,376 |
|
|
|
38,685 |
|
Purchases, sales and settlements
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Purchases
|
|
|
313,857 |
|
|
|
27,262 |
|
|
|
29,359 |
|
|
|
7,548 |
|
|
|
69,308 |
|
|
|
447,334 |
|
Proceeds from sales
|
|
|
(139,387 |
) |
|
|
(54,885 |
) |
|
|
(6,573 |
) |
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
(200,845 |
) |
Proceeds from repayments
|
|
|
(51,113 |
) |
|
|
(161,227 |
) |
|
|
(36,068 |
) |
|
|
(5,232 |
) |
|
|
(9,342 |
) |
|
|
(262,982 |
) |
Balance at December 31, 2011
|
|
$ |
816,283 |
|
|
$ |
132,435 |
|
|
$ |
66,141 |
|
|
$ |
31,188 |
|
|
$ |
52,047 |
|
|
$ |
1,098,094 |
|
|
|
Level 3B Assets
|
|
|
|
CMBS
|
|
|
ABS
|
|
|
Equity/Other
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Conduit
|
|
|
Other
|
|
|
Subprime
|
|
|
Other
|
|
|
Securities
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance at December 31, 2010
|
|
$ |
107,457 |
|
|
$ |
21,146 |
|
|
$ |
94,424 |
|
|
$ |
8,985 |
|
|
$ |
4,282 |
|
|
$ |
236,294 |
|
Transfers (A)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Transfers from Level 3A
|
|
|
88,464 |
|
|
|
24,826 |
|
|
|
15,031 |
|
|
|
7,548 |
|
|
|
2,475 |
|
|
|
138,344 |
|
Transfers into Level 3A
|
|
|
(41,158 |
) |
|
|
(25,000 |
) |
|
|
(19,950 |
) |
|
|
(718 |
) |
|
|
(2,641 |
) |
|
|
(89,467 |
) |
CDO V Deconsolidation
|
|
|
(32,289 |
) |
|
|
(1,908 |
) |
|
|
(14,568 |
) |
|
|
(3,833 |
) |
|
|
- |
|
|
|
(52,598 |
) |
Total gains (losses) (B)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Included in net income (loss) (C)
|
|
|
7,972 |
|
|
|
722 |
|
|
|
(1,332 |
) |
|
|
(287 |
) |
|
|
2,273 |
|
|
|
9,348 |
|
Included in other comprehensive income (loss)
|
|
|
32,374 |
|
|
|
1,743 |
|
|
|
3,766 |
|
|
|
(3,200 |
) |
|
|
(3,346 |
) |
|
|
31,337 |
|
Amortization included in interest income
|
|
|
17,055 |
|
|
|
163 |
|
|
|
8,796 |
|
|
|
911 |
|
|
|
617 |
|
|
|
27,542 |
|
Purchases, sales and settlements
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Purchases
|
|
|
13,634 |
|
|
|
25,000 |
|
|
|
25 |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
10,192 |
|
|
|
48,851 |
|
Proceeds from sales
|
|
|
(27,400 |
) |
|
|
(721 |
) |
|
|
(8,624 |
) |
|
|
(348 |
) |
|
|
(3,884 |
) |
|
|
(40,977 |
) |
Proceeds from repayments
|
|
|
(25,487 |
) |
|
|
(6,493 |
) |
|
|
(15,087 |
) |
|
|
(2,139 |
) |
|
|
(6,029 |
) |
|
|
(55,235 |
) |
Balance at December 31, 2011
|
|
$ |
140,622 |
|
|
$ |
39,478 |
|
|
$ |
62,481 |
|
|
$ |
6,919 |
|
|
$ |
3,939 |
|
|
$ |
253,439 |
|
|
|
Level 3A Assets
|
|
|
|
CMBS
|
|
|
ABS
|
|
|
Equity/Other
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Conduit
|
|
|
Other
|
|
|
Subprime
|
|
|
Other
|
|
|
Securities
|
|
|
Total
|
|
Balance at December 31, 2011
|
|
$ |
816,283 |
|
|
$ |
132,435 |
|
|
$ |
66,141 |
|
|
$ |
31,188 |
|
|
$ |
52,047 |
|
|
$ |
1,098,094 |
|
Transfers (A)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Transfers from Level 3B
|
|
|
6,056 |
|
|
|
21,823 |
|
|
|
28,048 |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
55,927 |
|
Transfers into Level 3B
|
|
|
(28,467 |
) |
|
|
(14,105 |
) |
|
|
(11,057 |
) |
|
|
(5 |
) |
|
|
- |
|
|
|
(53,634 |
) |
CDO X Deconsolidation
|
|
|
(634,036 |
) |
|
|
(40,172 |
) |
|
|
(70,607 |
) |
|
|
(25,883 |
) |
|
|
- |
|
|
|
(770,698 |
) |
Total gains (losses) (B)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Included in net income (loss) (C)
|
|
|
1,190 |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
(8 |
) |
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
1,182 |
|
Included in other comprehensive income (loss)
|
|
|
32,373 |
|
|
|
11,490 |
|
|
|
26,159 |
|
|
|
(629 |
) |
|
|
12,823 |
|
|
|
82,216 |
|
Amortization included in interest income
|
|
|
24,845 |
|
|
|
1,410 |
|
|
|
10,805 |
|
|
|
(11 |
) |
|
|
5,211 |
|
|
|
42,260 |
|
Purchases, sales and settlements
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Purchases
|
|
|
71,968 |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
315,475 |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
387,443 |
|
Proceeds from sales
|
|
|
(24,551 |
) |
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
(24,551 |
) |
Proceeds from repayments
|
|
|
(40,086 |
) |
|
|
(8,430 |
) |
|
|
(34,935 |
) |
|
|
(3,862 |
) |
|
|
(5,054 |
) |
|
|
(92,367 |
) |
Balance at December 31, 2012
|
|
$ |
225,575 |
|
|
$ |
104,451 |
|
|
$ |
330,021 |
|
|
$ |
798 |
|
|
$ |
65,027 |
|
|
$ |
725,872 |
|
|
|
Level 3B Assets
|
|
|
|
CMBS
|
|
|
ABS
|
|
|
Equity/Other
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Conduit
|
|
|
Other
|
|
|
Subprime
|
|
|
Other
|
|
|
Securities
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance at December 31, 2011
|
|
$ |
140,622 |
|
|
$ |
39,478 |
|
|
$ |
62,481 |
|
|
$ |
6,919 |
|
|
$ |
3,939 |
|
|
$ |
253,439 |
|
Transfers (A)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Transfers from Level 3A
|
|
|
28,467 |
|
|
|
14,105 |
|
|
|
11,057 |
|
|
|
5 |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
53,634 |
|
Transfers into Level 3A
|
|
|
(6,056 |
) |
|
|
(21,823 |
) |
|
|
(28,048 |
) |
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
(55,927 |
) |
CDO X Deconsolidation
|
|
|
(133,624 |
) |
|
|
- |
|
|
|
(16,097 |
) |
|
|
(291 |
) |
|
|
- |
|
|
|
(150,012 |
) |
Total gains (losses) (B)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Included in net income (loss) (C)
|
|
|
(6,137 |
) |
|
|
(396 |
) |
|
|
836 |
|
|
|
(4,092 |
) |
|
|
- |
|
|
|
(9,789 |
) |
Included in other comprehensive income (loss)
|
|
|
(9,836 |
) |
|
|
1,025 |
|
|
|
2,414 |
|
|
|
2,368 |
|
|
|
2,302 |
|
|
|
(1,727 |
) |
Amortization included in interest income
|
|
|
8,693 |
|
|
|
367 |
|
|
|
6,886 |
|
|
|
299 |
|
|
|
446 |
|
|
|
16,691 |
|
Purchases, sales and settlements
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Purchases
|
|
|
44,119 |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
44,119 |
|
Proceeds from sales
|
|
|
(18,708 |
) |
|
|
- |
|
|
|
(3,295 |
) |
|
|
(3,743 |
) |
|
|
- |
|
|
|
(25,746 |
) |
Proceeds from repayments
|
|
|
(18,346 |
) |
|
|
(15,585 |
) |
|
|
(10,280 |
) |
|
|
(788 |
) |
|
|
(689 |
) |
|
|
(45,688 |
) |
Balance at December 31, 2012
|
|
$ |
29,194 |
|
|
$ |
17,171 |
|
|
$ |
25,954 |
|
|
$ |
677 |
|
|
$ |
5,998 |
|
|
$ |
78,994 |
|
(A)
|
Transfers are assumed to occur at the beginning of the quarter. CDO V was deconsolidated on June 17, 2011 and CDO X was deconsolidated on September 12, 2012.
|
(B)
|
None of the gains (losses) recorded in earnings during the periods is attributable to the change in unrealized gains (losses) relating to Level 3 assets still held at the reporting dates.
|
(C)
|
These gains (losses) are recorded in the following line items in the consolidated statements of income:
|
|
|
Year Ended December 31,
|
|
|
|
2012
|
|
|
2011
|
|
|
|
Level 3A
|
|
|
Level 3B
|
|
|
Level 3A
|
|
|
Level 3B
|
|
Gain (loss) on settlement of investments, net
|
|
$ |
1,196 |
|
|
$ |
9,000 |
|
|
$ |
44,560 |
|
|
$ |
22,895 |
|
Other income (loss), net
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
OTTI
|
|
|
(14 |
) |
|
|
(18,789 |
) |
|
|
(1,520 |
) |
|
|
(13,547 |
) |
Total
|
|
$ |
1,182 |
|
|
$ |
(9,789 |
) |
|
$ |
43,040 |
|
|
$ |
9,348 |
|
Gain (loss) on sale of investments, net, from investments transferred into Level 3 during the period
|
|
$ |
- |
|
|
$ |
- |
|
|
$ |
- |
|
|
$ |
- |
|
Securities Valuation
As of December 31, 2012, Newcastle’s securities valuation methodology and results are further detailed as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fair Value
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Outstanding
|
|
|
Amortized
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Internal
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Face
|
|
|
Cost
|
|
|
Multiple
|
|
|
Single
|
|
|
Pricing
|
|
|
|
|
Asset Type
|
|
Amount (A)
|
|
|
Basis (B)
|
|
|
Quotes (C)
|
|
|
Quote (D)
|
|
|
Models (E)
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CMBS
|
|
$ |
474,992 |
|
|
$ |
336,966 |
|
|
$ |
255,784 |
|
|
$ |
74,242 |
|
|
$ |
46,365 |
|
|
$ |
376,391 |
|
REIT debt
|
|
|
62,700 |
|
|
|
62,069 |
|
|
|
34,809 |
|
|
|
31,365 |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
66,174 |
|
ABS - subprime
|
|
|
558,215 |
|
|
|
321,801 |
|
|
|
290,731 |
|
|
|
39,290 |
|
|
|
25,954 |
|
|
|
355,975 |
|
ABS - other real estate
|
|
|
10,098 |
|
|
|
1,547 |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
798 |
|
|
|
677 |
|
|
|
1,475 |
|
FNMA / FHLMC
|
|
|
768,619 |
|
|
|
818,866 |
|
|
|
395,131 |
|
|
|
425,404 |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
820,535 |
|
CDO
|
|
|
203,477 |
|
|
|
67,538 |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
65,027 |
|
|
|
5,998 |
|
|
|
71,025 |
|
Total
|
|
$ |
2,078,101 |
|
|
$ |
1,608,787 |
|
|
$ |
976,455 |
|
|
$ |
636,126 |
|
|
$ |
78,994 |
|
|
$ |
1,691,575 |
|
(A)
|
Net of incurred losses.
|
(B)
|
Net of discounts (or gross premiums) and after OTTI, including impairment taken during the period ended December 31, 2012.
|
(C)
|
Management generally obtained pricing service quotations or broker quotations from two sources, one of which was generally the seller (the party that sold us the security). Management selected one of the quotes received as being most representative of fair value and did not use an average of the quotes. Even if Newcastle receives two or more quotes on a particular security that come from non-selling brokers or pricing services, it does not use an average because management believes using an actual quote more closely represents a transactable price for the security than an average level. Furthermore, in some cases there is a wide disparity between the quotes Newcastle receives. Management believes using an average of the quotes in these cases would generally not represent the fair value of the asset. Based on Newcastle’s own fair value analysis using internal models, management selects one of the quotes which is believed to more accurately reflect fair value. Newcastle never adjusts quotes received. These quotations are generally received via email and contain disclaimers which state that they are “indicative” and not “actionable” – meaning that the party giving the quotation is not bound to actually purchase the security at the quoted price.
|
(D)
|
Management was unable to obtain quotations from more than one source on these securities. The one source was generally the seller (the party that sold us the security) or a pricing service.
|
(E)
|
Securities whose fair value was estimated based on internal pricing models are further detailed as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unrealized
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amortized
|
|
|
|
|
|
Impairment
|
|
|
Gains (Losses)
|
|
|
Weighted Average Significant Input
|
|
|
|
Cost
|
|
|
Fair
|
|
|
Recorded in
|
|
|
in Accumulated
|
|
|
Discount
|
|
|
Prepayment
|
|
|
Cumulative
|
|
|
Loss
|
|
Asset Type
|
|
Basis (B)
|
|
|
Value
|
|
|
Current Year
|
|
|
OCI
|
|
|
Rate
|
|
|
Speed (F)
|
|
|
Default Rate
|
|
|
Severity
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CMBS - conduit
|
|
$ |
23,648 |
|
|
$ |
29,193 |
|
|
$ |
4,418 |
|
|
$ |
5,545 |
|
|
|
10 |
% |
|
|
N/A |
|
|
|
21 |
% |
|
|
39 |
% |
CMBS - Large loan
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
/ single borrower
|
|
|
18,326 |
|
|
|
17,172 |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
(1,154 |
) |
|
|
6 |
% |
|
|
N/A |
|
|
|
18 |
% |
|
|
40 |
% |
ABS - subprime
|
|
|
13,741 |
|
|
|
25,954 |
|
|
|
719 |
|
|
|
12,213 |
|
|
|
8 |
% |
|
|
2 |
% |
|
|
60 |
% |
|
|
75 |
% |
ABS - other real estate
|
|
|
455 |
|
|
|
677 |
|
|
|
64 |
|
|
|
222 |
|
|
|
8 |
% |
|
|
0 |
% |
|
|
44 |
% |
|
|
100 |
% |
CDO
|
|
|
3,979 |
|
|
|
5,998 |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
2,019 |
|
|
|
18 |
% |
|
|
4 |
% |
|
|
69 |
% |
|
|
93 |
% |
Total
|
|
$ |
60,149 |
|
|
$ |
78,994 |
|
|
$ |
5,201 |
|
|
$ |
18,845 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
All of the significant inputs listed have some degree of market observability, based on Newcastle’s knowledge of the market, relationships with market participants, and use of common market data sources. Collateral prepayment, default and loss severity projections are in the form of “curves” or “vectors” that vary for each monthly collateral cash flow projection. Methods used to develop these projections vary by asset class (e.g., CMBS projections are developed differently than Home Equity ABS projections) but conform to industry conventions. Newcastle uses assumptions that generate its best estimate of future cash flows of each respective security.
The prepayment vector specifies the percentage of the collateral balance that is expected to voluntarily pay off at each point in the future. The prepayment vector is based on projections from a widely published investment bank model, which considers factors such as collateral FICO score, loan-to-value ratio, debt-to-income ratio, and vintage on a loan level basis. This vector is scaled up or down to match recent collateral-specific prepayment experience, as obtained from remittance reports and market data services.
Loss severities are based on recent collateral-specific experience with additional consideration given to collateral characteristics. Collateral age is taken into consideration because severities tend to initially increase with collateral age before eventually stabilizing. Newcastle typically uses projected severities that are higher than the historic experience for collateral that is relatively new to account for this effect. Collateral characteristics such as loan size, lien position, and location (state) also effect loss severity. Newcastle considers whether a collateral pool has experienced a significant change in its composition with respect to these factors when assigning severity projections.
Default vectors are determined from the current “pipeline” of loans that are more than 90 days delinquent, in foreclosure, or are real estate owned (REO). These significantly delinquent loans determine the first 24 months of the default vector. Beyond month 24, the default vector transitions to a steady-state value that is generally equal to or greater than that given by the widely published investment bank model.
The discount rates Newcastle uses are derived from a range of observable pricing on securities backed by similar collateral and offered in a live market. As the markets in which Newcastle transacts have become less liquid, Newcastle has had to rely on fewer data points in this analysis.
(F)
|
Projected annualized average prepayment rate.
|
Loan Valuation
Loans which Newcastle does not have the ability or intent to hold into the foreseeable future are classified as held-for-sale. As a result, these held-for-sale loans are carried at the lower of amortized cost or fair value and are therefore recorded at fair value on a non-recurring basis. These loans were written down to fair value at the time of the impairment, based on broker quotations, pricing service quotations or internal pricing models. All the loans were within Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy. For real estate related loans, the most significant inputs used in the valuations are the amount and timing of expected future cash flows, market yields and the estimated collateral value of such loan investments. For residential mortgage loans, significant inputs include management’s expectations of prepayment speeds, default rates, loss severities and discount rates that market participants would use in determining the fair values of similar pools of residential mortgage loans.
The following tables summarize certain information for real estate related loans and residential mortgage loans held-for-sale as of December 31, 2012:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Valuation
|
|
|
Significant Input
|
|
|
|
Outstanding
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Allowance/
|
|
|
Range
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted Average
|
|
|
|
Face
|
|
|
Carrying
|
|
|
Fair
|
|
|
(Reversal) In
|
|
|
Discount
|
|
|
Loss
|
|
|
Discount
|
|
|
Loss
|
|
Loan Type
|
|
Amount
|
|
|
Value
|
|
|
Value
|
|
|
Current Year
|
|
|
Rate
|
|
|
Severity
|
|
|
Rate
|
|
|
Severity
|
|
Mezzanine
|
|
$ |
527,793 |
|
|
$ |
442,529 |
|
|
$ |
451,812 |
|
|
$ |
4,049 |
|
|
|
6.5% - 25.0 |
% |
|
|
0.0% - 100.0 |
% |
|
|
10.1 |
% |
|
|
10.6 |
% |
Bank Loan
|
|
|
391,904 |
|
|
|
208,863 |
|
|
|
208,863 |
|
|
|
(19,123 |
) |
|
|
6.3% - 36.3 |
% |
|
|
0.0% - 100.0 |
% |
|
|
18.9 |
% |
|
|
37.6 |
% |
B-Note
|
|
|
171,258 |
|
|
|
161,610 |
|
|
|
162,285 |
|
|
|
(13,139 |
) |
|
|
8.0% - 15.0 |
% |
|
|
0.0 |
% |
|
|
10.4 |
% |
|
|
0.0 |
% |
Whole Loan
|
|
|
30,130 |
|
|
|
30,130 |
|
|
|
30,142 |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
5.1% - 7.1 |
% |
|
|
0.0% - 15.0 |
% |
|
|
5.2 |
% |
|
|
14.5 |
% |
Total Real Estate Related Loans Held for Sale, Net
|
|
$ |
1,121,085 |
|
|
$ |
843,132 |
|
|
$ |
853,102 |
|
|
$ |
(28,213 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Valuation
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Outstanding
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Allowance/
|
|
|
Significant Input (Weighted Average)
|
|
|
|
Face
|
|
|
Carrying
|
|
|
Fair
|
|
|
(Reversal) In
|
|
|
Discount
|
|
|
Prepayment
|
|
|
Cumulative
|
|
|
Loss
|
|
Loan Type
|
|
Amount
|
|
|
Value
|
|
|
Value
|
|
|
Current Year
|
|
|
Rate
|
|
|
Speed
|
|
|
Default Rate
|
|
|
Severity
|
|
Non-securitized Manufactured Housing Loans I
|
|
$ |
573 |
|
|
$ |
163 |
|
|
$ |
163 |
|
|
$ |
3 |
|
|
|
38.8 |
% |
|
|
0.0 |
% |
|
|
52.9 |
% |
|
|
75.0 |
% |
Non-securitized Manufactured Housing Loans II
|
|
|
3,072 |
|
|
|
2,308 |
|
|
|
2,308 |
|
|
|
(496 |
) |
|
|
15.5 |
% |
|
|
5.0 |
% |
|
|
3.5 |
% |
|
|
80.0 |
% |
Total Residential Mortgage Loans Held for Sale, Net
|
|
$ |
3,645 |
|
|
$ |
2,471 |
|
|
$ |
2,471 |
|
|
$ |
(493 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loans which Newcastle has the intent and ability to hold into the foreseeable future are classified as held-for-investment. Loans held-for-investment are carried at the aggregate unpaid principal balance adjusted for any unamortized premium or discount, deferred fees or expenses, an allowance for loan losses, charge-offs and write-downs for impaired loans.
The following table summarizes certain information for residential mortgage loans held-for-investment as of December 31, 2012:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Significant Input (Weighted Average)
|
|
Loan Type
|
|
Outstanding Face Amount
|
|
|
Carrying Value
|
|
|
Fair Value
|
|
|
Valuation Allowance/
(Reversal) In Current Year
|
|
|
Discount Rate
|
|
|
Prepayment Speed
|
|
|
Constant Default Rate
|
|
|
Loss Severity
|
|
Securitized Manufactured Housing Loans I
|
|
$ |
118,746 |
|
|
$ |
100,124 |
|
|
$ |
99,964 |
|
|
$ |
(49 |
) |
|
|
9.5 |
% |
|
|
4.0 |
% |
|
|
4.0 |
% |
|
|
75.0 |
% |
Securitized Manufactured Housing Loans II
|
|
|
153,193 |
|
|
|
150,123 |
|
|
|
148,441 |
|
|
|
3,926 |
|
|
|
7.5 |
% |
|
|
5.0 |
% |
|
|
3.5 |
% |
|
|
80.0 |
% |
Residential Loans
|
|
|
56,131 |
|
|
|
42,214 |
|
|
|
48,625 |
|
|
|
242 |
|
|
|
7.4 |
% |
|
|
4.7 |
% |
|
|
2.8 |
% |
|
|
46.6 |
% |
Total Residential Mortgage Loans, Held-for-Investment, Net
|
|
$ |
328,070 |
|
|
$ |
292,461 |
|
|
$ |
297,030 |
|
|
$ |
4,119 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Excess MSRs Valuation
Fair value estimates of Newcastle’s Excess MSRs investments were based on internal pricing models. The valuation technique is based on discounted cash flows. Significant inputs used in the valuations included expectations of prepayment speeds, delinquency rates, recapture rates, the excess mortgage servicing amount of the underlying mortgage loans, and discount rates that market participants would use in determining the fair values of servicing assets on similar pools of residential mortgage loans. In addition, in valuing the Excess MSRs investments, management considered the likelihood of Nationstar being removed as servicer, which likelihood is considered to be remote.
The following table summarizes certain information regarding the inputs used in valuing the Excess MSRs investments as of December 31, 2012:
|
|
Significant Input Ranges
|
|
|
|
Prepayment Speed (A)
|
|
|
Delinquency (B)
|
|
|
Recapture Rate (C)
|
|
Excess Mortgage Servicing Amount (D)
|
|
Discount Rate
|
|
MSR Pool 1
|
|
|
17.1 |
% |
|
|
10.0 |
% |
|
|
35.0 |
% |
29 bps
|
|
|
18.0 |
% |
MSR Pool 1 - Recapture Agreement
|
|
|
8.0 |
% |
|
|
10.0 |
% |
|
|
35.0 |
% |
21 bps
|
|
|
18.0 |
% |
MSR Pool 2
|
|
|
16.7 |
% |
|
|
11.0 |
% |
|
|
35.0 |
% |
23 bps
|
|
|
17.3 |
% |
MSR Pool 2 - Recapture Agreement
|
|
|
8.0 |
% |
|
|
10.0 |
% |
|
|
35.0 |
% |
21 bps
|
|
|
17.3 |
% |
MSR Pool 3
|
|
|
16.9 |
% |
|
|
12.1 |
% |
|
|
35.0 |
% |
23 bps
|
|
|
17.6 |
% |
MSR Pool 3 - Recapture Agreement
|
|
|
8.0 |
% |
|
|
10.0 |
% |
|
|
35.0 |
% |
21 bps
|
|
|
17.6 |
% |
MSR Pool 4
|
|
|
18.6 |
% |
|
|
15.9 |
% |
|
|
35.0 |
% |
17 bps
|
|
|
17.9 |
% |
MSR Pool 4 - Recapture Agreement
|
|
|
8.0 |
% |
|
|
10.0 |
% |
|
|
35.0 |
% |
21 bps
|
|
|
17.9 |
% |
MSR Pool 5
|
|
|
15.0 |
% |
|
|
N/A |
(E) |
|
|
20.0 |
% |
13 bps
|
|
|
17.5 |
% |
MSR Pool 5 - Recapture Agreement
|
|
|
8.0 |
% |
|
|
N/A |
(E) |
|
|
20.0 |
% |
21 bps
|
|
|
17.5 |
% |
(A) |
Projected annualized weighted average voluntary and involuntary prepayment rate using a prepayment vector. |
(B) |
Projected percentage of mortgage loans in the pool that are expected to miss their mortgage payments. |
(C) |
Percentage of voluntarily prepaid loans that are expected to be refinanced by Nationstar. |
(D) |
Weighted average total mortgage servicing amount in excess of the basic fee. |
(E) |
The Excess MSR will be paid on the total UPB of the mortgage portfolio (including both performing and delinquent loans until REO) |
All of the assumptions listed have some degree of market observability, based on Newcastle’s knowledge of the market, relationships with market participants, and use of common market data sources.
Prepayment speed projections are in the form of a “vector” that varies over the expected life of the pool. The prepayment vector specifies the percentage of the collateral balance that is expected to prepay voluntarily (i.e., pay off) and involuntarily (i.e., default) at each point in the future. The prepayment vector is based on assumptions that reflect factors such as the borrower’s FICO score, loan-to-value ratio, debt-to-income ratio, vintage on a loan level basis, as well as the projected effect on loans eligible for the Home Affordable Refinance Program 2.0 (“HARP 2.0”). Management considers collateral-specific prepayment experience when determining this vector. For the Recapture Agreements and recaptured loans, Newcastle also considers industry research on the prepayment experience of similar loan pools (i.e., loan pools composed of refinanced loans). This data is obtained from remittance reports, market data services and other market sources.
Delinquency rates are based on the recent pool-specific experience of loans that missed their most recent mortgage payments. For the Recapture Agreements and recaptured loans, delinquency rates are based on the experience of similar loan pools recently originated by Nationstar and recent delinquency experience. Additional consideration is given to loans that are expected to become 30 or more days delinquent.
Recapture rates are based on actual average recapture rates experienced by Nationstar on similar mortgage loan pools. Generally, Newcastle looks to one year worth of actual recapture rates, which management believes provides a reasonable sample for projecting future recapture rates while taking into account current market conditions.
For existing mortgage pools, excess mortgage servicing amount projections are based on the actual total mortgage servicing amount in excess of a basic fee. For loans expected to be refinanced by Nationstar and subject to a Recapture Agreement, Newcastle considers the excess mortgage servicing amount on loans recently originated by Nationstar and other general market considerations.
The discount rates Newcastle uses are derived from market data on pricing of mortgage servicing rights backed by similar collateral.
Newcastle uses different prepayment and delinquency assumptions in valuing the Excess MSRs relating to the original loan pools, the Recapture Agreements and the Excess MSRs relating to recaptured loans. The prepayment speed and delinquency rate assumptions differ because of differences in the collateral characteristics, eligibility for the Home Affordable Refinance Program 2.0 (“HARP 2.0”) and expected borrower behavior for original loans and loans which have been refinanced. Newcastle uses the same assumptions for recapture and discount rates when valuing Excess MSRs and Recapture Agreement. These assumptions are based on historical recapture experience and market pricing.
Newcastle’s MSRs investments measured at fair value on a recurring basis using Level 3B inputs changed as follows:
|
|
Level 3B (A)
|
|
|
|
MSR Pool 1
|
|
|
MSR Pool 2
|
|
|
MSR Pool 3
|
|
|
MSR Pool 4
|
|
|
MSR Pool 5
|
|
|
Total
|
|
Balance at December 30, 2010
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Transfers (B)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Transfers from Level 3A
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
Transfers into Level 3A
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
Gains (losses) included in net income (C)
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
Interest income
|
|
|
367 |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
367 |
|
Purchases, sales and repayments
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Purchases
|
|
|
43,742 |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
43,742 |
|
Purchase adjustments
|
|
|
1,260 |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
1,260 |
|
Proceeds from sales
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
Proceeds from repayments
|
|
|
(1,398 |
) |
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
(1,398 |
) |
Balance at December 30, 2011
|
|
$ |
43,971 |
|
|
$ |
- |
|
|
$ |
- |
|
|
$ |
- |
|
|
$ |
- |
|
|
$ |
43,971 |
|
Transfers (B)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Transfers from Level 3A
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
Transfers into Level 3A
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
Gains (losses) included in net income (C)
|
|
|
5,877 |
|
|
|
1,226 |
|
|
|
2,780 |
|
|
|
1,004 |
|
|
|
(1,864 |
) |
|
|
9,023 |
|
Interest income
|
|
|
7,955 |
|
|
|
3,450 |
|
|
|
3,409 |
|
|
|
1,381 |
|
|
|
11,293 |
|
|
|
27,488 |
|
Purchases, sales and repayments
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Purchases
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
43,872 |
|
|
|
36,218 |
|
|
|
15,439 |
|
|
|
124,813 |
|
|
|
220,342 |
|
Purchase adjustments
|
|
|
(178 |
) |
|
|
(1,522 |
) |
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
(1,700 |
) |
Proceeds from sales
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
Proceeds from repayments
|
|
|
(16,715 |
) |
|
|
(7,704 |
) |
|
|
(6,973 |
) |
|
|
(2,788 |
) |
|
|
(19,908 |
) |
|
|
(54,088 |
) |
Balance at December 31, 2012
|
|
$ |
40,910 |
|
|
$ |
39,322 |
|
|
$ |
35,434 |
|
|
$ |
15,036 |
|
|
$ |
114,334 |
|
|
$ |
245,036 |
|
(A)
|
Includes the recapture agreement for each respective pool.
|
(B)
|
Transfers are assumed to occur at the beginning of the quarter.
|
(C)
|
The gains (losses) recorded in earnings during the period are attributable to the change in unrealized gains (losses) relating to Level 3 assets still held at the reporting dates. These gains (losses) are recorded in “Change in fair value of investments in excess mortgage servicing rights” in the consolidated statement of income.
|
Derivatives
Newcastle’s derivative instruments are valued using counterparty quotations. These quotations are generally based on valuation models with model inputs that can generally be verified and which do not involve significant judgment. The significant observable inputs used in determining the fair value of our Level 2 derivative contracts are contractual cash flows and market based interest rate curves.
Newcastle’s derivatives are recorded on its balance sheet as follows:
|
|
|
Fair Value
|
|
|
|
|
December 31,
|
|
|
Balance sheet location
|
|
2012
|
|
|
2011
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Derivative Assets
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest rate caps, designated as hedges
|
Derivative Assets
|
|
$ |
- |
|
|
$ |
1,092 |
|
Interest rate caps, not designated as hedges
|
Derivative Assets
|
|
|
165 |
|
|
|
862 |
|
|
|
|
$ |
165 |
|
|
$ |
1,954 |
|
Derivative Liabilities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest rate swaps, designated as hedges
|
Derivative Liabilities
|
|
$ |
12,175 |
|
|
$ |
90,025 |
|
Interest rate swaps, not designated as hedges
|
Derivative Liabilities
|
|
|
19,401 |
|
|
|
29,295 |
|
|
|
|
$ |
31,576 |
|
|
$ |
119,320 |
|
The following table summarizes information related to derivatives:
|
|
December 31,
|
|
|
|
2012
|
|
|
2011
|
|
Cash flow hedges
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Notional amount of interest rate swap agreements
|
|
$ |
154,450 |
|
|
$ |
848,434 |
|
Notional amount of interest rate cap agreements
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
104,205 |
|
Amount of (loss) recognized in OCI on effective portion
|
|
|
(12,050 |
) |
|
|
(69,908 |
) |
Deferred hedge gain (loss) related to anticipated financings, which have subsequently occurred, net of amortization
|
|
|
237 |
|
|
|
299 |
|
Deferred hedge gain (loss) related to dedesignation, net of amortization
|
|
|
(210 |
) |
|
|
(893 |
) |
Expected reclassification of deferred hedges from AOCI into earnings over the next 12 months
|
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
1,688 |
|
Expected reclassification of current hedges from AOCI into earnings over the next 12 months
|
|
|
(6,259 |
) |
|
|
(35,348 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Non-hedge Derivatives
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Notional amount of interest rate swap agreements
|
|
|
294,203 |
|
|
|
316,600 |
|
Notional amount of interest rate cap agreements
|
|
|
23,400 |
|
|
|
36,428 |
|
The following table summarizes gains (losses) recorded in relation to derivatives:
|
Income Statement
|
|
Year Ended December 31,
|
|
|
Location
|
|
2012
|
|
|
2011
|
|
|
2010
|
|
Cash flow hedges
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gain (loss) on the ineffective portion
|
Other Income (Loss)
|
|
$ |
483 |
|
|
$ |
(917 |
) |
|
$ |
580 |
|
Gain (loss) immediately recognized at dedesignation
|
Gain (Loss) on Sale of Investments,
Other Income (Loss)
|
|
|
(7,036 |
) |
|
|
(13,939 |
) |
|
|
(39,184 |
) |
Amount of gain (loss) reclassified from AOCI into income, related to effective portion
|
Interest Expense
|
|
|
(30,631 |
) |
|
|
(63,350 |
) |
|
|
(83,869 |
) |
Deferred hedge gain reclassified from AOCI into income, related to anticipated financings
|
Interest Expense
|
|
|
61 |
|
|
|
58 |
|
|
|
475 |
|
Deferred hedge gain (loss) reclassified from AOCI into income, related to effective portion of dedesignated hedges
|
Interest Expense
|
|
|
1,189 |
|
|
|
2,259 |
|
|
|
(5,471 |
) |
Non-hedge derivatives gain (loss)
|
Other Income (Loss)
|
|
|
9,101 |
|
|
|
3,284 |
|
|
|
(1,240 |
) |
Liabilities for Which Fair Value is Only Disclosed
The following table summarizes the level of the fair value hierarchy, valuation techniques and inputs used for estimating each class of liabilities not measured at fair value in the statement of financial position but for which fair value is disclosed:
Type of Liabilities Not Measured At Fair Value for Which Fair Value Is Disclosed
|
Fair Value Hierarchy
|
Valuation Techniques and Significant Inputs
|
CDO bonds payable
|
Level 3
|
Valuation technique is based on discounted cash flow.
Significant inputs include:
·
Underlying security and loan prepayment, default and cumulative loss expectations
· Amount and timing of expected future cash flows
· Market yields and credit spreads implied by comparisons to transactions of similar tranches of CDO debt by the varying levels of subordination
|
Other bonds and notes payable
|
Level 3
|
Valuation technique is based on discounted cash flow.
Significant inputs include:
· Amount and timing of expected future cash flows
· Interest rates
· Broker quotations
· Market yields and credit spreads implied by comparisons to transactions of similar tranches of securitized debt by the varying levels of subordination
|
Repurchase agreements
|
Level 2
|
Valuation technique is based on market comparables.
Significant variables include:
· Amount
and timing of expected future cash flows
·
Interest rates
· Collateral
funding spreads
|
Mortgage notes payable
|
Level 3
|
Valuation technique is based on discounted cash flows.
Significant inputs include:
·
Amount and timing of expected
future cash flows
·
Interest rates
· Collateral funding spreads
|
Junior subordinated notes payable
|
Level 3
|
Valuation technique is based on discounted cash flow.
Significant inputs include:
·
Amount and timing of expected
future cash flows
· Interest rates
· Market yields and the credit spread of Newcastle
|
|